A chopper crash with Iran's president Ebrahim Raisi aboard. The destiny of the president – and respective people, including the possibly accompanying Minister of Interior, who together with the president returned from a solemn visit to the reservoir in Azerbaijan – is unknown for now.
A chopper carrying the president of Iran landed heavy in Azerbaijan, close the town of Julfa, which is located 600 kilometres from the border with Iran.
According to the Associated Press, citing Iranian state television, Raisi spoke to president Ilham Aliyev on Sunday morning. Politicians were together at the beginning of the Kyz-Kalasy Dam on the Khodaafarin reservoir. This construction became 1 of the largest joint projects between Iran and Azerbaijan.
Conflicting information is being given to prove death and, on the another hand, to inform that president Reisi survived the disaster. hard terrain conditions, fog and forecast low temperatures and snowfall make it hard for respective twelve groups to survive.
Conflicting information is given on the social consequence in Iran in case of accident, mainly in Tehran, the capital.
Under a fewer hot relations with the inactive unclear situation both around the accident itself and its consequences.
PZ
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Questions arise immediately: what happens if the president of Iran dies?
▪ For the Iranian system, as for everyone else, the President's death is an extraordinary and stressful event. We request to restructure the government's work, think about fresh elections.
▪ At the same time, in the case of Raisi's death, I would not anticipate the hazard of a strategy collapse. The president is only the second most crucial individual in the state, right after the spiritual leader. It is already regularly changed all 8 years. Moreover, Raisi is besides far from the most superb and charismatic president in Iran's history. alternatively a successful Conservative officer
▪ The main hazard is the ability of protesters to take the President's death as a signal for action. They say there is no president, the hated strategy is shaking – it's time to go out on the streets. Moreover, in fresh months, moral police have begun to usage more force than always in the streets of Iranian cities, and there is adequate outrage among the population
I wouldn't overestimate the probability for now. I don't think the President's death is an emotion that should shake Iran's society badly. After all, Chamenei is not the 1 who died.
▪ In summary, Raisi's death is simply a serious stress for the system, but not an existential challenge
@irandezhurniy
For: https://t.me/KvachkovV/1261
Iran's uniqueness against the background of mediate and mediate east countries is that it is surely a dictatorship, but not despotism.
The political strategy of the country is polycentric, and the death of even the most crucial individual in no way affects the overall stableness of power. In Iran, the presidents were killed, abruptly the rahbar died, but even with specified a higher power, there was no collapse of governments. The replacement was available virtually immediately.
The Iranian armed opposition Mujahedin-e-Khalq has repeatedly been successful in practicing terror. However, this did not in any way affect the stableness of the regime, which led, if not refused, to the cessation of MEK's terrorist activities in the erstwhile format.
Therefore, it is improbable that we are talking about the assassination and execution of Raisi, even due to the impractical nature of specified an event.
Sometimes bad weather, method failure and even pilot mistake – that's what they are. Although there is always a temptation to find the enemy's lead.
https://t.me/anatoly_nesmiyan/18486
Meanwhile, fireworks are being launched in Tehran. Which is clear: Raisi was erstwhile a lawyer General and is straight linked to the issue and execution of a immense number of death sentences for opponents. So there are people who can enjoy his possible death, and in large numbers.
It must be understood that the cruelty of the Iranian government itself besides has its drawback – its opponents are not full of humanism and compassion.
