In the latest polls, the main candidate for president of Poland, Karol Nawrocki, supported by the PiS party, does not gain adequate support to win the election. However, as the German paper "Welt am Sonntag" suggests, Nawrocki's win is possible, especially in case of a repeat of Duda's 2015 script. Then, Andrzej Duda, then a little-known politician, won the presidential election, defeating then president Bronisław Komorowski.
According to Stefan Garsztecki, a political scientist from the method University of Chemnitz, the consequence of the presidential elections in Poland is not foregone. A script of Duda is possible, in which Nawrocki can win elections in the second round, thanks to the votes of voters of smaller parties who can go to Nawrocki camp. Garsztecki estimates that Nawrocki can score about 30% of the vote in the first round, allowing him to decision on to the second round.
However, as Piotr Buras, head of the Warsaw office of the European Council of abroad Relations (ECFR), depends on the result of the presidential elections in Poland "the destiny of Donald Tusk's political project". Buras predicts that the eventual defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski, a candidate from KO, will origin a crisis of the ruling coalition and may lead to an early parliamentary election, after which the Law and Justice can return to power.
According to the latest polls, Rafał Trzaskowski has 32% of support, while Karol Nawrocki has 24% of support. Trzaskowski is seen as a Liberal candidate while Nawrocki is seen as a right-wing candidate. Nawrocki is known for his physical activity, which can bring him support among younger voters.
In connection with the presidential elections in Poland, Stefan Garsztecki estimates that the ruling camp has made a mistake, exposing as many as 3 candidates. According to him, the failure of Trzaskowski would be a serious blow to the government of Donald Tusk, as Nawrocki as president would lead a consistent policy of blocking the government. This could consequence in government paralysis in interior politics.
It is worth noting that the presidential elections in Poland are considered very crucial due to the fact that the president has crucial powers in abroad and interior policy. The Polish government is now paralyzed in politics, which could have consequences for the economy and society. Therefore, presidential elections may be of large importance for the future of Poland.
According to CSO data, in 2022, Poland's GDP increased by 4.9%, which is the highest increase since 2019. However, inflation in Poland is presently at 6.8%, which could have consequences for the economy and society. Therefore, presidential elections can be of large importance for the economical future of Poland.
It is worth noting that the presidential elections in Poland are considered very crucial for the European Union due to the fact that Poland is an crucial partner of the EU. Poland has been an EU associate since 2004 and is 1 of the largest beneficiaries of EU funds. Therefore, presidential elections can be of large importance for the future of the EU.
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Presidential Elections in Poland: Screenplays and Consequences
