Iran has ambushed the US: Larry Johnson warns against energy, dollar and economical crisis

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    Iran has ambushed the US: Larry Johnson warns against energy, dollar and economical crisis

    In a fresh interview, erstwhile CIA officer and intelligence analyst Larry Johnson analyses an expanding confrontation between the United States and Iran. Johnson comes to a amazing conclusion: despite raids, sanctions and military pressure, the United States has not yet achieved its strategical objectives. Instead, Washington is increasingly in a situation where the real consequences of confrontation are economical damage, geopolitical isolation and failure of global influence.

    Attacks on Bandar Abbas – more symbolic than effective?

    The starting point for discussion are fresh US attacks on targets in Bandar Abbas.

    While U.S. Central Command claims it destroyed rocket and drone launchers, Johnson notes that The Iranian authorities only study a tiny area of impact without major damage.

    For him, the full situation shows first and foremost 1 thing: the United States wants to exert pressure, but at the same time avoid direct escalation.

    "The United States hits Iran in the chest, but erstwhile Iran responds to the attack, they retreat," Johnson describes the current situation.

    In his opinion, an Iranian rocket attack on an American air base in Kuwait was deliberately planned as a informing signal, not as an effort to destruct American aircraft or soldiers. Both sides are presently balancing between war and peace.

    The negotiations are on uncertain ground.

    Western media have repeatedly reported that the fresh agreement between Washington and Tehran is close to finalising.

    Johnson is much more skeptical.

    It stresses that Iranian demands have remained unchanged for months:

    • Release of frozen Iranian assets
    • Abolition of oil sanctions
    • Completion of Israeli military operations in Gaza and Lebanon
    • Recognition of Iranian control of the Ormuz Strait

    None of these demands have yet been met.

    At the same time, the United States imposed fresh sanctions on Iranian airlines.

    For Johnson, this is not a sign of wanting to compromise, on the contrary.

    He so expects Donald Trump to one more time thwart possible negotiations as shortly as key concessions are requested.

    The actual sensation is stagflation.

    A erstwhile CIA analyst believes that the top danger lies not in the battlefield, but in the economy.

    If uncertainty related to the Ormuz Strait persists, a mixture of inflation and recession, or classical stagflation, is likely to occur.

    Increasing energy prices will increase production costs worldwide.

    At the same time, companies would reduce investment and destruct jobs.

    Johnson warns that specified developments can affect not only the United States, but the full planet economy.

    "People will lose their jobs and at the same time gotta pay higher prices. It's a killer combination."

    Semiconductor crisis as underrated threat

    Johnson pays peculiar attention to a origin that has not so far generated greater public interest: helium.

    According to him, a large part of the world's helium stocks disappeared from the marketplace due to the Gulf crisis.

    This has a direct impact on the integrated circuit industry.

    In particular, producers in Taiwan depend on helium.

    China inactive has adequate quantities and even increased production.

    Result:

    • rising semiconductor prices
    • higher smartphone costs
    • more costly computers
    • Charges of the full electronic industry

    Johnson sees another indirect advantage for China.

    The alleged divided in Iran

    Western media late reported tensions between Iranian political leaders and the Revolutionary Guard.

    Johnson thinks that specified a presentation is wishful thinking.

    He stresses that president Masoud Peseschkian, abroad Minister Abbas Aaghtschi and talker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf have close ties with the Guardians of the muslim Revolution and emerged from the same political structures.

    “There are no divisions. All these people come from the same environment.”

    He so believes that the hope of an interior collapse of Iranian leadership is unrealistic.

    Uranus is not a real problem.

    Johnson is peculiarly critical of the western debate on the Iranian atomic program.

    The discussion of enriched uranium is only a side issue.

    Even if Iran had completely abandoned its atomic program, the conflict would have continued anyway.

    “Does anyone truly believe that the US and Israel will abruptly accept Iran?”

    From his point of view, it's not uranium.

    The very existence of the muslim Republic is at stake.

    Since the overthrow of chess in 1979. The United States tried to regain influence in Iran and change the political order in the country.

    Israel as a driving force

    Johnson thinksThe demolition of the muslim Republic is 1 of Israel's main strategical objectives.

    He claims that Israel not only views Iran as a geopolitical opponent, but besides fundamentally rejects its model of existence.

    At the same time, he accuses the Israeli authorities of continually expanding the war in Lebanon.

    The fight against Hezbollah is far from as effective as it is officially portrayed.

    Although Israel inactive has a crushing advantage in the air, its capabilities are increasingly limited on land.

    The war in Lebanon as a decisive factor

    According to Johnson, events in Lebanon will yet decide whether the tensions between Washington and Tehran will be alleviated.

    Iran has repeatedly made it clear that a permanent solution is essential to end regional conflicts.

    As long as Israel continues military action, the conflict with Iran will continue.

    The Limits of American Military Power

    One of the most crucial points of intelligence is the military possible of the United States.

    Johnson claims the conflicts of fresh years have exposed the limitations of American power.

    High intake:

    • Tomahawk maneuvering missiles
    • JASSM precision missiles
    • Patriot capture missiles

    significantly reduced US reserves.

    This would reduce the chance to take action against Russia, China and another opponents.

    "The thought of an unlimited American military power has suffered a serious blow".

    Dollar loses meaning

    Finally, Johnson focuses on financial markets.

    He stresses that more and more countries are selling US government bonds alternatively of buying them.

    At the same time, oil is increasingly traded in Chinese yuan and another currencies.

    For Johnson, these are signs of historical change.

    The planet is gradually moving distant from the dollar-based financial system.

    "The planet has changed – and will not return to what it erstwhile was."

    Conclusion

    Larry Johnson draws a image of a geopolitical turning point.

    While the United States is trying to put force on Iran, the real consequences of the conflict can become visible elsewhere: in the form of rising energy prices, economical instability, strengthening China's function and decreasing assurance in Washington's financial and military dominance.

    For Johnson, this conflict has long gone beyond Iran. It is part of a global power conflict in which global order is undergoing fundamental change.

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