New US attacks on Iran:
Why Larry Johnson
expects
serious retaliation
- uncut-news.ch 6 June 2026.uncutnews-ch/neue-us-schlaege-gegen-iran-warum-larry-johnson-eine-grosse-vergeltung-erwartet
Between negotiations, the drone war and night attacks, there is simply a threat that the war will one more time get out of control.
While authoritative talks proceed to focus on negotiations, ceasefires and diplomatic channels, the conversation with erstwhile CIA analyst Larry Johnson presents a completely different picture: in the Oman Gulf, in the Strait of Ormuz and along the coast of Iran seems to be getting a fresh escalation spiral.
According to the video, during the conversation, there were explosions close Iranian naval installations. At the same time, Central U.S. Command reported the shooting down of respective Iranian assault drones. Iranian sources in turn spoke of informing shots fired towards American warships.
The Reuters Agency besides reported that Iran claimed to have fired informing rockets and drones towards American warships in the Oman Gulf. The United States has denied the key aspects of this relationship. The AP agency besides reported that the U.S. military shot down Iranian drones close the Strait of Ormuz and then attacked Iranian coastal defence systems.
Johnson's main thesis: USA tests Iran's red lines
Larry Johnson interprets these events not as isolated incidents, but as part of a dangerous game. In his view, Washington is seemingly trying to find how far he can go without causing Iran to respond extensively.
It indicates the presence of American tankers KC-135. specified aircraft usually indicate that fighters are being refueled in the air — meaning that military operations are ongoing or are being prepared. For Johnson, it's a informing sign: the launch of tankers seldom means a deescalation of the conflict.
At the same time, he sees the contradiction between Trump's public rhetoric and his military actions. On the 1 hand, Trump abruptly starts talking about Iran with greater respect and avoids aggressive language. On the another hand, there are almost night attacks, incidents involving drones and attacks on Iranian targets. For Johnson, this is 1 thing: American politics seems chaotic, contradictory and uncontrollable.
Warning shots fired in the Gulf of Oman
The central point of the conversation is the alleged Iranian attack on American warships. Iranian officials claimed that They utilized rockets and drones as warnings. Johnson considers this to be likely in rule – but not as an effort to actually sink American ships.
His reasoning: If Iran had actually planned an attack, it would most likely have done differently. Rather, it sees this as a signal: the United States should refrain from certain actions towards the Strait of Ormuz or Iranian territorial interests.
It's geopolitically explosive. The Ormuz Strait remains 1 of the world's most delicate energy arteries. Any military incidental here could immediately disrupt oil, insurance, maritime transport and regional stability.
New US attacks – and the issue of retaliation
During the discussion, fresh reports were presented of US attacks on Iranian naval targets. Johnson expects in this case an Iranian reaction – most likely stronger than erstwhile counterattacks.
It is peculiarly crucial to ask where the attacks took place. If aircraft or drones were fired from bases in the Gulf States, Iran could consider their participation in the operation. Johnson lists possible locations to launch the attack, specified as the United arabian Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar or Saudi Arabia.
This turns the conflict from the direct US-Iran conflict into a regional chain reaction. And that's the danger: all attack provokes a reaction, all reaction creates a fresh justification for another attack.
Trump between diplomacy and escalation
Johnson thinks Trump fell into a trap he set himself. Apparently, he wants to show that he's forcing Iran to make a deal. At the same time, it must not appear Debates in interior policy, especially on issues specified as the freezing of Iranian assets.
The movie stresses that the release of frozen funds may be the key to reaching an agreement. However, Trump so powerfully opposed rhetorically politics Obama towards Iran that all step in this direction will be politically hard for him.
Result: Diplomacy is publically presented as strength, while in the background there is an escalation of military activities.
Israel, Lebanon and the Second Front
The function of Israel and the hazard of escalation of the conflict in Lebanon are also subject of the discussion. Johnson and his interviewer discuss the fact that Iran seemingly described Beirut as a "red line". The Israeli attack on the capital of Lebanon could be interpreted by Tehran as an attack on Iran itself.
That would be a dramatic escalation. Johnson compares this logic to classical allied guarantees: whoever attacks a peculiar ally must number for an answer.
At the same time, the conversation clearly shows that Lebanon itself is highly susceptible to attacks. The fresh Israeli offensive could not only hit Hezbollah, but besides reopen the old interior dividing lines in Lebanon. Johnson is even considering the anticipation of a revival of Lebanese civilian war.
U.S.-Israel complex: weapons, intelligence services and control
The discussion becomes peculiarly critical erstwhile we talk about fresh US legislative proposals and military cooperation with Israel. Johnson explains that any structures could seemingly lead to a closer integration of public procurement, technology and backing between the US and Israel.
His criticism: If specified programs vanish from the Pentagon budget and are classified, parliamentary oversight will become more difficult. What has previously been more transparent in the field of arms sales abroad can be further rooted in secret defence structures in the future.
This fits into a broader pattern: Israel not only receives weapons, but besides increases access to technology, information and political marinas. Johnson puts it drastically: This shows "who owns this country". This message is his political assessment alternatively than a proven fact—but reveals the essence of his analysis.
Information War as a fresh Front
The movie besides discusses Israeli intellectual operations programs, impact campaigns and digital manipulation. It besides mentions training in propaganda, analysis of mark groups, deepfakes, online activism and methods of circumventing platform limitations.
This is clear: the war is not only fought by missiles, drones and sanctions. It besides takes place through perception, platforms, media and narratives.
This dimension is peculiarly crucial in the Israeli-Iran War. Each side tries to present its actions as a reaction and the opponent's actions as a provocation. Whoever gains the advantage in interpreting events gains political influence.
Ukraine and Russia: second global escalation axis
At the end of the conversation goes to Ukraine. Johnson interprets Putin's fresh statements as a show of firm determination. Especially the Russian phrase “Work, brothers” is interpreted as an expression of historical colour – a signal that Russia will not go back.
Johnson besides sees the logic of escalation here: drone attacks on Russian targets, possible operations from the Baltic Sea region, fresh US aid to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia – all of this happening in parallel with talks about economical projects between Russia and the US. His diagnosis besides in this case is: the right hand of American politics does not know what the left is doing.
Conclusion: Washington plays with respective fires at once.
The main message of this conversation is grim: The United States simultaneously leads or supports respective escalation lines—against Iran, through Israel in Lebanon, against Russia through Ukraine and at sea around the Strait of Ormuz.
Larry Johnson's analysis comes down to 1 thing: there is no discernible, coherent strategy. There are threats, retreats, fresh attacks, negotiations, sanctions, arms supply and public concessions—all at once.
That's what the danger is.
A country that deliberately escalates a conflict may inactive be predictable under certain circumstances. However, a country whose authorities, troops, political factions and abroad allies simultaneously operate in different directions becomes unpredictable.
In the mediate East, unpredictability can become deadly very quickly.
Recent reports of drone attacks, informing shots in the Gulf of Oman and fresh US attacks show that the war is not over. It is only in a fresh phase – little visible than a major invasion, but possibly even more dangerous.
Because all night's attack, all captured drone and all rocket in the Persian Gulf can be a spark that turns a tiny skirmish into a regional war.
