The diary "Sueddeutscher Zeitung" estimates that although Prime Minister Donald Tusk obtained a vote of assurance from the Sejm, it "has not given him much".
"Poland has been in a permanent political crisis for a decade, and the presidential elections on June 1 extended it. For 8 years, the Law and Justice organization (PiS), whose name is mocked, disassembled the regulation of law – for example, but not only with loyal judges in the Constitutional Court and the ultimate Court. Donald Tusk's election triumph and his coalition of 3 parties in December 2023 changed little: PiS president Andrzej Duda stood in the way of rebuilding the regulation of law, due to the fact that he could veto any bill, which could only have been repealed by a two-thirds majority, which is not the three-party Tusk coalition," explains Florian Hassel.
He draws attention to the political weakening of Tusk, whose many are liable for the failure of candidate Citizen Coalition in the presidential election of Rafał Trzaskowski.
"At best, Poland is waiting another 2 and a half years of permanent confrontation. And given that PiS president Karol Nawrocki will be concreted for a five-year term, this will besides proceed erstwhile the democratic alliance around Tusk – or the policy that will replace him – wins the next parliamentary elections. It can be much worse if the PiS wins the next election and rules with the extremist right-wing Confederation. And erstwhile it leads to the collapse of the remainder of the regulation of law and transforms Poland into a full authoritarian regime, specified as in Hungary," Hassel estimates.
The PiS "doesn't give this government much time"
The paper "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung" ("FAZ") recounts the Sejm's debate on the motion for a vote of assurance for the Tusk government. As he writes, winning the Tusk vote "defeated the first obstacle after losing the presidential election". During the PiS debate, "he showed that he did not give this head of government much more time". The rows occupied by the Members of this organization in the Sejm remained empty during Tusk's speech, which was devoted not only to defending his government but besides to the future of the country," writes "FAZ".
Encouraged by the triumph of his candidate in the presidential election, PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński "declared earlier that he was willing to accept Tusk's resignation and otherwise made it hard for him to regulation so much that the coalition would resign before regular parliamentary elections in the fall of 2027. Sławomir Mentzen, leader of the far-right Confederate party, besides stated that 'as shortly as possible the fall of this government' is in Poland's best interest', we read in the German newspaper. "FAZ" estimates that these offensive demands of the opponent "united on Wednesday the ranks of the government coalition".
The government's first plans are waste
The Berlin diary "Der Tagesspiegel" writes that despite obtaining a vote of confidence, Tusk "is not a large winner". "The real challenges are inactive ahead of him. But at least he gained any time to meet them," says the writer Christoph von Marschall.
"Tusk must now reorganise its broad governing coalition, reshuffle government and come to a fresh agreement with its coalition partners," he adds. However, as the author points out, among specified "ununiform partners" compromises are not easy. "After the defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential election 10 days ago, the government's first plans of action became waste. The future head of state Karol Nawrocki, who represents the interests of the Law and Justice, will proceed to block the government with his right veto," explains von Marschall.
"The strategical nonsubjective for Tusk camp has changed substantially" – he estimates. Counting on Rafal Trzaskowski's triumph in the presidential election, "the Prime Minister now wanted to truly start acting – waiting for him to no longer gotta fear veto. Instead, he found himself in the defensive position and must now do everything in his power to guarantee that the PiS does not win the next parliamentary election. due to the fact that then he could proceed to reorganize the Polish state like Hungary Orbán in 2015-2023 in cooperation with the friendly PiS president Nawrocki", writes the writer "Tagesspiegel".
Tusk will be a harder partner
It envisages Tusk becoming an even more hard partner for Germany and the EU. "To an even greater degree than before he will gotta pay attention to the national interests of Poles. And in many areas they are not consistent with the political approach of the German government and the European Commission, from Green Deal, climate and energy policy, migration and asylum, to defence and relations with Ukraine," writes von Marshall.
"The fresh arrangement of forces in Warsaw is so not only a question of trust and stress test for Poland. But besides for Polish-German cooperation and for the EU" – he estimates.
