- “The Trump administration is focused on the economic, bureaucratic, civilian heritage of the 1960s, a minute that symbolizes the beginning of a left turn in global politics,” says Russian analyst
- “Trump and his people say Europe should take more work for its security. They understand: if you truly think you are so large in Europe, prove it, says Eggert
- In his opinion, Trump is already in his own way questioning Putin's position. Eggert calls it “cut off allies or partial allies from Russia”. Indicates, among others, the last agreement with India
- Putin will not come to these negotiations in good faith. He'll think he can regroup, arm, and break all his deals again in a small while — he says
- More crucial information can be found on the Onetu homepage
Konstantin Eggert He is simply a Russian journalist, presently a Russian analyst and correspondent Deutsche Welle in the Baltic States, who no longer lives in Russia. From the top Russian invasion in Ukraine we spoke respective times. The number-one subject was usually Vladimir Putin, to whom Eggert has greatly disliked.
Today I ask him about Donald Trump, who wants to negociate with Putin about Ukraine. In Europe, Trump's communicative and his people do not meet with a warm reception. There are no shortage of comments that businessman Trump will not have any sentiments and sooner or later he will deal with Putin, at the expense of Ukraine and possibly besides Europe.
The 1960s last century. "Turn left in global politics"
— Do you think Trump could truly sale Ukraine?
Eggert says to look at the substance wider and avoid the prism of loud headlines.
- Look, It's not like the current U.S. administration works like this due to the fact that it's full of incompetent idiots on board. No, this administration wants large changes. He wants a counter-revolution. It is focused on the demolition of the economic, bureaucratic, civic heritage of the 1960s, a minute for them to symbolize the beginning of a left turn in global politics — it begins its answer.
— This evidently affects relations with Europe. In Washington, a large part of Europe is now seen as a bureaucratic, business freedom enemy, besides much to the left. erstwhile the current US administration looks at Europe, unlike Clinton or Bush, it sees ideological opponents. Not enemies, but definitely opponents.
“When Trump and his people say that Europe should take more work for its security, it is no accident. It's part of their vision. They understand: if you truly think you're so large in Europe, prove it “ He comments.
He notes: “The current Trump administration has many people in its ranks who come from private businesses. And that's why America is looking at safety now as something that's primarily counted in money.
“There is no final peace plan for Ukraine in the White House”
Russian writer believes Trump's word of office will be an effort to force Europe to change.
We're back to Trump and Putin negotiating. — I am convinced that there is no final peace plan for Ukraine in the White House. There is simply a plan to gather information and respond to the words and actions of the administration in order to formulate further steps. We see something that is classical for Trump, that on behalf of this administration so many people now speak. It creates sound and keeps everyone in suspense. And keeping in suspense gives America control, says Eggert.
— Before the election, I heard from people in Washington that Trump is simply a “deal maker”. But that doesn't mean he'll do anything Putin wants. due to the fact that that would make him look weak.. And Trump doesn't like to look weak.. If Putin does not realize that he has to give something back in these negotiations, then these talks will not be a success for him, he argues.
Trump cuts Putin off
According to the analyst, Trump already in his own way undermines Putin's position. Eggert calls it “cut off allies or partial allies from Russia”. It points to the last deal with India in which America sends a large amount of weapons (including F-35) or signs contracts for massive oil exports.
It besides recalls the force that America has put on the South African government recently. — These are all moves against Putin. Even the fact that Trump wants to meet Putin in Saudi Arabia is not meaningless.
He explains: “Why does Trump not want to meet in Geneva or Vienna? due to the fact that there he and Putin are just abroad guests. In Saudi Arabia Putin is simply a guest, but all American president is simply a large ally and friend. This is not a neutral place for Putin.
“Putin will lie”
— We should look beyond the sound of headlines and realize that the Trump administration has a completely different approach to diplomacy. I'm certain it won't be easy for Putin to negotiate. He is simply a man who lives in isolation, surrounded by something like a medieval royal court, in which practically no 1 dares to tell him the truth.
I'm asking if we're closer to the possible end of the war in Ukraine than in the Biden administration? — We are no closer to achieving peace in Ukraine. But we're closer to starting negotiations. “The Russian analyst answers.
Eggert tells me how before the U.S. elections he spoke to Kurt Volker, who during Trump's first word was his peculiar envoy to Ukraine. “He told me that America is tired of this war. In his opinion, If the Democrats had won, they would have tried to make a deal with Putin.
A Russian writer who watched Putin grow stronger in Russia warns: "I believe Putin will not come to these negotiations in good faith. He'll think he can regroup, arm himself and break all the deals again in a small while. The West with the U.S. administration will gotta start negotiations knowing that Putin will lie and that he will break those arrangements erstwhile he considers it appropriate.
Paris and Berlin must chase. Poland leader
Eggert talks about another crucial change that awaits Europe. “The American administration will not talk to allies it sees as uncertain, specified as France or Germany. I am absolutely convinced that the voices of Poland, the Baltic States, Finland will be heard much more in Washington.
— It is Berlin and Paris who must catch up with those who have seen Russian danger much earlier. It is time to show that there are fresh leaders in Europe. Poland, Baltic States, Finland, Sweden “ He adds.
Russian analyst believes “From Trump's threats something good can come”. “Europe will yet gotta wake up in terms of defending and ensuring its safety. It is not average that the sending of the Bundeswehr brigade to Lithuania overwhelms the full German army. This should not be the case — he estimates.
— The challenge for European leaders will be to explain to people that reinforcement, modernisation of the army, creating fresh infrastructure is simply a necessity for which European citizens will gotta pay. Poland, the Baltic States, Finland are already setting an example. Others gotta catch up, he says.
Onetu’s talker points out 1 more issue. — Paradoxically this can put all these populist parties on the left and right who criticise support for Ukraine in an uncomfortable situation. 1 thing is to say: “We should not spend money on those unusual Ukrainians who belong to Russia.” Another, erstwhile it is said, "We should not arm ourselves, we should not care for our safety." If you say so, you're not a patriot in the eyes of your constituents.
