The PiS is counting on Trump's effect in the election. In these countries, the right besides bet on him and... lost

natemat.pl 4 months ago
Karol Nawrocki met with Donald Trump in the White home and by the end of the PiS election run he would most likely not let us forget it. Therefore, it is worth showing that the "Trump effect" can produce a completely different effect. Whether this is going to happen in Poland, we will see. But there are countries where the right has already felt or felt it on its own. Here's how Trump affects elections present far beyond U.S. borders. due to the fact that almost everywhere they are preparing to vote, his name goes through. Now the full planet is looking at Australia.


The PiS is euphoria. "This is the only candidate who can warrant Poland's security", "He can make certain that the strategical relations between Poland and the United States have their continuation" – the politicians of Law and Justice overcome in comments.

The ruling organization is skeptical. "Trump will not elect us president, as he did not elect the Prime Minister of Canada!", "This is an effort to influence Polish elections" – reactions from politicians flow.

Whatever the reaction, the facts talk for themselves. A photograph of Karol Nawrocki with Donald Trump circulates everywhere. The full Poland talks about his visit to the White House. And it's hard to imagine the PiS not playing it until the election. – You will win – he was going to tell Nawrock himself the president of the United States.

Thus Donald Trump entered the Polish electoral campaign. As before, it "existed" in the run in Greenland and Canada, although of course the context was different. How is its effect now seen before the elections in Australia, which will take place on 3 May? And in respective another countries, where does his name appear?

Everywhere, though for different reasons, you can see Trump's effect. It's like no election can take place without it any time soon. but that not everywhere this effect is what the Law and Justice would most likely want after Nawrocki visited the White House. On the contrary. It's very different. due to the fact that in any countries people are so sick of Trump that in the election they almost shout out to his supporters: "No!".

Canada has already shown it. And now everyone's looking at Australia.

Canada rejects Conservatives and Trump


"After Canada Trump can pull down conservatives in subsequent elections in Australia", "Trump is the only reason why left-wing governments are re-elected both in Canada and Australia. Thanks, Donald" – quite a few specified comments and analyses can be found on the net today.

Someone writes, "Two months ago, right-wing parties led in both countries. Now? The left is on the right way to go home."


Another kind of graphics:




Let us remind you, the elections in Canada were held on 28 April and ended with a triumph by the Liberals, to whom only late – after the era of Justin Trudeau – there was no chance of winning. Conservatives had over 20 percent points in the polls, and there was no indication that they could neglect at all. Everything changed Donald Trump's communicative of imposing duties on Canada and wanting to make Canada the 51st state of the USA.

However, the day before the Trump election, he urged the Canadians to choose a leader who would have the strength and wisdom to join their country to the United States. As Reuters stated, the "wave of patriotism" caused by Donald Trump's threats contributed to expanding support for the Liberals. due to the fact that specified a rave, rage and unification of the nation was not there long ago.

"Canada rejects Conservatives and Trump", "It Trump made it possible to win liberals" – so the planet then took the results of elections in Canada.

But on May 3, the Australians go to the urns and something very akin happens.

"A fewer days after the elections in Canada, the main subject of which was who would argue the president of the United States most, Donald Trump was at the center of the election run in another liberal democracy," NBC News analyses.

BBC: "Donald Trump casts shadow on Australian elections".

CNN: "First Canada, now Australia? Conservatives fear Trump's crisis is spreading".



Australia: Trust in the US has fallen. Opposition leader suffered from ties to Trump


Here, too, they felt the Trump Customs War strongly. “U.S. president Donald Trump did not act as a friend by imposing duties on goods imported from Australia,” said Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

His Australian Labour organization 2 months ago did not lead the polls. On the contrary. People were so dissatisfied, among others, with the rising cost of surviving and advanced property prices, that no 1 would believe if their ratings abruptly went up.

These conservative liberals and nationalists had a chance to win the Australian elections. However, this trend has late changed – before the elections on May 3 it was Albanese that began to overtake Conservatives in the polls. A fewer percent, but always. According to the latest YouGov poll, which is cited by the BBC Labour organization could number on 54 percent of the vote, and conservative opposition at 47 percent.

This immediately caused a flood of comparisons with Canada and references to Trump.

"Washington Post": "Like Canada, where Trump's duties and harassments strengthened the political position of Prime Minister Mark Carney, the disruptions in the global trading strategy caused by the U.S. president coincided with an improvement in the quotes of Australian centre-left prime minister Anthony Albanese".

NBC News: "Like Canada, the opposition conservative organization in Australia – Liberal organization – before Trump's return to power was on the right way to victory. However, she has since lost support among voters who are increasingly afraid about how the government will deal with Trump".

Foreign media have besides reported that in Australia, assurance in the US is decreasing dramatically and that Trump's actions have led to it being the lowest in 20 years. besides that Conservative leader Peter Dutton suffered just due to his ties to Trump.

Quoted by "Washington Post" prof. Rebecca Strating of La Trobe University in Melbourne, she stated that Dutton "the opposition leader set himself and his organization closer to Trump" and that "this setting seems to have the other effect".

In Australia, there was besides a subject of America's confusion with their elections. any time ago, the Australian Prime Minister warned Elon Musk of interference. "Australian elections are a substance of Australians," he said.

Now British "Guardian" reports that Chris LaCivita, 1 of the architects of Donald Trump's triumph in the 2024 presidential election, was to visit Australia to advise the Liberal organization before the national elections.



And another opinion. Amy Remeikis of the Think Tank Australia Institute assessed in a conversation with the "Washington Post" that "the Trump character casts a shadow on the local campaign". But, as she said, she besides forces Australian leaders "to do something they haven't had to do in a long time—to look again at Australia's coverage from the US."

As it turns out, not just here.

"Trump's election event is just beginning"


Foreign media note that the planet is waiting for elections in Singapore (May 3), the Philippines (May 12), South Korea (June 3). And everywhere in the electoral run – to a lesser or greater degree – Trump's name goes.

"Trump's event for elections is just beginning, besides in Japan" is being analysed by the American Council on abroad Relations organization, which deals with global policy.



As we read, this effect increased the popularity of leftist or centre-left parties in national elections: "However, sometimes not only leftist parties win, but the leader who most opposes Trump or seems to the public to be best prepared to deal with the White House".

An example? She first went to the urns after the inauguration of Donald Trump and in March that year she opposed his plans to take over the island. "Trump hit tough player. He is the 1 to save Greenland from his crazy plan," wrote Łukasz Grzegorczyk about Jens-Frederik Nielsen, the fresh Prime Minister of Greenland, who slow becomes a symbol of opposition to the astonishing threats of Donald Trump.

This trend, as analysed by the Council on abroad Relations, "seems to spread globally, besides among many key US partners in Asia".

"Even countries with a long tradition of peaceful and predictable choices can experience turbulence caused by 'the Trump effect'," we read.

It is known that the customs war in Canada, Australia or even Singapore is perceived differently than in Europe. But, as the PiS example shows, it's not just about Trump having to appear on the election campaign. Besides, it's not just about Poland.

A large fan of Donald Trump is besides the far-right candidate for president of Romania, George Simon. The head of the Romanian AUR organization besides shows large relationship with the PiS. He has already met Jarosław Kaczyński, and Mateusz Morawiecki, and more late Mariusz Błaszczak and Janusz Kowalski.

"Do not choose a president who works against the Polish nation. Vote for Karol Nawrocki – my friend and defender of our Christian identity in Europe" – specified support was given to Karol Nawrocki.



The first circular of the presidential elections in Romania will be held on 4 May, the second on 18 May.

In September, the elections will take place in Norway. The Prime Minister of this country late visited the White home and it was widely commented on in the world. In this case, however, fresh polls show that Jonas Gahr Støre and his Labour organization are in the lead.

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