In fresh weeks, the planet media has been informed that U.S. president Donald Trump has turned to Russian president Vladimir Putin, asking for mediation on atomic negotiations with Iran. This decision could have a crucial impact on the arrangement of geopolitical forces in the mediate East.
Trump's administration, since the beginning of its second term, has presented a two-track strategy towards Iran. On the 1 hand, it has reintroduced a policy of "maximum pressure", including severe economical sanctions. On the another hand, the president of the United States wishes to make a "verified atomic agreement". Russia, as a strategical partner of Iran, has the chance to play a key function in the negotiations.
The Kremlin confirmed its readiness to help, and spokesperson Dmitri Pieskov stressed that Russia "is ready to do everything in its power to aid resolve the conflict through diplomatic channels". Iranian diplomacy has not confirmed or denied these reports so far. A spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of abroad Affairs, Esmaeil Baghaei, stated that "it is natural that different countries offer assistance in specified matters."
However, Iran's highest leader, Ajatollah Ali Chamenei, remains skeptical of Trump's intentions, recalling that the US withdrew from the erstwhile agreement in 2018. Negotiations on a fresh atomic agreement face a number of crucial challenges. Each organization has its priorities and concerns that may make it hard to scope a compromise.
The main obstacles are:
* Oh, my God * atomic programme limitation: Iran must be willing to limit its atomic programme, which may be hard due to safety and prestige issues.
* Reduce sanctions: The US must be willing to mitigate economical sanctions, which can be hard due to political and economical issues.
* Action in the mediate East: Iran must be willing to limit its action in the mediate East, which may be hard due to strategical and political issues.
According to an expert on the mediate East, Prof. Nikolay Kosanov, all form of agreement will require compromise from both the US and Iran. On the 1 hand, Tehran needs a softening of sanctions, on the another hand, Washington requires a simplification in atomic programme and action in the mediate East.
In 2022, the value of trade between Russia and Iran was around $4 billion, an increase of 25% compared to the erstwhile year. Russia is besides 1 of the main arms suppliers for Iran, with billion-dollar contracts.
Negotiations on a fresh atomic agreement are very complex and require many parties. However, if a compromise can be reached, this can importantly improve the situation in the mediate East and reduce the hazard of conflict. According to experts, the success of negotiations depends on many factors, including political, economical and strategical ones.
In the future, there may be a fresh agreement to replace the erstwhile atomic agreement. However, for this to happen, the všechny parties must be willing to compromise and cooperate. Time will show whether this compromise can be achieved and safe peace in the mediate East.
