The change of law ("lex Ziobro") in Hungary gives almost 100% certainty that Polish politicians are not in danger of extradition to Poland, even if Viktor Orbán lost in the election. The law guaranteeing Romanowski and Ziobrze asylum is simply a law requiring a qualified majority to amend it.
Even if in spring, somehow, Orbán loses his position as Prime Minister – due to the fact that he “count the votes” – he will not lose real power anyway.
The Law and Justice tried to “conceive” the justice strategy – not everything worked out. Orbán concreted practically everything. He introduced the qualified majority rule, or two-thirds of the mandates. If the opposition does not gain a constitutional majority, it will not be able to change almost anything.
In Hungary, the qualified majority (2/3) is required, inter alia, in the following areas:
1. Constitutional and cardinal laws
adoption and amendment of the Constitution
- laws governing fundamental rights, political system, key state institutions and electoral law.
For example: citizenship, rights of national minorities, Members' status, constitutional order, detailed rules on the emblem and state flag.
2. Cast of the highest state posts
in the first (and frequently besides in the second) election circular the president requires a majority of two-thirds of the votes of all Members,
Parliament's choice of judges of the Constitutional Court besides requires a majority of 2/3;
The majority of 2/3 is essential for the election of the president and Deputy ultimate Audit Board.
3. Key parliamentary decisions and procedures
the law governing the position and remuneration of Members,
laws on the rights and position of national minorities and local governments, as well as the principles of their functioning,
the Army and Police Act and their core tasks,
the law governing the judicial strategy and the position of judges, including the election of the president of the ultimate Court (Curia),
the acts on Parliamentary ombudsmen and their status,
the law on local authorities and on the limitation of their basic competences,
decisions to hold proceedings behind closed doors or in breach of the average order of work,
speeding up the legislative procedure (the alleged urgent mode).
4. global agreements and emergency situations
recognising the binding power of global agreements and treaties, including those relating to European Union law, requires a majority of two-thirds of the vote.
If the opposition fails to get a constitutional majority, or qualified majority, what precisely can it pass? I'm not uncovering anything significant.