The National Anti-crisis Board and the Delegation of Acquisitions of the Authority of the United Transitional Office prepared a study “The systematic preparation of the Lukashenko government for possible war on the part of Russia and recommendations to prevent specified a scenario”.
It analyses the regime's activities in 6 areas:
- transformation of the political and legal system;
- modernisation of the armed forces;
- the war economy: a mobilization transformation;
- military cooperation with Russia;
- infrastructure and territorial defence;
- ideological mobilisation and control of interior “stability”.
The authors conclude that the Lukashenko government has carried out systematic preparations to possibly participate in a “hot” war on the part of Russia and has never been as close to joining the war as it is now.
The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the activities undertaken by the Belarusian authorities between 2022 and 2025 and an assessment of their readiness to participate in armed actions. In the classified part of the report, the NAU squad besides makes recommendations on countering negative scenarios.
“Do not submit to the seemingly reconciled rhetoric of Minister Chrenin, known for false statements before starting a full-scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine. Since the beginning of 2022 the Lukashenko government has systematically and consistently created a legislative, legal, organisational, financial, military, military-industrial, mobilization, ideological base, preparing Belarus for a possible war. The Lukashenko government seeks to transformBelarus into a military camp. present we request resources to deprive Lukashenko of the chance and resources to accomplish this goal," said Paweł Latuszko, Deputy Head of the United Interim Office and Head of the NAU.
“All military exercises on a large scale in Belarus pose a peculiar threat to both Ukraine and Latvia, Lithuania and Poland. At the same time, it should be noted that all specified exercises of the Russian armed forces pose and increase the threat to Belarus' sovereignty and independence," he added.
The study was sent to partners in Ukraine, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Czech Republic and the European Commission.
Source: reforms.news, belarus-nau.org
BIS improvement – survey Bulletin
