Maciej Słomiński, Interia: Who emerges victorious from the conflict in Gaza?
Marcin Krzyżanowski, Orientalist, erstwhile consul of the Republic of Poland in Kabul: – I will insist that the conflict is not yet over. Paradoxically, at this phase it is Hamas comes out victorious. His ranks were heavy destroyed, but he survived 15 months of Israeli warfare. He survived as an organized political force and armed force. Given the way in which the fighting is conducted, IsraelIt was not apparent at all and present the existence of Hamas is his large success.
– In Israel, they are well aware of how much their image has been affected by the way they carry out war in Gaza, and this is so not an crucial issue for you. Israel has become accustomed to ostracism, his political doctrine, in addition to a key alliance with the US, assumes action in solitude.
That's right, the United States. President-elect Donald Trump demanded Hamas release all hostages before his word of office began. If it does not “start hell” – it is simply a quote. How much is simply a ceasefire and a hostage exchange due to him, and how much is the interior force of hostage families and public opinion?
– Of course, a ceasefire is the consequence of pressure. United StatesIt wouldn't have worked without them. Israeli society is very divided about the ceasefire, as in many others. There is simply a very active group that supports the ceasefire and diplomatic solution. There is besides a mirror reflection that opposes any conversation or negotiation with muslim terrorists according to the principle: “no step back.” The another group, speaking brutally, claims that hostages should be sacrificed in the name of national security.
What next, is this war over?
– A ceasefire is simply a problematic solution, as long as, on the 1 hand, it relieves the suffering of civilians, but on the another hand it does not resolve the conflict. Hamas remains a threat to Israel, inactive denying him the right to exist. It is only a substance of time before Israel strikes again.
– It's definitely not the end of the war, it's far from over. It's just a momentary breath. It may happen very rapidly to resume the war. The proposed ceasefire is divided into 3 phases, with details only the first. It is possible, and even probable, that the ceasefire will end after the first phase.
The ceasefire does not alter the government in the region
~ Marcin Krzyżanowski
– If the conflict were to end, it is inactive unclear who will rebuild Gaza, whose means will it become and who will regulation the zone? At this point, there is no political alternate for Hamas, and I believe that this ceasefire does not solve anything and is inactive a major unresolved problem for Israel.
– The suspension of arms does not change the government of forces in the region, although it does item the function played by Qatar. It is simply a tiny country territorially but with virtually unlimited cash resources. A fewer years. Qatar powerfully spread elbows in the region to become a key player – it has any successes in this respect, as mentioned in Syriaas well as the winning exit from the conflict with Saudi ArabiaThat wouldn't have happened if it hadn't been for the backup Turkey and Iran.
What is the situation in the West Bank of Jordan? Did the conflict in Gaza affect the second part of the Palestinian Authority?
– The war in Gaza has definitely overshadowed the West Bank, where the scale of the conflict is smaller. However, the conflict continues – respective twelve terrorist attacks took place last year and a akin number of judaic settlers attacked the Arabs.
Maciej Słomiński spoke
