Security of Poland and Trump's Win
The head of the General Staff of the Polish Army in an interview with “Rzeczpospolita” estimated that the changes in Poland's safety situation following a possible win by Donald Trump in the US election would be alternatively minor.
He noted that from an American position Poland is simply a associate of NATO, which provides a model for another countries to build defence capabilities to become an effective part of an allied defence system. The general added that due to geopolitical location and possible Poland is simply a key point for the safety of Central and east Europe.
The general besides referred to the hazard of the outbreak of war in Poland, stating that this is simply a real threat. However, he pointed out that the key question was whether and erstwhile to build a strategy of resilience of the state and the capabilities of the Armed Forces to fight this threat for a long time. He stressed that whether the war would break out depends mostly on Poland.
He besides added that attacking a well-prepared to defend a state whose society is ready to fight is simply a immense hazard due to the fact that aggression benefits from weakness.
Russia and demographic potential
In an interview gene. Kukuła estimated that:
Russia has demographic, natural material possible and, most importantly, a inactive functioning defence manufacture not only for war, but besides for the parallel improvement of its defence potential. The end of the war in Ukraine will greatly facilitate its expansion of its armed forces and possibly the time indicated by the Gen. Carsten Breuer's a lot shorter.
However, it is hard to find clearly whether Russia truly appears unchangeable in terms of demography. Onet portal, citing the “The Moscow Times”, published an article on October 30, which shows that Russia is presently 1 of the world's least populated countries and is expected to deteriorate.
In its further part, the text states that the situation in Russia resembles those in the last century, especially since the authorities have re-announced the fight against the West, which allegedly seeks to weaken the Russian economy. The Kremlin besides announced state investments to save the country. As part of this, Russian citizens are offered state bonds as a way to support the economy.
The current Russia, although in terms of population, resembles a country from the early 20th century, is different in terms of income and education. Optimists, who foretell Russia's bright future, point to these statistic and hope for a fresh industrialization that would make Russia 1 of the global leaders.
However, it is the demography that is meant to be the nail in the coffin for Russia.
Less and less people with uncertain data
During the 2 years of the civilian war between 1919 and 1920, russian Russia managed to make an army of 5.5 million men. In order to accomplish a akin consequence today, the Kremlin would gotta appoint all 3rd man aged 18 to 30.
This is not good news for Russia. any estimation that the country will fall even more in population density rankings in the next decade. all year it will be increasingly hard to find people who could revive the Russian economy. To change its situation, Russia would gotta focus all its forces on economical improvement and improving the quality of life of citizens. In the current war, it's not very possible.
We should besides add to this the news of the fact that soldiers from another countries, including North Korea, are entering the Russian front. By the way, this led to a fresh incidental erstwhile Korean soldiers shot at their own due to the fact that they did not separate Ukrainians from Russians. Additionally, we besides have prisoners who left their targets to be able to test themselves in war – the usage of criminals on the front is truly not good. First of all, it emphasizes the deficiencies in the soldiers even more.
It seems to me, however, that the key weakness of the gene statement. Cuckoos is that the situation on the front, as it were, remains a mystery. What we know is residual data, frequently watered with propaganda sauce. It is hard to have reliable statistic and another data that we could view as 100% actual with our hands on our hearts. Russia is specified a immense country that the power of the Kremlin does not scope very many of its corners, hence it is hard to talk of the possible demographic.
