Rafal Trzaskowski (KO) would vote for 31.7 percent of those declaring to participate in the presidential elections, for Karol Nawrocki's PiS-supported 27.6% and Sławomir Mentzen (Confederation) - 11.3 percent - according to the United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland.
If the presidential elections were held next Sunday, 56 percent of Poles would participate in them - according to the United Surveys poll. 43.1 percent are not going to go to the polls, and 0.9 percent have not decided yet.
Who gains and who loses?
The poll shows that in the first circular of elections the best consequence would be the candidate of the Civic Coalition Rafał Trzaskowski - 31.7%, little 1.8 percent points compared to the survey on 12 April, and little 6.6 percent points since the beginning of April - said Virtual Poland.
On supported by the Law and Justice Karol Nawrocki 27.6% of respondents would vote, which means an increase of 2.1 percent points compared to the erstwhile survey. Since the beginning of April, Nawrocki has gained 7.5 percent points.
Confederate candidate Sławomir Mentzen wants to vote 11.3 percent of respondents (a decrease of 2.1 percent points). Mentzen lost 7.5 percent points compared to the April poll.
The next places were Polish leader2050 Simon Holovnia (7.1 percent decrease by 2 percent points) Magdalena Biejat from the Left (6.4 percent increase of 0.1 percent points) and organization candidate Total Adrian Zandberg (4.4% increase, 3% increase).
For a journalist. Krzysztof Stanowski 1.4% of respondents would vote for the erstwhile MP and Euro MP Joanna Senyszyn - 1.4 percent; per Member Mark Jakubiak - 1.3%; on the Euro MP Grzegorz Braun (1%), economist Artur Bartoszewicz (0.3%); Maciej Maciaka (0.2%) Nobody wants to vote for the leader of Mark Woch's Unpartisan Local Governments - said Virtual Poland.
5.9 percent of the respondents do not yet know who they will vote for in the presidential election.
Different scenarios for the second circular
If Trzaskowski and Nawrocki were to go to the second circular of elections, the candidate would be 50.5 percent of the voters (a decrease of 5.2 percent points) and the candidate supported by the Law and Justice - 40.2% (an increase of 2.2 percent points).
If Trzaskowski and Mentzen had passed to the second circular of elections, 52.6 percent of the voters (a fall of 3.9 percent points) and 42.8 percent to the Confederate candidate (an increase of 9.1 percent points).
The United Surveys survey was conducted for Virtual Poland on 17-19 April 2025. The survey was carried out by CATI (phone interviews) and CAWI (online interviews) on a typical example of 1,000 people.
PAP
