The material was created after gathering in the Chatham home formula* |
A planet After Liberal Globalisation
The reality in which the Polish transformation had the chance to ripen disappears in front of our eyes. Liberal globalisation, for 3 decades based on it believing in free trade, integration and a self-regulatory market, loses momentum. We are witnessing the process of forgeing a fresh order – and it is always in human past a time of uncertain, unstable, period of competition and fear. The common advantages of safety logic are subsiding, and the place of liberal beginning occupies a strategical game of influence.
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The pandemic, the war in Ukraine, the energy crisis and the technological revolution revealed the weaknesses of the strategy based on global supply chains and the search for the cheapest labour force. It has ceased to warrant stability, and all the more predictable development. In the fresh reality, not only the cost, but besides the certainty of delivery, not only the location, but besides the ability to adapt; not only absorption, but besides technological sovereignty.
In specified a world, each country must ask itself: what it wants to compete with, what economical identity it has and how to enter into a fresh global division of work, in which globalisation takes the form of regional blocks and strategical alliances.
Today, the strength and safety of countries is more determined than in the past by the ability to create, not only to reproduce. Poland must make its way from the function of a contractor to the function of a designer of its own future.
Stand on 2 legs
Poland has been a large success in the imitative and integration model. She took advantage of the openness of the world, capital and technology of the West, EU funds and cheap, well-educated workforce. Thanks to this, it upgraded industry, built infrastructure, developed exports and gained stability.
However, this model, for years the origin of the advantage, has its limitations. We no longer want to compete on the basis of inexpensive work – the resources of the second are shrinking and we want to work smarter, not more. This is possible if you focus on creating values based on knowledge, your own brands and technologies. Technological sovereignty in strategical areas is besides crucial for security.
The added value will increasingly arise where fresh ideas, innovative solutions and products emerge. Therefore, Poland must balance its model of improvement by focusing on local creation: design, improvement, fresh technological solutions, investigation and efficiency. This is not just an economical issue, but a civilisational issue – it is whether we will be co-creators of the planet or stay its facilities.
New geopolitical game
The fresh planet order is based on the rivalry of blocks of states among themselves. The United States moves from globalisation to strategical uniteraryism: they invest in their own industry, in control of technologies, they search to weaken the dollar. China in turn forms a model of digital mercantylism – combining state power with capital and data to become independent of the West. Europe is inactive seeking its own path, weakened by a deficiency of leadership and a deficiency of political unity.
In a planet of competing blocks, it is not adequate to know which 1 you want to belong to – you request to know what we are prepared to bring. Only countries that are strategically thinking, self-aware become players, not pawns of the fresh order.
In this arrangement Poland must find its place. It is not adequate to declare “to the West”. The answer must be: what do we contribute to the community? What resources do we have? What strategical value do we offer partners? Without specified awareness, we are threatened by the function of a peripheral participant, not a essential co-author of order.
Subsidiary countries trust on individual else's support, and the states that do this build their own resources. Poland will join the group of quarterbacks only erstwhile it stops expecting an impulse from the outside and starts taking the initiative itself.
Between Chance and Dependency
Poland has a number of advantages: a central location, a comparatively strong industrial base, a good level of method education and transformational experience. But at the same time, it has serious weaknesses: strong social polarisation, comparatively low level of innovation, capital fragmentation, deficiency of continuity of key policies and a low strategical planning culture. Additionally, demographic challenges and structural problems in public finances.
The most dangerous, however, is the dependency mentality. We inactive presume that improvement comes from outside – from Brussels, Berlin, Washington. In a planet of competition, each country must build its own resources: technological, educational, financial, defence, energy and culture. Otherwise, he will be held hostage by another people's decisions and his own complexes.
New competitiveness – from manufacture to ideas
The future belongs to those who make technologies, form standards and manage knowledge. In areas specified as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, green energy and cybersecurity, the hierarchy of the planet is present decided. Whoever doesn't be has no voice. Who controls data controls decisions and flows. Countries that quit their own digital solutions hazard losing their subjectivity. Poland should participate in the construction of a European public cloud, invest in local data centres and support open improvement models Al. Otherwise, it will stay a client of global giants, not a contributor to digital order.
Energy sovereignty is no little important. Transformation towards renewable sources is not only a climate requirement, but a condition for independency and competitiveness. A country that has cheap, unchangeable and clean energy becomes a magnet for investment and innovation. In order to meet this challenge, Poland must make dispersed sources, local industrial-energy clusters, atomic and hydrogen technologies.
In the data age, technology has become a form of power. If you do not make your own digital solutions, you give a large part of sovereignty in individual else's hands.
The 3rd component is human capital. In the age of technological acceleration, the power of the economy is determined by the quality of education and the tendency to lifelong learning – continuous learning, retraining, adaptation. The school must support the process of discovering itself (talents, passion, competence), teach critical thinking, cooperation and self-reliance, and not just reproduce knowledge. We request education that prepares not only for the profession, but besides for surviving in a planet of constant change. We must make the ability to adapt, strengthen the readiness to cooperate, teach how to build trust and community. Poland needs a fresh social contract based on the belief that improvement is simply a common good, and cooperation and learning are as crucial as capital and technology.
In the fresh era, they compete not for factories, but for ideas. Who creates and implements technologies, shapes standards and learns faster than others – he writes the rules of past and opens up opportunities for further development.
Finally, the institutions. The State cannot just be a static donor of resources. Dynamic institutions are needed, which make visions, learn, analyse and correct, and not just spend public funds or manage European funds. The transition from spending logic to results logic and learning is simply a prerequisite for the effectiveness of public policies.
The strength of Poland may be not the advantage, but the ability to combine. In the era of divisions, the most crucial are those who can build bridges – between technologies, sectors and people.
Poland as an integrator
We do not request to be a leader in all area to play a crucial role. We can become an integrator – connecting different worlds: East and West, manufacture and services, hardware and softwareeconomy and security. In a planet of fragmentation, the ability to merge systems and people, make bridges and synergies in itself becomes a value.
This requires a fresh kind of leadership – not a dominant one, but a contributor. Leadership that understands the complexity of the planet and can build lasting relationships based on trust and competence.
Towards a fresh civilization project
New competitiveness is not just an economical task – it is simply a civilization project. It means changing reasoning about development: from narrowly economical to economic, cultural and social. A man should be at the center, his ability to co-create meaning and common good.
The future belongs not to those who have the top capital, but to those who can make sense of change. present Poland is faced with a choice: whether it wants to be an entity in a fresh game of influence, or just a pawn placed by others. It is simply a decision on who we want to be as a community – and what function we will play in the planet that de facto She's born again.
The future is created by those who can make sense of change. Today, Poland needs not only a improvement strategy, but a imagination of civilization – based on man, community and work for the planet that it co-creates.
* Material after gathering in Chatham House, in which they participated:
Prof. Mariusz Orłowski, Virginia Tech University, Luk Palmen, president of the Management Board of InnoCo, Witold RadwańskiPresident of the Management Board Krokus PE, Dr Jan Filip Staniłko, philosopher, journalist, political economics expert, Bogdan Rogala, b. president of the Management Board Signify Poland Sp. z o.o, Andrzej Halesiak, economist and manager, associate of the Supervisory Board of the Polish improvement Fund, PhD Jan Szomburg, president of the Board of the Institute for marketplace economical Research, Jan Maria Szomburg, president of the Board of the Institute for marketplace Economy Research, Adam Lesniewicz, manager of Civic legislature at the Institute for marketplace Economy Research.
Meeting partner: Polish improvement Fund
