"Women won't change. You can change a woman, but it won't change anything” (A. Podziedski)
These words besides fit the government. The change of government will not change anything until both factions – the PiS and the "opposition" play on 1 Atlantic team.
The foundations will stay unchanged, only the elevation will change. In any respects it may be better, in others not necessarily, but the most crucial issues will stay intact. However, if you take the conflict between the compose and the “opposition” with the PO at the head seriously, it is worth paying attention to the fragility of the anti-written alliance.
The future coalition of power will not last long due to crucial differences, despite the compatibility on key issues specified as the US, Ukraine, Israel, the EU, etc. Here, the moral differences between the alleged "left" and the PSL, where extremist liberalism clashes with conservative views – abortion on request, LGBT, anti-clericalism, i.e. the favourite subjects of the alleged "left", may not be acceptable to the authorities of the PSL as much as the agrarian electorate of the people. Moreover, there are rather large differences between PSL and Poland 2050, which do not intend to be a single parliamentary club. There are more specified differences and PO will gotta very skillfully launder between fresh coalitions.
And in that case, the most won paradoxically can be PiS. Let me explain:
After 8 years of government, they go to the opposition.
The fact that no 1 will account for anything is apparent due to the fact that they are all of 1 collusion, and as the proverb says, “the raven of the eye will not derail.” The talk of the settlement was intended to inflame social sentiments, but any of them have hooks on each another and will end up like the settlement of Tusk or Balcerovich announced by Kaczyński. At the most, they can throw a scapegoat “on the scapegoat” to the public's delight for show, to preserve appearances.
The PiS will go to the opposition bench, leaving behind a mess, inflation, expanded investments. What they have managed to bargain (formally "make money" in companies) will let them to live comfortably. 800+ will become their "success" due to the fact that they introduced it. Meanwhile, the fresh government will gotta face this mess left by the Law and Justice erstwhile the second will be able to criticize the opposition jury for the fresh government at all turn. Having their president they will be able to effectively block the bill (the coalition will not have two-thirds of the mandates to reject the presidential veto). The Law and Justice will effectively disgust the rulers and introduce divisions between them, which at any point will dismember the government coalition. Then the Law and Justice will be the strongest and will make a fresh government with someone, or the word of parliament will be shortened, where they will present themselves as a anticipation of stability.
Also, remember that success is announced immediately and problems become apparent over time. Many of the effects of the written regulation will come to pass in any time, which they will gladly cast upon this government which will. Let's give an example – fuel prices. They most likely leave the current prices until the end of their word of office. The fresh government will have a choice either to keep prices causing losses or to increase voters' sympathy.
A interruption in the word of office or little may prove to be very profitable for the Law and Justice. However, this is irrelevant. Both parties are the hands of American capital in Poland, both faithfully following orders from the American embassy. The alleged conflict is intended to establish a two-party system, a double-poly model of the USA, where, under the pretext of democracy, American interests in Poland will be protected. 1 organization without another can not live, and no substance what we think is little evil, until the another 1 exists, nothing will change and the role-changes will distract society. If 1 of them falls, the another will lose fuel and ground under its feet and, like the first, will be history. I think it is better to number on parties outside the current political scene, starting with believing in their possible alternatively of legitimizing the current farce.
Jakub Janek
The author is simply a associate of the Polish Left Movement.