Kaczyński will rub his eyes in disbelief. The 2.7 percent points in the fresh poll are the price to pay for the Constitutional Tribunal.

PiS is losing ground, while the Civic Coalition is pulling further and further ahead of the competition. The latest IBRiS poll may be peculiarly troubling for Jarosław Kaczyński. Mateusz Morawiecki, on the another hand, may have reason to pop the champagne, as the future parliamentary majority depends on him—at least according to the poll data.