We are watching another phase of the Cold War between Trump and China, including the hot issue, which aims to limit China's access to the alleged oil economy in the mediate East. It is so unclear whether the tail is spinning the dog, or whether the dog and the tail have a convergent interest in the context of a joint attack by Israel and the US on the theocratic Iran ruled by the Shiite Ayatollahs. Trump was always surprising, unpredictable, breaking recognized conventions and barriers, which is why in this planet run smoothly by globalists to slaughter our civilization he has a chance to halt this mournful conduct. Israel and the US attacked Iran on Saturday during Ramadan holidays erstwhile the CIA reported a gathering of respective twelve top leaders with Ayatollah Khamenei. Then Israeli aircraft dropped bombs on the site, killing the 48 highest officials of Iran. It was a weekend, the stock exchanges were closed, so there were no sharp fluctuations...
The chessboard of war...
Israel and the US have decided to bomb the negotiating table with Iran, in this context MEGA critics informing about possible casualties propose Trump became a hostage of Netanjah. There is confusion in the ranks of the patriotic MEGA movement, threatened by abandonment for MIG (MAKE ISRAEL large AGAIN). possibly it's just a substance of micro politics, versus macro and possibly the tail is actually part of the dog? Let us not forget the fast approaching autumn elections to legislature and 1⁄3 Senate. Today, we do not know how long the war with Iran will last and what its end will be. It is interesting to see the situation of China, which, allied by agreements with Iran 2 days before the attack, were swindled by the violent Afghan-Pakistan conflict. Both border countries with each another over a dimension of 2611 kilometres, separated by the Duranda line, which Afghanistan does not recognise. Pakistan carried out a series of bombings, Afghanistan attacked border posts of the neighbour. For China, it's a fire close the border...
Trump's impact and motivation...
Trump is actually playing vabank, in the upcoming election sponsorship of the MEGA conflict with MIGA may disappoint any of his constituents and then endanger to return to the land “impeachment” from a possible democratic majority. Another issue is the fresh possible reality in case of success of a peculiar operation (as Putin would say) in Iran. What can be expected of the demolition of the existing arrangement of forces in the mediate East? Will serious Shiite weakness (around 400 million in the world) origin a fast return of the Sunni extremism problem (Islamic Caliphate), which we know from fresh history?
92-million Iran is simply a immense country with many cultural groups in which the Persians make up 62% of the population (hereinafter Kurds, Belujs, Arabs) which accounts for about 1/6 of the U.S. surface (Alaska surface). 86 years Ajatollah Khamenei was not an angel, he was the leader of a violent government for opposition to a policy that late died about 30,000 Iranians, whose government was increasingly lowering their life rate. It is no secret that Khamenei was the patron of the oppressive strategy of repression. His actual reign since 1989 led Iranians to financial collapse by sponsoring paramilitary organizations in neighboring countries, and yet a prosperous country with large potential, to global isolation. But he died by hand. “Little Satan” or Israel, and thus became a symbol, a martyr generating the request for revenge and hatred.
Perhaps Trump's proposal that Iran renounces the construction of atomic weapons could not find a affirmative logical reception among Iranian decision-makers? After all, they remember the unfortunate case of Libyan leader Gaddafi, who renounced atomic weapons and was invaded (for president Obama and Hillary Clinton) and suffered a shameful death, and his country is inactive in interior combat?
This is simply a war with China...
Trump wants to rebuild the superpower and in this game his opponents are China, which late showed teeth blackmailing Western countries with an crucial monopoly on rare-earth metals as in today's world. These metals are essential for semiconductors, batteries and modern electronics including a planet race with AI that requires an incredible amount of energy. China produces about 60% of the world's uncommon earth metals and processes about 90%. Trump is actively changing this dangerous situation by securing the essential self-sufficiency in this delicate area. Trump understood Chinese blackmail and the weight of the Ormuz Strait through which 1⁄5 of the world's oil flows. Controlling this flow through the US is simply a consequence to Chinese blackmail with MZR.
Despite Western sanctions, Iran with the 4th largest resources in the planet exports around 1.9 million barrels of oil per day from this about 70% to China through a fleet of shadow tankers at low prices. The Iranian origin accounts for about 15% of all Chinese oil imports. China consumes about 11 million barrels a day. As a consequence of the war effort, the Ormuz Strait can be blocked and China can be severely affected, which is why they have late invested in organizing oil stocks, whose prices can even double to $140 per barrel. Putin would be happy too.
Iran is simply a very crucial component in Chinese safety architecture. In 2021, both countries signed Comprehensive strategical Partnership, which announced Chinese investments in Iran at $400 billion over the next 25 years. In this way, China's largest global oil importer ensured a safe supply of essential natural materials beyond US control in the event of a confrontation with Taiwan's effort to take over, and the Tehran regime's chances of economical survival. Now it could be different...
China imports around 70% of oil through the narrow Malakka Strait, which in the event of the Taiwan conflict would be blocked by the US, which is why China needs a land road to import its natural materials (Silver Trail). After Maduro was kidnapped, Chinese hopes of being installed in the world's largest oil deposit of Venezuela from which Chinese bought only 5% of their imports were burned. You can see that Trump is gradually beginning to control Chinese imports of energy so needed in the race for energy-intensive dominance AI. Trump inactive relies on Chinese MZR supplies, but importantly improves its position in negotiations with China. Similarly, the strategical situation of India in the event of the closure of the Ormuz Strait through which it hits around 60% of the oil imported by Delhi.
The war is spreading throughout the mediate East...
Sunni countries in the mediate East have clearly gone to Trump's side, especially since their territories were under strong attack by Shiite Iran due to the fact that they host American military bases. Iran sends hundreds of drones, ballistic missiles hitting Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan and of course Israel. UAE reported that the first day of the war shot 165 ballistic missiles, 2 maneuvering missiles and 541 drones. On the second day they shot down 20 ballistic missiles (8 by the sea), 2 maneuvering missiles and 311 drones. According to these, data The UAE achieved a staggering proportion of 95% of the shootings.
Russia...
Russia is inactive fighting and chopping out another rush of Ukrainian land, although late with difficulties. driven from the guest Caracas after “teleport” Maduro of the position of president as prisoner, likewise from Syria and now from Tehran, reportedly expressed interest in ending the war in Ukraine. Putin is not stupid, and he knows well that his tactical affair with China is proverbial “Sleeping with an enemy” And it can't end well. He seems to accept Trump's offer, end the war, and want to rebuild his country with war. And to Trump, everything is business...
War losses...
Reports of casualties among the attackers are coming in, the U.S. officially admitted to 3 dead and 5 badly wounded, Jews lost 9 people during the attack on Beit Shemesh plus 28 wounded. Only on the first day of the war did Iran attack at least 6 military bases in arabian states. The most spectacular drone attack destroyed American radar worth $1.1 billion. The U.S. Air Force destroyed 9 Iranian ships and demolished the buildings of the Iranian Navy. Of course, the first plan includes 4 days of bombing, 4 weeks of talk, and then you'll see. In neighbouring Iraq where the Shiites account for 60-70% of Ayatollah Ali as-Sistani announced that in the case of the killing of Ayatollah Khamenei he would release a spiritual fatwa. It's inactive besides early to admit the level of threats from the Shiite supporters. In Iran, after killing ultimate Leader Khamenei, 40 days of mourning and 7 days off work were announced. Israel, on the another hand, put its armed forces on alert and set up another 20,000 reservists.
How do we get out of this war?
Prior to the war, Iran's leaders expected to destruct the highest spiritual dignitaries and commanders had appointed another 4 suits into the depths. Unfortunately, the most crucial ones and their deputies are mostly dead. The interim chief ajatollah was appointed Alireza Arafi. boy of the murdered ultimate leader Mojtaba KhameneiWho was expected to be the successor most likely died with his father during the Israeli bombing. Trump announced that Iran's leaders' fresh suit wants to talk to Trump.
Trump called on the Iranians to go out on the street and take power, suggesting that they were deprived “head” in operation “Epicka Furia” (USA) and “The roaring lion” (Israel) the government is weak and there is simply a good chance of overthrowing it. He besides turned to the soldiers offering them immunity now in exchange for abandoning the fight, otherwise their death awaits them. The proposal besides refers to the police and besides to the muslim Revolutionary defender Corps.
There are many possible scenarios that may be the conclusion of the beginning of the war, as well as after the demolition of Libya Gaddafi, Syria Assad, or Iraq Saddam (meaning closer and further neighbours of Israel). The worst would be the script of Iran breaking up along cultural lines in bloody civilian war sauce. Then Europe would endure further waves of Iranian immigration. But there may be a Venezuelan variant, slow transmission to normalization and a secular state. For Poland, advanced energy prices can be dangerous, especially if we do not get free of the EU's German climateism virus and start utilizing coal and heat, we will be destroyed by leftist losers. It'll be as usual, which means as they sponsor, they'll fund the most powerful changes...
Trump and the mutiny in the Conservative ranks of the MAGA...
As I mentioned above we see a ferment in MAGA. Those who believed in Trump's election slogan “Americana First” are looking for it on the maps of the mediate East. They quote Trump: “We do not want to engage in alien wars. We do not want to change another governments”, “Not for fresh wars”. So Trump and Vance criticized spending the American taxpayer's money on meaningless wars not connected with the vital American business, and today? Complete reversal of argument, so commentator Tucker Carlson, erstwhile congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, Congressman Thomas Massie reminds Trump of MAGA! Even a conservative editor Alex Jones He says he's against this war of unknown consequences. Jones fears desperate attacks inside the US.
MEGA activists mention the words of the murdered leader of young conservatives Charlie Kirk: “This is insane. Changing the government will lead to a bloody civilian war, killing hundreds of thousands of people and creating a massive wave of muslim immigrants. Defeating a leader is never as easy as you think. There are almost always further consequences, civilian war and chaos. Don't let that happen!”
A seven-year-old applicant for Trump’s presidency said: “America has spent 8 trillion (in Polish) fighting and maintaining order in the mediate East. Thousands of large soldiers lost their lives and were mutilated. Millions lost their lives on the another side. Getting active in the mediate East is the worst decision you can make...”
The Conservatives at Trump camp are not isolationists, they confess America First just always ask: “Does this decision service America and its citizens and is for its sake?”.
California, 2026/03/02
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