Reform has topped national opinion polls more than 170 consecutive times since May 2025, according to Press Association analysis of polling data. The latest figures show the party pulling 10 percentage points ahead of both Labour and the Conservatives, marking a significant shift in Britain's political landscape.
The most recent poll averages for the week ending February 15, 2026, put Reform at 29 percent. Labour and the Conservatives are tied at 19 percent each, with the Greens at 15 percent and the Liberal Democrats at 13 percent.
From third place to first
The political landscape looked entirely different after the July 2024 general election. Labour led the polls then, with the Conservatives in second place and Reform in third.
Labour's vote share began sliding towards the end of 2024 as Reform's numbers climbed. The Conservatives also saw their support fall during this period. Reform occasionally overtook Labour in January and February 2025 before establishing a consistent lead over both major parties.
Growing momentum
Reform pulled ahead of Labour and the Conservatives in early May 2025, around the time of the last local elections. The party maintained an average lead of five to six percentage points through May and June.
By September 2025, Reform's advantage had grown to nine to 10 percentage points. The Press Association compiled the analysis from data published by 10 polling organizations, including YouGov, Ipsos, Opinium, and Survation.
Note: This article was created with Artificial Intelligence (AI).