In fresh months, there have been many voices of political decision-makers, military representatives and analytical space that inform against the anticipation of Russian armed aggression. Of course, in this case we are talking about aggression against NATO countries, as the Russians have already led 1 since February 2022 against Ukraine. The most common indications are the Baltic states, namely Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, due to their location and size. But Vladimir Putin's last speech in Tucker Carlson's propaganda material and a number of references to Poland besides raises concern. It is besides possible to replace the border space with Russia on the side of Norway and Finland, where the Russians have already utilized migratory force and intimidated by manoeuvres. [In his earlier commentary on Defence24, the author pointed out that this should not be treated in a deterministic way, so considering that the invasion would take place either way, regardless of what actions the West would do](https://defence24.pl/geopolitics/forgotten-meaning-repeating-in-calculation-politics-Russia-opposition). However, it is worth trying to think about where so many suggestions come from about the anticipation of specified a conflict on the Russia-NATO line. This will let for a better knowing that **a modern investment in deterrence is 1 thing, but unfortunately it must besides work with the maintained ability to defend itself in the event of materialisation of circumstantial threats.** In the case of Russia, aggression to the West may have different faces: from conventional actions to attempts to play a regional situation utilizing a number of tools and actions under the war threshold.
