The organization poll in question was conducted by investigation Partner on the ARIADNA investigation Panel. Last weekend more than 1,000 Poles were asked who they would vote for if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday. Now the results have passed.
Results of a fresh organization poll. Tusk has reason to fear
The Civic Coalition received the top support. Donald Tusk's organization would like to vote 30.6% of the respondents. However, this is lower than in the erstwhile study. KO recorded a decrease of 1 percent point.
Second place was the Law and Justice. 26.4 percent of the survey participants declared their willingness to vote for Jarosław Kaczyński. This is an increase of 1 percent point since the last poll result.
The Confederation of Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak appeared just behind KO and PiS. This formation can boast 10.5 percent support among respondents. A full of 5 parties would enter the Sejm. Over the electoral threshold was besides the Confederation of the Polish Crown, Grzegorz Braun, who obtained 7.7% of the vote. besides left with 6.7 percent.
However, there are no more reasons for joy for the party, which won 2.9 percent of the vote in this poll. The Tuska coalitions, i.e. Poland 2050 with 1.7% of support and Polish People's organization with 1.6% of support, were even lower.
The possible distribution of seats in the Sejm plunges the coalition
The question so arises as to what the timetable of the seats in the Sejm would look like. It turns out that the current ruling Coalition on October 15 would have origin for concern. investigation Partner has asked for an estimation of the likely division to Dr. Maciej Onas, an adjunct at the Department of Political Systems of the University of Łódź, which is presently investigating the distribution of political support for individual groups.
According to Dr. Onas, the agenda of the tickets would be as follows:
Civil Coalition – 185 Members
United Right - 167
Confederation – 50
Confederation of the Polish Crown – 36
Left – 22
– With this arrangement of forces, the current ruling coalition would have a full of 207 seats, while opposition groups would have 253 MPs," the expert pointed out.
O PiS loudly late in the context of Black
Jarosław Kaczyński repeatedly stressed that the PiS would not enter the coalition with Braun, but in fresh times there has been much talk about his organization in the context of the announcement of a candidate for Prime Minister. It was Przemysław Czarnek. The results of the poll on whether the PiS did well that it chose Czarnek, were crushing and definitely not in favour of the right.
There have besides been studies that have shown that most respondents believe that Czarnek will be changed to individual else before the elections. However, it appears that the sound around the PiS worked in favor, as the PiS in the fresh poll gained 1 percent point. As it continues, we'll see in the next polls.
