Marcin Bogdan: Can you manipulate the truth?

The question set out in the title refers to another question, can the fact be manipulated by society? Can false conclusions be generated through the presentation of real data?

any politicians of the ruling coalition cannot accept the failure of Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential election, they do not want and cannot accept the fact that Poles elected president Karol Nawrocki to the Office. These politicians question the integrity of the choices made by suggesting various conspiracy theories. The borders of absurdity were crossed by Roman Giertych suggesting that the peripheral election commissions were overrun by conspirators, whom he called the brothers of the Camrats. The more absurd the theory, the more essential its credibility is through various analyses and publications performed by serviceable “journalists” in “friendly” media.

Owned by the German media group Ringier Axel Springer website Business Insider Poland has developed and published information on the individual compositions of all territory Election Commissions in this year's presidential election. The origin of this information was data obtained from the State Electoral Commission, which knows precisely which electoral committees notified individual members to the territory Electoral Commission. This publication was immediately duplicated by Ringier Axel Springer, a associate of the same media group, but with a much larger coverage, Onet net portal.

The authors of the survey stated that in the last presidential election there were 32 143 territory Electoral Commissions, in which there were a full of 266,658 members in the second circular of the election. They besides indicated how many members of these committees were delegated to individual electoral committees. At the same time, they calculated the percent of members seconded by individual committees to all committee members throughout the country. Thus, the committee of Rafał Trzaskowski delegated 30,780 members, which represented 11.5% of the full number of members, and the committee of Karol Nawrocki delegated 29,522 members, or 11.1% of the total. The percent calculated by authors looks surprising, gives the impression of harm, discrimination against both candidates and their committees. After all, they both won about 50% of the vote and had only about 11% of their representatives on the committees. In addition, the authors added equally "shockful" information that 43 243 members of the committee, and thus 16% of the total, represented committees that, although registered in the election but did not yet put out their candidates. And here's conspiracy explanation ready. possibly the conspiracy explanation created by Roman Giertych is ready to be authenticated. The ‘Kamrat brothers’ have taken over the electoral commissions and expelled rightful persons, i.e. those who should represent actual candidates. Reliable calculations, actual information, what is manipulation?

According to the Electoral Code, each election committee may submit 1 candidate to each peripheral commission. A associate of the committee works there from beginning to end, cannot have a replacement. Committees may study respective husbands of trust to the committee, but only 1 husband of trust from the committee may be present at the polling station during the work of the committee. It is so possible for husbands to exchange confidence, but there is besides a regulation that only 1 husband of trust from a given committee supervises the election. Therefore, the number of committee members (or likewise husbands of trust) should mention to the percent of the number of commissions alternatively than the full number of committee members. Thus, it would be objectively stated that the electoral committee of Rafał Trzaskowski delegated 30,780 members, or 95.8% possible, and the committee of Karol Nawrocki 29,522 members, or 91.8% of the legal seats assigned to him in the committees. Only these calculations are nonsubjective and at the same time leading to interesting conclusions. Both candidates and both committees announced that these elections would decide the future destiny of Poland, that they were crucial for Poland. And both committees couldn't get all the election commissions on their own. They could not find 32 143 people wanting to sit on their behalf on election committees. In the case of Karol Nawrocki, it was as much as 8% of “vacates”.

The authors of the publication of Business Insider Polska asked the question „the meaning of the electoral code provisions in forceI ask the question of the meaning of specified a publication. ” The equality of elections resulting from the Constitution means that all candidates must be treated equally, the same. It is hard to imagine that candidates with greater poll support can delegate more than 1 associate to the electoral commissions, and those with little poll support would not be able to have their representatives on the committees at all. The authors of the publication hurt that as many as 16% of the members of the committee represented committees that had registered, but yet did not exposure the candidate. They depreciate these people by accusing them of low motivations to work in election committees. Business Insider Polska cites Krzysztof Izdebski's opinion from the Batory Foundation, which states that working in election committees for these people "It's a way to make money.It’s okay. ”

Poland is divided. Divided fundamentally into 2 parts. But each of these parts of political division has its interior shades of diverse ideas and its own ambitions. The wider representation in the electoral committees of these different groups, patiia and organisations, including those who failed to collect the 100,000 signatures required for the registration of their candidate, the greater hope of a reliable monitoring of the electoral process, the greater hope that the elections will be fair. For the fairness of the election, it is most likely better for a associate of the committee to be a "seeker of money" by collecting dues for his work in the committee than individual who is willing to commit fraud on behalf of a candidate he favours. frequently in the name of a well-conceived “making” on profits received after winning from a grateful candidate. The electoral code is not perfect, but a sound analysis and evaluation of the existing provisions and regulations are needed to make sensible changes. Publishing seemingly actual but premeditated data, alternatively of improving existing laws, serves only manipulation. Manipulation with fact due to the fact that the real data given suggests false conclusions.

Mr Bogdan