Sensational results come to us from any polls. According to them (in minority, but nevertheless) the Confederate candidate – Sławomir Mentzen, ranks minimally in front of Karol Nawrocki, a PiS candidate and has a good chance to enter the second round. Studies show that he would receive 18.9% (Wprost) and 22% (Super Express) of the votes against 16.5% and 21% of the aforementioned rival, respectively. Even if these numbers are somewhat upturned, there is no uncertainty that Nawrocki is losing and Menzten is gaining. It's even more interesting erstwhile we look backstage.
Although it is hard to prove it, 1 thing we can presume in the dark: surely there is simply a Trzaskowski staff and the media favorable to him. This can be done in 2 ways:
(a) Trzaskowski made an unofficial deal with Mentzen on the rule of "I will aid you advance myself, I will get free of the biggest rival, and you are the most successful in your career" – the classical wine-wine situation;
b) Everything takes place without Mentzen's cognition and Trzaskowski and Platform act on their own.
It would seem that the second version is more likely, and although the curious individual himself claims that the results are inflated in his favour, by observing the "flexibility" of the Confederate candidate (and any of his colleagues) in fresh years, we cannot be certain of anything.
A separate issue is Nawrocki himself. It's getting harder to defy the feeling that the PiS has put the horse on it. Yes, the president of the IPN visually looks good, but his speeches deficiency passion, conviction, charisma, and, above all, naturalness – he tries to talk like a statesman, but it looks very rigid.
Nor can there be more and more accidents: acceptance of abroad flags by Polish authorities, participation of Poles in the death in Jedwabne, the announcement of breaking relations (whatever they were) with Russia – these are only the biggest ones that show that Nawrocki does not know much about the meanders of large politics and diplomacy and indicate that in the event of a triumph in elections we could anticipate a course either to grovel or to escalate aggression depending on who is on the another side.
It surely does not make it easier for itself to be accompanied by more and more rumours about his replacement, which have so far been demented by the PiS Members.
It is even more interesting to consider the rapidly increasing activity of Mateusz Morawiecki. Word is that the erstwhile Prime Minister has a large group of supporters in the Law and Justice, which causes constant friction inside the party, as he would gladly see as a candidate individual from his circle. As it truly is, only the members of the club themselves know, but much indicates that the PiS are waiting for hard moments, due to the fact that specified divisions erstwhile the run is just before the decisive phase do not bode well. Especially in the face of an increasingly precarious situation.
The run is becoming blushing and we have more and more unknowns. In the end, however, the key date will be April 4 due to the fact that then the deadline for submitting candidates will expire. Then we'll be much wiser, all speculation will come to an end, and the election carousel will go on for good.
Source:
freemedia.net
Politics.se.pl
msn.com
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