- Monika Piątkowska from KO won supplementary elections in territory no. 33, winning 50.14 percent of the vote
- The call for the mobilisation of Prime Minister Donald Tusk just before the beginning of the election silence did not aid the candidate KO. However, its consequence is considerably lower than the candidates of this organization in the past
- Little reason to rejoice is the Law and Justice, which achieved a better consequence in Krakow than in fresh election cycles
- More crucial information can be found on the Onetu homepage
Victory with a Bitter Note
In the Sunday vote, Monika Piątkowska received support of 50.14 percent. For comparison, in 2023 Bogdan Klich won 70.9 percent of the votes, but then voters had only 2 candidates to choose from. This time there were 4 names on the ballot. Part of the losses of the KO candidate can be justified by opposition on the left, which in 2023 was part of the legislature Pact. However, we inactive see a large drain from the liberal-left camp.
As he counted the profile of "Senat — Field of Battle" on platform X (@SENATpolebit) in the elections to the European Parliament, parties of the alleged legislature Pact within the legislature territory no. 33 scored 62.62 percent . In the elections to the Sejm it was 66.62 percent. In the elections, the liberal-left camp reached 58.12 percent. This is simply a large and noticeable decline.
The call for the mobilisation of Prime Minister Donald Tusk just before the beginning of the election silence did not aid the candidate KO. But is it a sign of the weakness of the full government camp? We must be careful with drawing specified conclusions, due to the fact that the 16.52 percent turnout elections are not very representative. However, there is no doubt, as all polls show, that the government coalition is in a major crisis today, and if elections were held today, it would not have had the chance to keep the majority in parliament.
Revival of the PiS
Mateusz Małodziński has run for election in Krakow respective times in fresh years. It has not achieved satisfactory results so far, but this time we can find its consequence someway impressive. Looking at the national survey results and the strong position of the Confederacy, we could anticipate a level playing field for a second. However, this did not happen due to the fact that Małodziński defeated Berkowicz and won 3 times more votes.
The consequence of 31.41 percent is seldom seen with the PiS logo in Krakow. Last year's elections to the EP in this territory of PiS won 23.59 percent support, and in the 2023 elections to the Sejm it was 23.28 percent. After specified an awesome consequence of the list of Law and Justice, we must go back 4 more years, erstwhile in elections to the Sejm they reached 31.06 percent.
The Confederacy's Disasters
Adam Berkowicz won only 10.47 percent of the vote. This is worse than the average legislature result of the Confederate candidate in the 2023 election. At that time, the Confederate had 7.16% support in the elections to the Sejm, and present the polls evidence about 17%.
This illustrates the scale of defeat for Sławomir Mentzen's party. It's hard to justice what went wrong. A paratrooper candidate dropped into the district? mediocre mobilization? Or is the Confederacy overestimated in the polls again?
Hope for Together
Ewa Sładek, on the another hand, will be able to number these elections as successful. The score of 7.98 percent is the consequence of far above expectations. We don't have much to compare here. In the 2019 election to the European Parliament, together, it received 1,52% in this district, and in the 2015 election to the Sejm, it was 4.64%. possibly the left-wing candidate was helped by the controversial views of the candidate Citizens Coalition on housing.
Complementary Election Trap
Complementary elections can besides be a treacherous indicator. Low attendance can distort real preferences in a given constituency. This was besides the case in the United States last year. Democrats have managed in the top-of-the-line elections in history. It was not a single election either, but respective twelve races. However, this did not translate into any November elections erstwhile Republicans won both the presidency and control in both chambers of Congress.
The results of the elections should so be another large informing for the government coalition, and we see signs of crisis on the next front. However, we cannot approach these results as to the oracle, frequently treacherous. The PiS besides has fresh reasons for optimism. The election results may propose that polling support for Karol Nawrocki and the organization may not correspond to reality.
