- Nearly 90 percent of Poles of biological age who want to have children want to have them, but they cannot have them - said the expert on demography and the author of the book "Demography is the future" Mateusz Łakoma in the program "The Most crucial Questions". According to him, there are many reasons: from difficulty in forming relationships to social and economical obstacles.
The Central Statistical Office has late published a fresh demographic simulation according to which in 2060 we will be little than 28.5 million.
According to Matthew Lakom, the following years will be even worse. "If we add another 15 years to this, then (in 2075 -red.) we will start approaching 20 million Poles," he said.
The expert besides pointed out that Poland stands out from another European countries as 1 of the lowest fertility rates.
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"In fresh years it is only Lithuania and Malta that have low fertility close to us. Last year we had under 1.1 kid per woman. First simulations of calculations for 2025 indicate that this Childhood will be even lower this year - said the Trays.
The scale of the problem is besides presented by a June CBOS study, according to which Almost 45 percent. people aged 18 to 29 is in no relationship. There is only 1 in 8 people in this group (12 percent).
- We know that matrimony is simply a relation so safe, the most conducive to having children, so - in large simplicity - Almost half of Poles of the best age for women to have children have nothing to think about - stressed the expert.
State Tinder. Expert points to matchmaker and family
The subject of low fertility has besides late been undertaken by the Jagiellonian Club, which has proposed to make a state dating app that would aid Poles find partners.
- There is simply a service matchmakers, only she is commercial and very costly - commented Matthew Lakoma.
The expert pointed out that the advantage of a matchmaker is that their approach is not based on whether individual is beautiful or not, but Whether both people combine qualities that "allow a happy life, then make this relationship".
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- At the same time, they're certain education support and for women, and for men under the title "listen, it takes time, watch out for your expectations that on the first date you will faint from the delight that it is so great" - stressed the Lakomas.
Another key problem that makes it hard to marry young adults is loss of household support in compound formation. investigation shows that the engagement of loved ones has a affirmative effect on the desire to have a child.
- No studies are conducted on supporting parents in the formation of relationships. In fresh decades, this process has someway been cast into the element, "Well, go, find a husband, find a wife, and I don't get active in it at all," and we see that it's starting to become a problem - convinced Lakoma.
Why do Poles not form unions?
Mateusz Łakomy explained that there are many factors that make young adults in Poland without partners, and any of them are not yet full understood. But 1 thing is certain: 1 of the reasons is inequality in education between men and women.
- This is due to a pattern in which couples are formed, i.e. couples get along due to similarity of different characteristics. In large general, the most crucial is the alleged social, economical status, which is primarily defined by our education (...), but besides the profession that we do - explained the expert.
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In practice this means that "we have interests, otherwise we perceive what our relation should look like, we have another social groups and we usually come from another families."
The challenge here is that the ladies would like their children's future father to have this social, economical position similar, perfectly somewhat higher. So due to the fact that most women have a higher education than men, it causes for any women with higher education there will be no men they could be curious inEven so biologically, it will be hard for them to fall in love. And on the another hand, For any gentlemen there will be no women who could be mothers said Mateusz Lakoma.
The impact of 500 plus on fertility in Poland. Expert: The problem is not the amount of income
Although there are large social transfers in Poland - as quoted by the leader Przemysław Szubartowicz - this does not translate into an increase in fertility. erstwhile asked what this resulted from, Matthew Lakoma raised the question of the appropriate intent of this measure.
- The question is, are they going to the right place? I mean, the main barrier isn't the issue of income; that's what transfers come down to, that they increase what we usually get in our salaries. Here. problems for having children are primarily at a time erstwhile we want to have 3 or more childrenBecause all another kid is evidently an extra cost to keep them. We frequently request to make a leap in spending, which is usually to decision to a bigger flat or home, or buy a bigger car or even 2 cars, so here the financial barrier is crucial - said the expert.
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- But for first child We know that the problem is not the amount of income but theirstability, apart from whether we are in a relation of course - he explained.
- 500 plus goes on a very broad bench and gives to each kid at all income level (...), so it only affects 1 area. The analyses I did on the basis of GUS data a fewer years after the introduction of 500 plus showed that actually in births together the percent of 3rd and further births increased. Before 500 plus that was 15 percent all births, and after 2 years 500 plus - 22 percent And what is more, it persists to this day,” he said.
Nevertheless, as the expert points out, the studies indicate that Poles want children. - About 80 to nearly 90 percent. Poles of specified age entitled to have children biologically want to have children, but just can't - said the expert.
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