Russia. Without wishful thinking, simplification, and hatred

instytutsprawobywatelskich.pl 6 months ago

Marcin Luniewski

A writer specialising in Russia and east themes. associate of news editor TVN24. Permanent associate of the weekend edition of “Plus Minus” and “New East Europe” magazine. For many years he has been moving an authorial broadcast on global issues on Radio Campus. Whenever he can, he tries to drive east and grind his Russian. Author of the book “Russia. From decay to fascist dictatorship. Future scenarios 2026-2036".

With Marcin Luniewski, author of the book “Russia. From decay to fascist dictatorship. Screenplays of the future 2026-2036", talks Rafał Górski, editor-in-chief of the Week of civilian Affairs.

In order not to be amazed by the events in the Kremlin and in Russia, we request to analyse on an ongoing basis what is happening in this country and, on this basis, effort to anticipate developments and adjust our policies. This will only make sense if we get free of wishful thinking, and erstwhile assessing the phenomena occurring in Russia we will not be guided by stereotypes, simplifications and resentment or hatred of Russians. That way would lead us astray.
Marcin Luniewski, “Russia. From decay to fascist dictatorship. Future scenarios 2026-2036’

Polish journalists love to judge; objectivity in describing facts makes them sad due to the fact that they do not feel demiurge of events. They feel them erstwhile they judge, teach, discipline, ridicule. The existent point, according to their belief, is in judgment, not in an nonsubjective state of affairs.
Bronisław Łagowski, “Can Poland afford independence?”

Polish politicians, regardless of their idealism, have lost their prudence and work for the consequences of their decisions and actions, especially for harassed, boastful and arrogant statements. He misproves the politics of dangerous gamblers, uncompromising moralists, short-sighted executors and instigators of war.
Stanisław Bielen, “Time of hazard in global relations”

  1. Since 2022 we have been threatened by Russia's attack on Poland. What do you think is more likely that Russia will attack us or that we will join the war on Russia? Or are both scenarios unrealistic for any reason (what?)? If they are unrealistic, what you think has real grounds for happening, at least in the close future.
  2. Will the Russian Federation fall apart? What will Russia become in the changing planet power system?
  3. How did Poland benefit from the war in Ukraine? What else do we lose? What possible threats do we face to this war?

  1. How power uses fresh technologies to discipline Russian society and regulate social sentiments. What do you think about the explanation that in order to fight effectively or to defy the force of autocracy specified as Russia or China, the West will at any point besides gotta severely restrict democracy and our rights, civilian and freedom?
  2. As a temporal cesura for his communicative of Russia, you chose the year 2036 erstwhile president Putin was officially to end the regulation of Russia. What could happen in 2036? But not only in Russia itself, but besides in the West or Asia.
  3. You are in this fewer and at the same time boastful group of Polish commentaries, who deal with wishful thinking, related to packages of further sanctions imposed on Russia. Let's deal with them. What real impact do Western sanctions have on Russia? And as do both Russia and the West and Asia, these sanctions care what the balance allows Russia to operate and proceed to wage war.
  4. What crucial question has no 1 always asked you on the subject we're talking about? And what is the answer to that question?

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