

The president plays poker with a planet order: he started Trade war with China. He's negotiating peace with the Kremlin. And I want a fresh atomic agreement with Iranian regime. Trump relies on a man who barely showed up in public before his presidency. This. Steve Witkoff, the president's trustee and peculiar envoy for delicate talks.
“The function of Wittoff is not the function of a classical negotiator with expert knowledge, delegation and negotiating mandate, but the function of advisor,” says “Bild” legend of Wolfgang Ischinger diplomacy.
Specific results? No, it's not. Russia placed its post at the embassy in Washington DC after a five-month vacancy to improve relations. In all major crises — Ukraine, Iran, the trade war with China — Indirect contacts stay without crucial progress.
— Since these first discussions have so far taken the form of close-up talks, intermediate negotiations, it is peculiarly hard to accomplish concrete results that can be recorded, says Ischinger.
Trump Thinks More
The advantage for Trump is that he can probe without commitment. “ specified exploratory formats can easy be continued without having to declare failure,” says the expert.
But the disadvantage is that Russia and Iran usage talks to buy time — or to make fresh demands. “The U.S. is conducting these preliminary discussions without involving its European and another partners,” warns Ischinger. This may later become a serious problem erstwhile implementation occurs.
While Witkoff probes, Trump thinks more: he wants break geopolitical blocks, above all strategic axis between Russia and China.
- Thanks. Western sanctions Russia is now heavy dependent on China, explains U.S. expert Josef Braml. However, this partnership is not free of tension. “ Trump tries to take advantage of the fact that Russia and China in the past did not trust each another to any extent, ” says Braml.
Geopolitical dominoes of the president of the United States
Moscow does not like the function of a “younger partner” — and that is where Trump comes in. By offering economical and safety policy, he wants to offer Russia alternative to Beijing dependency.
A possible price that Europe would first gotta pay: concessions in Ukraine War. “Trump seeks to end the war in Ukraine quickly, possibly through concessions to Russia, specified as designation of territorial claims (e.g. Crimea and Donbas),” says Braml. For Moscow, this would be a partial geopolitical success — and an incentive to be cautiously cut off from China.
What Trump does is not the main plan. But the president has a method: conducting parallel talks on respective fronts, creating pressure, options — and confusion.
Any rapprochement with Russia can affect talks with Iran. Any movement in the mediate East can put force on China.