Jankowski: Czech jigsaw puzzle

myslpolska.info 1 month ago

The key elections this year in Europe, unfortunately, are not the Polish ones, where we will yet decide whether to choose a puppet of American liberals or conservatives, but the Czech parliamentary elections in early October, where a turn will almost surely be made, which will translate into the policy of the European Union as a whole. This is all the more crucial in the face of Merz's threats to Hungary and Slovakia, to which EU absoluteists want to vote for 'pro-Russianity'.

W Czech elections are likely to win Andrej Babis, oligarch on the conditions there. And a populist, though it is hard to say whether specified a "right". But I'm certain it's rotating. If he had previously tried to be in the mainstream EU and its ANO (in Czech ‘Yes’), play short for "Actions of Dissatisfied Citizens") belonged to the Macron group, so after the last parliamentary election they went to the Orbanovian "Patriots for Europe". Babis besides changed rhetoric towards the war in Ukraine, now expressing many votes against involving the Czech Republic in conflict (and it is the Czech manufacture that produces ammunition for the Armed Forces of Ukraine), which only gives him support. It presently varies between 30 and 35% and in the fresh 2 hundred-member parliament would have ca. 75-80 seats. Sanitary cordon against ‘populist’? Not a chance.

The ruling coalition of Liberals, Democrats and centrists can number on about 20% of support and no more than 50 mandates, and this is glued together with so many organizations that it virtually exhausts coalition capabilities and there is no way that they will find another 50 swords in parliament. due to the fact that another formations will, but most are closer to the ANO than to the current rulers.

Right behind these 2 committees are most likely the Nationals of the SPD, headed by... a Japanese-born leader who – in order to be funnier and in Czech – had to explain himself that... he is not a racist. besides anti-war, in the parliament they can number on about 25-30 tickets, which could be adequate for the coalition with ANO, but their relation is not easy.

On the another hand, the "Patriots for Europe" include the right-wing-populist "Promise" and the motorized party, although both will not be able to vote a vote of assurance with the ANO, due to the fact that they will not take more than 15 seats combined.

W However, the Czech Republic will most likely besides be above the threshold Stacilo!“Enough!”: Coalition of Communists, National Socialists* And 1 conservative party. Personally, that's what I'm rooting for. They will take about 10 tickets, and since they had already quietly collaborated with ANO, then any form of coalition is possible if Babis lacks the majority.

The governing pro-war coalition could only number on the support of the Pirates (who have just made a deal with the Greens, the Czech Republic is simply a lifestyle) and liberals from STATE, i.e. something like our “unpartisan self-government”, but they won't even take 40 tickets together, so it's practically no chance.

There is inactive quite a few time for elections and much can change, but for the minute the Czech Republic will join Slovakia and Hungary, knocking out the teeth of von der Leyen, Merz and Macron, barely hiding with their aggressive plans to bring the full European Union up to. Hopefully this will yet translate into a wave of opposition in Poland.

* – not to be confused with Nazism, it was the leftist organization formed long before Hitler, it referred to itself as “national” due to the fact that it rejected the precedence of class fighting, but it was and is programically social democratic.

Tomasz Jankowski

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