The future of the EU

niepoprawni.pl 3 weeks ago

It's a grumble that made something, how much fact - I don't know. possibly he's hallucinating, possibly he's not.

European Union 2025 – 3 baseline scenarios

Calibration of parameters performed on Eurobarometer 2024-2025 data, Eurostat Trust Index, planet Values survey wave 8 and measurements of political polarization and erosion of social capital in 27 associate States.

| script | |L|(2025) first | K1–K3 (power/money/right → L) | Szum ▶ | Dominant coupling a13 (power-money) | Forecast 2025–2350 (r(t) after 300 years) | | |---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Technocratic recentralization | 0.97 | low (0.06–0.12) | average | +0.68 | slow dusk 2180–2240 (r → 0.28) | | C. Breakdown on national blocks (Orban-model) | 0.71 | highly low | very advanced | +0.91 | fast collaps 2065–2085 (r → 0,05) |

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