The main candidates for the President's Office are fighting hard.Trzaskowski, Nawrocki and Mentzen have a decisive advantage over the another candidates. The favourite is "independent" Trzaskowski, the second place is fought by "citizen" Nawrocka and Mentzen from the Confederacy who does not hide behind any adjective. All polls indicate that in both the first circular and the second round, no substance who he fights, Trzaskowski will win. All polls besides indicate that, in the second round, the candidate "citizen" will compete and likely lose.
Until the election, there is inactive any time left and the nervousness in the largest opposition organization increases. They realize that the winner of Trzaskowski and the "closure of the system" is simply a slow but effective process of marginalization of the PiS. Unofficially, it is known that the most influential politicians of the Law and Justice are looking for a way out of this situation. Various defence variants and the search for a rescue wheel are being considered which can halt the process of elimination of the batch. There are discussions on what is more crucial for the party, on the surface until the next election or on further support for Nawrock's candidacy, which guarantees nothing and I do not think that this situation has changed radically in fresh weeks of the election campaign.
PiS and Confederacy politicians guarantee that, in the second round, the counter-candidate of Trzaskowski will support. These declarations will not change much in the final election. There is simply a concept that can truly change the current situation. It is highly likely that next day this concept will be passed on to the public. It's going to be a extremist change. Not replacing Nawrocki as another candidate as any claim but resigning the PiS from exposing their own candidate and working on convincing their own electorate to vote for Mentzen in the first round. 2 weeks between the first and the second circular is besides small time, but a period of convincing can bring the expected results. There is simply a advanced probability that, tomorrow, "citizen" candidate Dr. Nawrocki will make a dramatic and patriotic statement. As a Pole - a patriot will quit his own ambitions for the sake of the 4th Republic, keep democracy and express his support for the candidate of the Confederation not only verbal but besides active. president Kaczyński will most likely besides say something interesting about this issue and a fresh quality run will start on April 2. I hope the polls after this information will be at least equalized.
Losing the PiS conflict can win the war in the long word and save his own skin by putting the ruling coalition in a hard position.In exchange for the rescue wheel the PiS "will supply" Mentzen voters 55-65 and above, due to the fact that in these age groups the Confederate candidate has mediocre support. It's gonna happen!
https://www.liil.eu/promujnotke