Iskander is damaging the building of the Ukrainian government. 1294th Day of War

osw.waw.pl 1 month ago
Zdjęcie: Iskander uszkadza budynek ukraińskiego rządu


Analysis

Iskander is damaging the building of the Ukrainian government. 1294th Day of War

Andrzej Wilk
Piotr Żochowski
Source
dsns.gov.ua

The Russians proceed to invade the border areas of the Djepropetrovsk region. Moving on the front of a width of 12–15 km from the border of this region to the south of the Volcza River in the north, they occupied 7 towns (according to DeepState, 3 of them are not controlled by the aggressor and stay in the grey zone) and entered the depth of the Djepropetrowski circuit to 10 km. Their advancement comes first from the weakness of local defence (a fewer reinforcements were created with a view to resisting hostile impact from the south alternatively than from the east). There are inactive no signals to be utilized to make on a larger scale in the direction of the node of the part and, further, Zaporozhia and/or Dnieper. On the another hand, the breach will most likely let invaders to “screw” the front in the east part of the Zaporosk region – in the event of taking Pokrowszki, they will be able to strike from the north to Hulaipole, the main centre of Ukrainian defence in this area, from 2023 unsuccessfully attacked by the aggressor from the south.

Russian forces pushed the enemy distant from fresh Economics and went to the north-eastern outskirts of Myrnohradu, thus eliminating the effects of Ukrainian counterattacks from erstwhile weeks. They besides expanded the area controlled on the southwest outskirts of Pokrovska. Their positions on both sides of the bag are 10–12 km apart and their full fire control is placed under the covers. The invaders went to the east outskirts of Siewierska and activated the front south of this town, comparatively unchangeable since 2023. They have besides made further advancement north and east of Lyman, where defenders have expanding logistics problems. The main supply way of the Ukrainian group in Donbasa, leading from Kharkiv to Kramatorsk, and its section between Izium and Slavic, is to be permanently attacked (the defenders talk about 10 lost cars a day and call for the non-use of this road by civilians). The Russian effort to master the abrupt attack of the Kupansk centre was unsuccessful, however, the aggressor most likely controls its northern quarters. After more than a 100 days of fighting, he was besides scheduled to occupy Junakivka in the Suma circuit.

On September 7, the invaders conducted the most powerful air strike on Ukraine since the launch of full-scale aggression. According to the Ukrainian Air Force Command (DSP) it utilized 810 impact drones and their imitations (by 82 more than in the erstwhile evidence attack on 9 July) and 13 ballistic and maneuvering missiles. The defenders declared to neutralize 747 unmanned and shoot down 4 rockets. The main targets were Kiev, where industrial objects were mainly attacked (confirmed by NASA FIRMS fire map). The seat of the Ukrainian government was damaged (it was expected to hit the Iskander-M ballistic missile, whose warhead did not explode) and the residential building – 3 people were killed and 11 were injured (a full of 20 wounded were reported in the capital). The largest destructions outside Kiev were recorded in Zaporozh, where at least 8 "shaheds" were to be hit in industrial facilities and infrastructure, and 15 civilians were injured. Kharkov, Dniepr, Krzywy Horn, Odessa and Suma suffered (in the latter, among others, the office of the regional military administration were hit).

From a military perspective, the most crucial mark of the strike was the bridge on Dniepo in Siliconczuk, through which an crucial part of the supplies of the Ukrainian group in Donbasa passed. (via Kharkiv). The drones damaged the rail section and the bridge lifting mechanism, allowing larger units to pass underneath it. Eventually, the road section was besides excluded and a ferry crossing was organized. The front supply railway depots were directed towards circular routes. The Russians held off with attacks on the strategical crossing to Dnieper (to destruct the Antoniwski Bridge close Chersonia in the fall of 2022, the defenders contributed, thus forcing the enemy to retreat from the right bank of the river). Continued by the invaders to strike them would indicate that the aggressor is preparing for larger-scale offensive action, with an effort to return to maneuvering activities inclusive. At the same time, this would propose that Moscow at least temporarily limited its annexation plans to the east part of Ukraine.

The main goal of the massed air strike carried out by the Russians on September 3 was to base defenders west of Dniepr. Serious harm to the infrastructure occurred in the railway junction of the Żaznanka in the Kirowohradzki Oblast, through which it passes supply to the front via Krzemieńczuk and Kharkiv. Restoring train traffic began 7 hours after the attack ended. The impact on industrial facilities occurred in Chmielnicki (Kation and Nowator plants), Lviv (aircraft repair plants) and Lutsk (Motor) and the Ivanofrankiy and Kiev circuits. Also, the Rivne region and Zakarpacie were attacked. According to the DSP transmission, the aggressor utilized 502 unmanned and 24 rockets, from which the defenders disabled 430 and 21 respectively.

The invaders continued to hit energy infrastructure in north-eastern Ukraine. As a result, on September 3, the power supply in Niżyna (Czernihowski Oblast) was temporarily cut off, the next day – in Sumach, another – in Nowogrod Siewierski (Czernihowski Oblast), and on September 8 – in Szostka (sumski Oblast), as well as in the vicinity of these cities. On 8 September, Russian drones damaged the Tripolian Heat Power Plant south of Kiev, thus depriving the power of part of the Buchów district. As a consequence of a rocket attack on the Chernihs on September 4, members of the humanitarian mission to demining were injured (two people were killed and 8 were injured). On that day enemy rockets or drones besides hit Białogrod over Dniester and Odessa, on September 5 – in Dniepr, and on September 6 – in Mikołajów and Zaporoże. According to Ukrainian sources, from the evening of September 2 to the morning of September 9, the invaders utilized a combined (including both massive attacks) 1951 strike drones and their imitations and 62 rockets. The defenders were to neutralize 1,670 unmanned and 27 rockets.

On September 5, Ukrainian drones attacked the refinery in Riazana, and 2 days later – Ilska in the Krasnodarsk Country. There was a fire on the site of the former, and according to the message of the Ukrainian General Staff, an oil processing installation was hit. The same origin reported a hit at the distribution station of the Steel Horse pipeline in the Briansk Oblast, where a fire besides broke out. It was most likely another attack on the site of the Druzba pipeline, as another sources reported (a fuel base and a distribution station called the Steel Horse are located in the Orlov Region). On 4 September, Ukrainian missiles hit the fuel base in occupied Lugansk, and on 9 September – in the Bielgorod region. According to the commander of the Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Force Robert Browdi "Madiar" on 8 September, a pump station was damaged in the Włodzimierz district, pumping diesel to the Moscow pipeline. citing intelligence sources, Ukrainian media reported that the same day the pipeline and gas pipeline in the Penza area was damaged. No another sources have confirmed these reports.

3 September Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Syrski instructed the construction of underground shelters in all military training centers as shortly as possible. This decision was made due to the expanding enemy rocket and drone attacks on specified objects. The general emphasized that many works were already carried out in the summer, including underground objects and covered communication passages. In any centres, all training staff were transferred to permanent underground accommodation facilities.

4 September Ukrainian parliament adopted a bill exacerbating criminal liability for voluntary leaving a military unit during martial law. A soldier who does so is to be punished for at least 5 years in prison. In addition, the task envisages abolishing the anticipation for courts to apply mitigating circumstances, which means that penalties will be imposed regardless of the circumstantial nature of the case. The decision to tighten the rules was taken after the deadline for voluntary return of soldiers who had previously departed their units on 30 August. Currently, work for specified a step can be disciplinary, administrative or criminal – depending on the dimension and nature of the absence. The fresh regulations aim to combat desertion and strengthen discipline in the armed forces. At the same time, a spokesperson for the rights of Olha Reshetlov soldiers pointed out that The vast majority of cases of voluntary leaving a military unit concern military personnel during training or transfer to linear units, alternatively than fighting at the front.

A day later, the State Bureau of Investigation captured 5 officers of the State Border Service suspected of assisting in illegal exports of men of draft age abroad. As reported, the process took place at the Polish-Ukrainian Uhryn–Dołhobycz Passage. According to investigators, the detainees deliberately violated the passport control procedures: they did not check the data in the databases, did not registry the crossing of the border and allowed people who had no right to leave. In this way, the territory of Ukraine has left illegally at least 80 people aged 18 to 60.

According to Ukrainian Military Intelligence (HUR) Russia has importantly increased the production of Shahed-136/Geran-2 drones, reaching 2.7 1000 units per month. In addition to the combat version, the enemy besides produces “wabiki” drones – devoid of warheads, whose aim is to confuse and overload air defense.

HUR besides stated that Since the beginning of the year, about 280 000 contract soldiers have been incarnate into the Russian army.. The recruits are offered financial incentives – including 2 million rubles (about $23,000) bonus for signing the first contract.

Intelligence besides reported that approximately 6,000 North Korean civilian specialists work in the Kursk Oblast, of which over a 1000 have already arrived. Their tasks include, among others, rebuilding roads and preparing defensive lines. any sign contracts with the Ministry of Defence of the FR and take part in war activities.

According to data from the Ukrainian Chamber of Auditors, the process of demining land is slow, ineffective and dispersed organizationally. At the current rate, it could take up to 83 years to completely mine the country. The audit showed serious errors in planning, deficiency of uniform procedures, insufficient monitoring and reporting mechanisms and mediocre coordination between state institutions. Auditors are alerting that, without deep sectoral reforms, it will be impossible to reconstruct land to safe usage in a foreseeable time, and this poses a threat to food safety and economical recovery. At present, around 13.9 million hectares of land are possibly mined. Of these, 9.85 million hectares are agricultural land in 10 regions that cannot be cultivated safely.

According to data published by British Intelligence more than 19,500 Ukrainian children were forcibly deported to Russia or the occupied Crimea. any of them went to alleged reeducation camps, where, after reaching their age, they are mobilized to service in the Russian army. In consequence to these findings, the London government announced on 3 September that sanctions should be imposed on those active in the forced export of minors. The full number of Ukrainian children in the FR area is estimated at 35 1000 experts from Yale University.

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