The Civic Coalition won the highest support in the latest investigation Partner poll. This group would like to vote now for 30.6% of respondents. Despite his leadership position, Donald Tusk's organization has grounds for concern due to the changing power arrangement and the inability to gain the majority in the Sejm.
If the elections to the Sejm were to take place next Sunday, the top support would be for Civil Coalition. The will to vote Donald Tusk declared 30.6% of respondents, which means a decrease of 1 percent point compared to the last survey.
The second position in the poll was Law and Justice26.4 percent of respondents supported. This means that Jarosław Kaczyński organization noted an increase in support by 1 percent point.
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The podium closes Confederation. This organization would like to vote 10.5 percent of the respondents.
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The parliament would besides include Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun, who would have won 7.7% of the vote. She would besides enter the Sejm Left, with 6.7% support.
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Under the electoral threshold in the survey is lot Total with a score of 2.9 percent. They were lower. Poland 2050 (1.7%) and Polish People's Party (1.6 percent).
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The studio asked for an estimation of the probable allocation of mandates to be made by Dr. Maciej Onas, an assistant prof. at the Department of Political Systems of the University of Łódź, who conducted a survey of the distribution of political support for individual groups.
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As it turns out, the Citizen Coalition would introduce 185 Members into the Sejm, and the United Right - 167. The Confederates would have 50 seats. The Confederation of the Polish Crown would gain 36 seats in the Sejm. Left would get 22 tickets. With this arrangement of forces, the current ruling coalition would have had a combined 207 mandatesand opposition groups would have 253 Members.
The survey was conducted by investigation Partner on the ARIADNA investigation Panel on 20-23 March 2026 on a nationwide example of 1080 adults of Poles, selected according to representation in the population for gender, age and size of the locality.
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