A fresh poll was published respective days after the KPO scandal broke out in the media and online. Although KO takes first place, Donald Tusk and the ruling coalition have a serious problem.
New organization poll
The OGB survey shows that if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, it would be won by the Civic Coalition, which was supported by 33.4 percent of the respondents. This means an increase of 1.7 percent points compared to the erstwhile studio survey.
However, the top increase in support is recorded by the Law and Justice. Jarosław Kaczyński's group could number on 30.6% of the vote. This means an increase of 3.7 percent points per month.
Łukasz Pawłowski, president of the OGB, in an interview with the paper "Rzeczpospolita" stressed that according to the evaluation of the studio, the consequence is the consequence of the beginning of the presidency of Karol Nawrocki. He pointed out that the survey had been carried out since the date of his swearing-in (6 August).
The Confederation's 3rd survey gained 15.4%, a decrease of 1.3 percent points compared to the erstwhile month. The electoral threshold would besides exceed the Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun with the consequence of 5.3 percent. In this case there was besides a decrease in support by 1.9 percent points. The fresh Left scored 5% in this study. The decrease compared to the erstwhile period is 1.6 percent points.
Poland 2050, which won 3.5 percent of the vote, would not be allowed to enter the Sejm. There was an increase in support of 0.2 percent points. On the another hand, PSL achieved 3.4 percent. This is besides an increase of 0.3 percent points. Under the electoral threshold is besides the organization together with 3.3 percent support.
PiS with the biggest increase in support
According to Business Insider, if the election results matched the OGB poll, the Civic Coalition would gain 187 parliamentary seats, which is 30 more than in the October 2023 election. The top increase in the number of Members would be recorded by the Confederation - 63 more people, reaching 79 mandates.
Law and Justice could number on 180 seats – 13 little than now and 14 little than in 2023. Grzegorz Braun's crown would have won 8 tickets, which is 5 more than now. The biggest losses would have been recorded by the erstwhile 3rd Road, or Poland 2050 and PSL. The parties would lose a full of 63 MPs. The Left would lose 15 MPs and the organization would lose 5 MPs together.
The survey was conducted on 6-13 August on a typical group of 1000 Poles utilizing CATI method (computer assisted telephone interviews).
