Highlights of past weeks — December 2025

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Will the United States leave Europe? This is possibly the most frequently discussed subject in the media in early December, and so the discussion of the fresh safety strategy takes first place in today's article. The last month, however, is not only the USA, Russia and the war in Ukraine. After many years, the European Union has withdrawn the ban on the sale of combustion cars after 2035, while at the same time 1 step distant from a trade agreement harmful to European farmers with the Mercosur countries. In the Polish backyard president Nawrocki decided not to organize Hanuki in the presidential palace, and Grzegorz Braun gave a amazing speech in court. This, of course, is not all that happened in December, so I invitation you to read warmly.

A fresh Key safety strategy for the USA

The United States has published its fresh safety strategy, which is seen as a fundamental turn in its policy. Each U.S. president has a work to print at least erstwhile per word a paper called National safety strategy (NSS), setting out abroad and defence policy directions. Importantly, all another papers created by the administration must be consistent with the NSS.

First of all, the US openly admits that they cannot afford to wage war on respective fronts simultaneously. Therefore, the highest precedence is the theatre in Indo-Pacific and the clash with China. Europe in this paper has been pushed to the background, and the volt of NATO is evidence of this. From now on it is to be a logistics-supporting platform, not a strict military alliance. In the event of a conflict on the US Old Continent, they will be sponsors who can freely interpret the celebrated Article 5 and decide on the scale and method of response. Europe is increasingly on its own, and it is economically, demographically weak, and its elites are striving to proceed the conflict alternatively of fast peace in Ukraine.

In this reality, all European country should take care to make its own capabilities and build alliances (including bilateral ones from the US). As it is easy to imagine, this is affecting the European Union, in which there are already signs of conflicting interests in the associate States. This shows well the subject of financial assistance to Ukraine. The thought of transferring funds from frozen Russian assets was blocked by Germany and France, and in return a fresh debt was invented, akin to that of Covid-19. Austria, Hungary, Slovakia, the Netherlands, Ireland and Malta have broken out of taking part in this process and so the burden of lending EUR 90 billion falls on a smaller number of countries, including Poland (Interestingly ]]>Prime Minister Tusk rapidly changed his head about this idea, for which he was criticized by journalists who were in favour of the media]]>).

So we see how The U.S. is playing to break up Europe and make it as weak as possible. They do so to get free of unnecessary commitments (as Europeans can fight for themselves) and to focus on the key Pacific for them. Moreover, a weak Europe is easier to submit to. The transition to bilateral agreements puts Americans in a better negotiating position, as, for example, Poland, seeking support, can sacrifice very much to keep the US in its territory.

By the way, news has late appeared that the United States is going to invest billions in the improvement of military bases in our country, which is evidently not true. It is Poland that funds all the infrastructure itself, and Washington can usage it freely under the Enhanced defence Cooperation Agreement (EDCA). That proves precisely that we must and will gotta pay a lot for any engagement of the United States in Poland, and we inactive have no warrant of military support. Meanwhile, Mr Krzysztof Wojczal (a lawyer and analyst dealing with geostrategics, author of the blog krzysztofwojczal.pl) utilized this information to sarcastically criticize people claiming that the US is leaving Europe. Well, they may not have been completely out of here, but we will gotta pay dearly for this presence, and in the end our own abilities will decide everything.

Combustion cars nevertheless legal after 2035

One of the symbols of Europe's weakness is the way it takes on ideologically driven ideas specified as electro mobility. Let's not fool ourselves, real "organic" cars are only erstwhile there is no harmful exhaust emissions or environmental harm at any phase of their production and use. Apart from carbon dioxide, we are inactive dealing with poisonous substances specified as nitrogen oxides or PM10 and PM2.5 dusts. The conclusion is that the transition to a full ecological model is simply a gigantic investment cost that will not be incurred until it is justified by real prospects of profit for producers.]]>European bureaucrats have decided to implement their utopian imagination of electromobility]]>by banning the sale of fresh combustion cars after 2035.

Without state subsidies, request for electricity was low, and companies had to rapidly make a completely fresh technology to yet see falling margins and sales volumes. In fresh years it has been said that moving distant from combustion cars is simply a dream, and the European Union must cancel the celebrated ban. Although it seemed that European creditors would conflict with the imagination of green motorization without any reflection, Finally, the ban on the sale of combustion engines after 2035 was withdrawn. The increasingly hard situation of German, Italian or French car manufacturers, the advanced costs of electricians, their sales worse than forecasts and the influx of competing cars from China - so many "red flags" were needed to yet take a step towards saving manufacture on the Old Continent.

The fresh mark is 90% simplification in CO2 emissions by 2035, which is inactive very ambitious, but this wording gives the automotive manufacture any breath in Europe. Thanks to it, manufacturers are not forced to implement 1 technology, but they can creatively approach emanation reductions, e.g. through the improvement of hybrids and efficient combustion engines.

Great farmers protests against the Mercosur deal

While the European Union has taken a step forward on the protection of Europe's automotive industry, the destiny of farmers seems to be no longer at stake. The agreement with the Mercosur countries, namely Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay, opens their commercial doors to Europe. All by removing duties on a number of goods specified as beef, poultry, sugar or ethanol. This would consequence in a drastic simplification in the prices of products on the European market, which would consequence in many native farmers facing bankruptcy. For example, Poland is the largest poultry maker in the EU, so it is not hard to figure out what inexpensive fillets from Brazil would do to Polish farmers.

Currently, work on the EU-Mercosur trade agreement has been accelerated rapidly, with the planned signing of the paper already on 12 January in Paraguay. The aim is to finalise the process during the vacation period and avoid massive farmers protests before the European Parliament (as is the case today).

Source: Al Jazeera

In addition, the president of Brazil has late put the issue on the edge of the knife, saying that not signing the contract by the end of the year means definitely breaking negotiations. The key here is that, in exchange for beginning up the European market, South America will open up its own, but to a number of industrial products, including cars and parts thereof, machinery, chemicals or textiles. As is well known, these are key elements of the German economy.

For Poland or France, home agriculture is much more important, but they failed to gather a suitable group of blocking countries. It is worth paying attention to]]> Donald Tusk's cynicism, who, despite erstwhile assurances about the fight for our business, yet recognized this agreement as safe for Polish farmers]]>. In the meantime, the package of clauses to be voted on does not include the 1 on reciprocity, which would force South American producers to comply with stringent Union standards (including pesticides). The question is, does our prime minister know about this?

Of course, our manufacture will benefit from this agreement, too, and it seems to make sense to draw South America distant from China and to become more dependent on Europe. However, the problem is that the Union acts on behalf of the peculiar interests of individual countries (e.g. Germany), regardless of the costs that another countries will incur. This is simply a structural problem for the European community, which is increasingly highlighted with progressive polarisation on the global stage. There is no specified thing as a common European interest. 1 chance is simply a threat to another. This brutal political realism leads to the conclusion that a country incapable to safe its interests will gotta accept the will of the stronger. Answer yourself, on whose side Poland is on.

Z Generation in Europe with empty pockets

Another symptom of the Old Continent's weakness is the level of financial safety of the young generation. ]]>Recently I mentioned the low level of savings of Poles]]>But as it turns out, Europeans from generation Z are in a akin situation. According to fresh studies, 80% of those surveyed in this age group admit that there is no savings to sustain themselves for at least a period in the event of occupation lossesand 30% have no savings for emergencies.

Importantly, as many as 55% of the Z generation in Europe lives 'from pay to pay', and due to the deficiency of financial security, they quit luxury for extremist savings. alternatively of spending money on therapists, 1 in 3 Brits usage AI to support emotional support. In specified a hard reality, in the absence of financial independence, people are much more susceptible to the populism of politicians and much easier to control. The question, then, is whether, in the case of the introduction of unhealthy social policies (high-cost subsidies, excessive redistribution of assets) anyone will object?

China's economy - a colossus on clay legs?

]]>For years this blog has described the situation in the global economy, including the condition of individual countries specified as China]]>. Over the years The economical growth of the Central Bank was mostly based on real estate. This sector accounted for up to 30% of its GDP in 2020. The low assurance of Chinese people in the stock exchange, and the fact that the origin of local government income was selling land to developers, made up 60% of the property of the country's citizens. erstwhile companies specified as Evergrande, operating in the model of the financial pyramid (pre-sale money went to pay off past liabilities) went bankrupt, millions of people were left with loans for housing, whose construction was stopped or which became part of a vast number of vacants.

The consequence is simply a drastic decrease in real property investment, which confirms the right bottom illustration from the following graphics. As you can see, the decrease in investment in November 2025 compared to November 2024 amounted to more than 15%, and this trend seems to be deepening from period to month. This confirms the capital escape from Chinese real estate.

This graphic contains respective another crucial data from the Chinese economy, which is worth discussing. The top right illustration shows investments in fixed assets specified as factories, bridges, roads, or infrastructure in general. specified spending artificially improved the performance of the economy, while at the same time indebting local governments. For the past 3 months we have been dealing with a decline in this kind of investment (year to year), which means that China's next engine of economical improvement is beginning to deteriorate.

Chinese property dependency confirms a drastic decline in retail dynamics, which in November grew by only 1% year to year (left top chart). Since the housing crisis drains citizens' savings, they feel little safe and like to spend little money. The consequence is deflation, due to the fact that people like to put off shopping, knowing that it will be cheaper in a small while. We besides have rising unemployment. When in 2023 there were no more than 20% of people aged 18-24 (graphic below), the government decided to suspend publication of results for six months to "improve" methodology. The following illustration shows well how abruptly in 6 months unemployment fell by over 6%. After all, for 2 years the trend has been growing, and almost 17% of young people without work, that is not good information.

Unemployment rate in China

The remedy for economical cracks in the country is intended to be an even greater focus on exports. This confirms the maintenance of a unchangeable dynamics of industrial production growth (left lower chart). China's aggressive expansion to abroad markets is straight due to its hard interior situation. If local prospects do not improve, the mediate State will be even more determined to flood the full planet with its inexpensive products (as can be seen from the European automotive market).

Nuclear fusion, is there a breakthrough coming?

In the second half of December, a series of events took place around atomic fusion, or the process of obtaining energy akin to what happens in the sun. It is simply a kind of Holy Grail of scientists, as specified power plants would produce gigantic amounts of energy at a low cost (the elements utilized for fusion, specified as helium, are common).

So what happened? Do we have a breakthrough in atomic fusion technology?

On December 19, the owner of the fact Social platform (Trump Media & Technology Group, DJT) announced a merger with TAE Technologies, a private atomic fusion company. The value of the transaction amounts to over US$6 billion, and its aim was to make the world's first publically listed company dealing with this breakthrough technology. Construction of the first power plant would start in 2026, which is unlikely. However, ambitious promises come from real needs. As we know, the tremendous expenditures on data centers, resulting from the flooded planet of artificial intelligence, require energy that the strategy simply lacks.

However, the merger of DJT with TAE Technologies raises concerns. atomic fusion is simply a technology requiring unchangeable funding, while Trump's media company is considered "meme stock" due to its advanced volatility, as can be seen in the following chart:

Quotations Trump Media & Technology Group

TAE Technologies is at a crucial phase of development. In partnership with Google, they build a Copernicus device to show that it can produce more energy than it consumes. The challenge is large due to the fact that the erstwhile arrangements warmed the plasma to 75 million degrees C, while to produce electricity effectively, you request to get a temperature of 1 billion degrees C. Their technology has a chance to succeed, but it now requires large investments to lead to its possible commercialisation.

Fusion reactor plan from TAE Technologies. Source: TAE Technologies

It's inactive a long way to go, and given the volatility of the DJT, the full thing could end at the large announcements of putting the first shovel under the commercial power plant next year. Nevertheless, atomic fusion has the chance to become the cheapest energy origin in the long term, as it would make us independent of the prices of key natural materials (coal, gas, uranium). The game is so at a advanced stake and its details deserve a separate article or ]]>Investment report]]>.

24 hours before the screen? NASDAQ will be listed non-stop

For decades, capital markets (where company shares are listed) only operate on business days and are closed for weekends. If something happens in your free time, the indices will reflect it with a slight delay. It seems that this state of affairs will shortly be history. Nasdaq Exchange, on which technology companies, among others, are listed, submitted a proposal to the Securities Commission (SEC) to let for a 24h trading of shares. If the SEC accepts this request, trade will be extended by mid-2026. specified a solution would surely reduce the price gap problem, when, for example, the company announces the results outside the beginning hours of the stock exchange. In specified a situation, the investor does not have time to make changes in position, as the next day the stock exchange already reflects fresh moods around the company.

On the another hand, to make the capital marketplace akin to the cryptocurrency marketplace in this respect raises concerns about turning the casino stock market. Wells Fargo's trading department wrote in a note to customers:

I can't imagine a single action that would "play" the stock market. It's the essence of gambling trading.

Jay Woods, the main marketplace strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, expressed concerns about the impact of this situation on the companies themselves:

Stock companies request time to announce and print information about events and meetings that will not affect the markets, and now we take it distant from them.

So are we gonna gotta spend tens of hours in front of the screens?

Not necessarily. As long-term investors, we effort to look at a broader image around companies and industries, we see key business features and we analyse trends - these things do not change overnight. However, for the sake of peace of head and average wellness at work, it is worth to be able to just give yourself a break from tracking all the information, and this guarantees the current mode of operation of the exchange.

NASA's fresh boss wants to go back to the moon.

There was a real revolution at NASA. The seat of the fresh head of the American space agency was not taken over by any authoritative or politician. For NASA is headed by Jared Isaacman, and this means that in the space manufacture we may be facing a fresh stage. Isaacman is simply a billionaire, founder of the fintech Sifht4 Payments, which in September ]]>performed the first always space walk, leaving the SpaceX Dragon capsule]]>.

Jared Isaacman, NASA's fresh boss. Source: CNBC

He is passionate about space exploration and, above all, a close associate of Elon Musk, which can mean only 1 thing - acceleration of NASA's commercialization. According to his approach, the agency should not build rockets on its own, and alternatively it is to be a customer, buying services from private companies specified as SpaceX or Blue Origin. He besides intends to conduct an in-depth audit of all technological programs and cancel all that do not support US approximation to the Moon and Mars. The main goal is to scope the Moon as shortly as possible and overtake China. This is to take place in the late 1920s and 2028s. So here we are beginning another front of the fresh Cold War.

The main challenge is to reconcile the usage of costly and obsolete SLS rockets (Space Launch System) and inactive in the Starship test phase with SpaceX, a comparatively cheaper reusable rocket. Everything indicates that the Artemis II and III missions (towing, then landing on the Moon) will benefit from the already prepared SLS, while further missions will be full under the domain of Elona Muska.

SpaceX Starship Rocket. Source: Business Wprost

The transition to full symbiosis with private companies seems to make more sense due to the fact that NASA simply can't build rockets quickly, efficiently and cheaply. All the confusion with the SLS stems from the fact that the process of its improvement continued so long that in the meantime more groundbreaking solutions (Falcon 9 and Starship from SpaceX) had arisen, while the SLS only went up erstwhile in 2022. So we have yet another fascinating phase of exploration of the cosmos, for which, as you can see, appropriate conditions are needed in interior and global politics.

The biggest coup of fresh years in Australia

On Sunday, December 14, there was a terrorist attack at the celebrated Bondi Beach in Sydney (Australia). About 1,000 people from the judaic community met there to celebrate Hanukkah. At 1 point, 2 assailants opened fire on them with a firearm and shotgun. 16 people were killed and 40 injured. The perpetrators were Sajid and Naveed Akram (father and son). A motive was considered to be hatred against individual else's religion, linked simultaneously to what is presently happening in the mediate East (link). Their links to terrorist groups from Iran are being investigated. What is crucial is that they have lived in Australia for decades. Naveed spent practically his full life in this country.

This situation shows that people should not be divided due to their race, beliefs, and faith, or alternatively to justice their actions. This is evidenced, for example, by the fact that a 43-year-old Muslim Ahmed al-Ahmed, who was an accident at the scene, came from behind 1 of the attackers and managed to disarm it before the police arrived, later suffering injuries. He did not overpower a terrorist, but he most likely helped save many human beings.

]]>https://twitter.com/KushalSharma_89status/2000257730964300275?s=20]]>

So we see how hatred fueled by ideological issues can spill around the planet and take on the cruelest forms. Evil always brings distant fresh evil.

Nawrocki rejects Hanukkah, and Braun reveals shocking information

Karol Nawrocka surely inspires emotions in the public opinion. any praise him for his firm attitude, while the government accuses him of paralyzing democracy. So far he vetoed 17 laws, which is simply a evidence consequence compared to predecessors. At the same time, he signed 117 documents, which clearly shows that there can be no paralysis. In his statements, president Nawrocki stresses that he is faithful to his beliefs and election promises. The same is actual of Hanuki. inactive during the election run in January 2025, he announced that he did not intend to organise Hanukkah celebrations at the Presidential Palace. He kept this promise by reason that he was only celebrating holidays close to him.

Meanwhile, it has already been a year since the celebrated "gasnica" seismic incidental involving Grzegorz Braun. His behaviour caused utmost emotions in society. The extinguishing of Hanukkah candles during the yearly celebrations in the Sejm in any caused designation and in others outraged at anti-Semitic pranks. For the full action he was accused of disrupting the spiritual rite, and on 8 December this year his trial began. In his course, Braun gave a speech in which he explained his motivations. He told the communicative of Rabbi Menachem Mendel Schneerson, the last rebe (leader) of the Chabad-Lubacz movement. The transcription of part of this speech is presented below:

Here is what should be said about the body: the body of a judaic individual is completely different from the body of representatives of all the nations of the world. I quote this Schneerson, whose image was exposed in the Sejm of the Republic of Poland on December 12, 2023: the judaic body looks as if it were a substance akin to non-Jewish bodies, but the meaning is that the bodies only appear to be akin in terms of material substance, external appearance and superficial quality. The difference in interior quality, however, is so large that these bodies should be considered completely different species.

Source: Expedit.org

An even greater difference exists in relation to the soul; there are 2 opposing types of souls. The non-Jewish soul comes from 3 Satanic spheres, while the judaic soul derives from holiness, from the divine sphere. The general difference between Jews and non-Jews: The hebrew was not created as a means to any another purpose, he himself is the goal, due to the fact that the substance of all divine emanation was created only to service the Jews. In the beginning God created heaven and earth – this is of course a quote from Genesis – meaning that heaven and earth were created due to the Jews who are called the beginning. This means that all, all progress, all discoveries, creation including heaven and earth are vanity compared to the Jews. The Jews are crucial due to the fact that they do not be for any another purpose; they themselves are God's purpose. The full non-Jew reality is nothing but vanity. It says, 'The strangers will stand and fall your flocks'—it is from Isaiah. The full non-Jew creation occurred only due to the Jews.

Although the political subject of “extermination of Slavs” is proven to be disinformation, the quoted passage of Braun’s message – about extremist inequality of souls – finds direct support in the writings of the founders of Chabad-Lubacz (the book “Tanya”). Braun so points out the elements of judaic fundamentalism that are in fact racist. So the question is: why do liberal elites, who fight all form of exclusion all day, in the glow of Khanu candles unreflexively legitimize the most utmost part of Judaism?

Author: Paweł Creama

Source: ]]>https://independenttrader.pl/most important-events-min-weeks-December-2025/]]>

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