According to the latest poll Kantar for TVN and TVN24, Law and Justice enjoys the support of 31% of respondents, a decrease of 3 percent points compared to the erstwhile survey. The Citizens' Coalition has 26% of the respondents' support, which is simply a drop of 4 percent points. The 3rd road with a 12% score was ranked 3rd (+3 percent points), followed by the Left with 11% (+1 percent point) and the Confederation with 8% (no change).
An increase in the number of indecisive voters is noticeable. They presently account for 8% of respondents, an increase of 3 percent points. In addition, 1% of respondents declared that they intend to vote for a “other election committee”, which is simply a 1 percent point drop.
Let us remind you that 231 mandates are needed to get the absolute majority. On the basis of the survey, the simulated division of mandates would be as follows: Law and Justice would win 173 seats, Civic Coalition – 150, 3rd Road – 52, Left – 48, Confederation – 36, and German number – 1 mandate.
How accurate is the Kantar poll? This accuracy seems to be rather high, due to the fact that before the 2019 parliamentary election, this poll accurately predicted their outcome, with an mistake of just 3.19%.
