I utilized to be a supporter of the Europaeum Empire: rejecting Atlantism and Demoliberism by awakening imperial and powerful instincts in Europe and returning this way to Tradition.
After a series of crises started in 2008, to which the European Union has proved helpless, I have yet found that it is besides late for Europe: it is besides corrupt, besides lifeless, besides dynamic, besides energyless, besides passionous. She lacks flexibility, suffers from a failure of will, is despondent and crushed. De facto, she's dead. The reasons for this are different – external (damaged in 2 parts of the titanic 20th century planet War) and interior (own antinome of European civilization).
It's not that I'm no longer a good thought of Europe. Gibellian, Staufic, ethnos, tradition, chivalry, monarchy would be the perfect “home” for me. I just know that this thought is dead. The civilization of Aryan Europe is dead. Tradition never became a tradition again. Or else: Europe as we know it will never be reborn in Tradition again. “Our” Europe lives only in the memories of its history.
Over the last fewer years, I have hoped that the alternate to demoliberal globalisation will be “asianism”. That China is going to cover the planet with their trade routes. That Germany and Europe will be integrated into this network. That Nord Stream 2 and fresh Silk Road will be formed, which will connect Russia with Germany and China with Europe.
That in this fresh planet strategy of marginalization the USA, Poland and Ukraine will succumb. That marginalization, and in the case of Ukraine besides a civilizational degradation, will lead to political bankruptcy of the Atlantic option (in Ukraine it was close after the failure of Poroshenko) and in the US to the bankruptcy of globalists and the revival of the isolationist stream.
In specified changed conditions, it would be possible hypothetically to redefin Polishness. Settlement of Poland as a “piast” national state in a conservative, tellurocratic “eastern” order. Our country's entry into the Asia Age forecast by Parag Khanna. It would, of course, be essential to reconciliate with Russia and Belarus, to value the Slavic origin towards Latin.
In fact, everything in the global arena was heading in the right direction until February 24. Russia's attack on Ukraine has all these successful tendencies cut. NS2 and NJS is simply a communicative today. In Germany, the tendencies to go beyond Atlanticism have at least temporarily been suppressed. NATO has besides been strengthened and de facto expanded (to include Scandinavia and Ukraine). In Poland the grip of the strategy closed and the free public debate became virtually impossible.
If Russia had won this war, there would have been any benefits: the rebuilt Russian empire would have become a planet player from a real event; the Asian Chinese-Russian bloc would have been strengthened against the compromised NATO; conservative Russia would have become the “Piemont” of the identity revolution in Europe and a natural mention point for traditionalist forces.
Russia could have won this war. She could have occupied all of Ukraine during the first weeks of the war – preparing for it earlier and leading it “for real”. She could have attacked in the winter of 2021. It could have paralyzed the Ukrainian state and the EU energy. She could have cast not 150,000 soldiers on Ukraine, but 1.5 million.
Russia, however, is not morally capable of conducting a real war. She wanted to do an armed demonstration, hoping Ukraine would fall apart. erstwhile it turned out that the Ukrainians had resisted, Russia dreamed of nothing but keeping appearances, as shortly as possible to get out of the short circuit.
The only centre in Russia exhibiting passionateness is the Patriarchate of Moscow taking on the thought of "gathering the Russian lands", the Orthodox Empire and the crusade against infidel demoliberals. Russian Church is the last of the “old” Christian Churches to show any reflexes of life. However, Orthodoxy is seemingly besides weak in Russia to let Moscow to undertake the work of "collection of Russian lands" and rebuild the Orthodox Empire.
Russia, therefore, continuing its policy (and the change would require the overthrow of the Putin system), will not win this war. It became clear to me erstwhile the mobilization that was Russia's last chance was interrupted. Since then, I have ceased to be curious in this war due to the fact that its result is bound. The failure of Chersonia by Russia is only a direct manifestation of a disaster, the phrase towards which Russia interrupted its mobilization. After all, Russia will no longer push again the Dnieper on which it destroyed all bridges. She won't be occupying Snake Island again, which she evacuated earlier.
Russia's failure of Kherson is simply a nail to her coffin. Russia will no longer control Odessa. It will not cut Ukraine from the Black Sea. He can't penetrate the corridor to Transnistria. She can't shoot Santa anymore. The Ukrainians, however, took control of the sources of fresh water for Crimea and took positions from which they could fire on Crimea's supply routes by land. Russia so definitively lost its strategical initiative. Not even another 300 1000 reservists from the current haul will change that, due to the fact that it is not a force that allows even offensive action, let alone the seizure of the full Ukraine.
Russia may hold any of its conquests (personally, but I think Ukraine and the West will "not let go" and Russia will lose everything, possibly outside Crimea) or even grow the state of possession in the Donetsk Basin. The fiasco of the "Chersonian People's Republic" and the annexation of the Kherson region (which previously organized a farce "referendum" in an effort to win the local population) and the earlier reiterade of the Kharkiv region (where local residents were besides maimed) reduces Russia's political credibility to zero and does not let it to be treated as a serious state any longer.
At least 90% Ukraine will most likely be incorporated into the West. Ukraine will become an alternate Slavic and Orthodox centre for Russia – an anti-Russian task not only geopolitical but besides civilizational. In time this means, of necessity, the separation of Belarus from Russia and possibly even the territorial decomposition of the Russian Federation itself. Thus, the demolition of a separate Orthodox civilization.
Therefore, I have besides lost religion in the Eurasian project, as before in the pan-European project. Eurasianism is dead present due to the fact that Eurasian cannot be without Ukraine. Pro-Russian orientation doesn't make sense today. Mainly due to the fact that the Russians proved to be “unworthy” of the Empire, besides degenerate to build them. The orientation of Russia does not in any way strengthen the Antisystem in Poland, and even begins to compromise it.
The Russian power no longer exists. For 20 years Vladimir Putin's rule, Russia has not developed economical foundations for it. Putin Russia is simply a demoralized kleptocratic regime, unilaterally dependent on the sale of natural materials and unprocessed products to the West. If it wasn't for hydrocarbons, the standard of surviving in Russia would be like in Ukraine or Moldova today. Diversification of exports has been carried out since 2014 unsettledly and without conviction, for Putin himself is simply a "fallover". Just compare this Russian developmental marazme with what Germany and Japan were in 1945 and what they were in 1965. Russia, in 20 years of Putin's rule, has not upgraded its army or economy. Nor did she make a coherent ideology or rise a society in it.
Of course, in the fresh reality, China will proceed to grow its economical impact in the world. However, the road to Europe, which is under strict control of the US and with a tight, demoliberous ideological muzzle, will be closed. So change will make somewhere on the another side of the planet and will most likely not lead to a global breakthrough.
What is left of us in this situation is to support the strengthening of our state within the Atlantic bloc in order to have a material back-up if this bloc were in crisis and it became possible for it to be spread or even secession from it. Today, it is possible to strengthen our material and symbolic potential: by atomic power, territorial defence troops, atomic Sharing programme, the excavation of the Vistula River, the reconstruction of the Saxon Palace, in time it can rebuild the Polish weapons manufacture and expel US troops from Poland.
If (when?) Russia will yet lose, Polish demands should be to incorporate into a comprehensive peace treaty and to make 1 of the pillars of the fresh safety architecture in Europe the demilitarisation of the Kaliningrad region and the liquidation or close control of Russian offensive weapons capable of threatening Poland.
The planet is changing, the war in Ukraine will find its fresh shape, possibly even for decades. It will be a fatal form from the point of view of the Antisystem, but we have no influence on it. All we gotta choose is to accept the facts in a manly way and consider how to draw as many benefits from them as possible, or to tap the ft and stick to the dead concept.
Ronald Lasecki
