Duda is not impartial
Andrzej Duda believes that Alexander Kwasniewski now seems to act more like a leader of a political camp than to act as president of the state. That's actually the main problem. It was accepted that the President, possibly under the influence of a close environment, especially Minister Marcin Mastalerek, is trying to build his leadership on the political phase of the right, possibly in the position of replacing Jarosław Kaczyński. Therefore, the president focuses mainly on demonstrating his strength.
Although he does not gotta face the general election, he focuses on elections inside the right-wing camp. specified a change in president Duda's course is considered 1 of the most risky elements of the current situation. In this situation, it is crucial that the president continues to act in the interests of a state which, under the Constitution, should defend. However, there is concern that otherwise the situation may become increasingly problematic.
Although it would be worth giving yourself any time to find a solution for the current deadlock, there is simply a request for inventiveness. Simon Holovnia could play this function due to his position and political personality, but at the same time he became a organization to the conflict on the issue of Members Wąsik and Kamiński.
Either we believe in the regulation of law or we don't.
In October there were hard to accept for Andrzej Duda issues related to the situation of Maciej Wąsik and Mariusz Kamiński. Although the December court ruling was hard to ignore, there was a anticipation of delaying action, at least until the budget was passed.
The discussions on justice are always difficult, especially in the context of politics. 1 concept suggests that the president should pardon the final judgment, in line with the practice that usually occurred after the judgement was given. The second concept argues that the president and the PiS organization may abuse institutions of pardon for political reasons to defend Kamiński and Wąsik.
As a result, there is simply a communicative that the President's prerogative is to pardon at his own discretion, which makes the rule of justice questionable. The price for this can be high, given the weakening of authority in Poland and the deficiency of strong voice for prominent lawyers who could settle this issue.
If we presume that the PiS seeks to destabilize and block the actions of the ruling coalition, the political and legal solution seems to be one. Threatening accelerated elections can be utilized as a threat to the Law and Justice, but if cooperation with the president is not possible, a majority of Parliament may propose shortening the word of office. It takes 307 votes, but the PiS may be willing to support this step. fast elections with the argument that governance is impossible due to obstacles posed by the PiS and the president can have disastrous consequences for them in the eyes of most of society.
After the events of October 15, we are dealing with a fresh kind of voters, more conscious and involved. The decisions concerning public media, especially TVP, were crucial to them. The business of the TVP building is considered unacceptable by them, and the detention of Wąsik and Kamiński is seen as a decision of the court that should be executed.
What will the coalition gain?
The Democratic coalition not only will not lose voters, but may even gain them in the event of accelerated elections. In specified a situation, PiS may encounter difficulties and lose energy. To reject the President's veto, 3/5 of the Sejm, or 276 seats, is needed. There are presently 28 missing tickets. They can be caught up in elections, which importantly changes the situation. It is worth considering the anticipation that if the crisis continues for months and is escalated by the PiS and the President, then we should go to accelerated elections and win them decisively.
The erstwhile president was asked if he was afraid that people could ignore the full policy and would no longer be so mobilised. He said it was risky, but in three, four, even six months, it's not a major threat. After a time of fresh power, disappointment will arise, but it may happen in a year or even in 2 years, not now. all escalation has its consequences. On the 1 hand, the Law and Justice Office may make everything difficult, claiming that the fresh government is incapable to manage, but on the another hand there is an accusation that they are the ones who put obstacles in the way of Poland.
The feeling that the Law and the president are preventing efficient governance can mobilise the electorate of the "Coalition 15 October" and unite it. Speaking about the results of accelerated elections, Kwasniewski expresses his conviction – although it is only his intuition, not his investigation consequence – that the consequence would be much better than in the election of October 15.
