Written by: Jakub Pelc, Ksawery Stawiński, Adam Jankowski
02.09.2024
High-ranked military arrest for corruption
Deputy Commander of the recently formed Leningrad Military District, Major General Walerij Muminjanov, was arrested on charges of receiving bribes. Mumindzhanov is accused of accepting bribes of over 20 million rubles in exchange for helping companies to get government contracts for the supply of military uniforms at the time he served as head of the Ministry of Defence's supply department. According to the Russian Investigative Committee, which investigates serious corruption crimes, military uniform contracts amounted to over 1.5 billion rubles. Mumindzhanov and his household own respective properties in Moscow and Voronese Oblast worth over 120 million rubles. These properties proceed to be checked by the Russian services and police with respect to the legality and possible link with corruption. Mumindzhanov is another high-ranking military officer who was arrested in 2024 on charges of corruption. The case is linked to a wide-ranging action which is considered to be a purgatory in the Russian Ministry of Defence. The series of arrests began in April 2024 with the detention of erstwhile Deputy Minister of Defence Timur Ivanov, who is seen as an ally of erstwhile Minister of Defence Sergei Szojgu replaced in this post by Andrei Belousov.
03.09.2024
Vladimir Putin's visit to Mongolia
Russian president Vladimir Putin visited Mongolia. This is his first journey since 2023 to a country that signed the Rome Statute and accepts the jurisdiction of the global Criminal Court, which issued a warrant for the arrest of the Russian leader on charges of committing war crimes during the invasion of Ukraine. Putin's plane landed in Mongolia's capital Ulan Bator 02.09.2024. That's where she greeted him with an honorary servant who walked over the red carpet. 03.09.2024 Putin arrived at the center of Ulan Bator for the authoritative ceremony of gathering with Mongolian president Ukhnagiin Churelsukh. They then conducted negotiations in a narrow group in the nomad yurt at the State Palace. The discussions continued in an extended format involving diplomats of both countries and representatives of the government of Mongolia. Putin stated that relations between the 2 countries are "dynamically developing" and Churelsuch talked about "the most urgent global and regional problems". He didn't specify which one. The visit was carefully planned and Mongolian authorities assured that they did not intend to arrest the president of the Russian Federation. This country cannot afford to carry out specified actions, due to the hard geopolitical situation between Russia and the People's Republic of China and the economic, economical and natural material dependence on Moscow.
10.09.2024
Massive attack of Ukrainian drones on western Russia
Ukraine has conducted the largest drone attack on the capital of Russia since the start of the war on a full scale. According to the Russian authorities, more than 140 drones entered Russia early in the morning of September 10, and anti-aircraft defence reportedly shot down at least 20 in the Moscow Oblast. The city of Ramienskoje, a suburb of Moscow, suffered the most harm where drone attacks damaged 3 residential buildings, wounding 3 residents and killing one. The attack occurred at a time erstwhile it is considered in the West to let Ukraine to usage western long-range missiles to attack Russia's territory, in peculiar essential military facilities and installations. In addition to the Moscow circuit, drones besides appeared in the Brian region, close to the border with Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Defence reported a 72 drone interception in that region. politician Alexander Bogomaz described the attack as “great”, but stated that there were no casualties or damage. The Ministry of National Defence of Russia in the communication stated that 14 further drones were intercepted over Kursk, 13 over the Tula and 25 over 5 another parts of the country.
14.09.2024
BRICS Summit in Kazan
Deputy Minister of abroad Affairs of the Russian Federation Siergier Riabkov stated that more than 20 state leaders confirmed the participation in the BRICS summit to be held in Kazan. 14 September typical of the Ministry of abroad Affairs Russian Federation Maria Zacharova announced that the BRICS conference to be held in Kazan on 22-24 October would become a planet sensation. In her speech, Zacharov pointed out that so far the Russian Federation, as president of BRICS, has already organised over 150 events at various levels. However, the central event will be the summit in the capital Republic of Tatarstan . In addition, Deputy Minister of abroad Affairs of the People's Republic of China Chen Xiaodong said that China intend to advance effective cooperation between BRICS countries in the field of security. Dmitry Pieskov besides reported that there is simply a anticipation to postpone the BRICS summit due to possible drone attacks from the Ukrainian side. The organisation of the conference is simply a precedence event for Russia, cooperation with the BRICS platform is crucial to build an crucial counterweight to broken relations with the West.
20.09.2024
Budget gap and inflation
Budget hole Russia is expected to scope 2% at the end of the year. Although the fresh forecast importantly increases erstwhile projections (defined at 1.1%), this is not a serious problem for the Russian Federation. The missing sum of 4 billion rubles The Ministry of Finance may effort to supplement the loans drawn on the home market.
However, at the same time the Central Bank of Russia raised interest rate up to 19% per year. Consequently, State loans would imply that even more funds are needed from the budget to finance major interest. Invigorated request in the interior marketplace mainly due to expenditure on the arms sector raises the price products in the country.
Inflation in Russia is expected to scope 8% at the end of this year. The measures taken by the Central Bank may intensify in the future. Another interest rate increase is expected in October, this time up to 20%. The policy is intended to ease inflation. The goal is to scope its size of 5% year-on-year in December 2025.
20.09.2024
Did the Russians know about the planned attack on the Kursk Oblast?
At the end of the month, she echoed publication An article in British The Guardian. The Ukrainian side had, during its offensive to the Kursk Oblast, obtained papers proving that the Russians knew about the planned operation. Furthermore, the information obtained indicated an exceptionally low morale in the Russian ranks.
The Kremlin was to get news of Ukrainian plans by the end of 2023. This is at odds with the cognition so far about the strict secrecy of Kiev, and the fast pace of implementation of the plan. In addition, revelations about specified a low morale among Russians that they commit gruesome suicides (e.g. through a shot in the stomach), besides rise questions about their authenticity.
The way The Guardian obtained these papers further undermines their credibility. They come from a group of peculiar troops of Ukraine, which won them after taking part of the Kurski Oblast. It may be part of an ongoing information war. The paper stresses that its representatives had no way of verifying the authenticity of documents. No less, edited versions of the article appeared massively in the planet press.
22.09 The British lobbies Americans for hitting inside Russia
In September there were respective meetings Top ranking British officials with US president Joe Biden. The talks focused on giving Ukrainians approval to attack targets in deep Russia utilizing Storm Shadow missiles handed over to Kiev. The case besides concerns Atacms missiles. Allies are not unanimous in giving consent to the full usage of specified weapons by Ukrainians.
The German position is of peculiar interest. Chancellor. as a typical of the most crucial state on the Continent, he powerfully opposed the sending of German long-range Taurus missiles to Ukraine. Olaf Scholz stated “Germany has made a clear decision about what they are going to do and what they are not going to do. This decision will not be amended’
Moving Russian red lines can be all the more difficult, in the context of the late announced update of the Kremlin's atomic doctrine. Nevertheless, the British proceed to lobby by Ukrainian means and proceed their efforts to let targets to be attacked inside Russia. Minister of the British Ministry of abroad Affairs saysthat the time has come for: ,,[strong] nerves and courage.”
25.09.2024
New atomic Doctrine
At the gathering of the safety Council of the Russian Federation, the body liable for shaping Russia's atomic policy, Putin announced update the doctrine. The policy established in 2020, 2 years before the invasion of Ukraine, requires it to be adapted to the fresh realities. Especially after the Ukrainian offensive to the Kursk Oblast. Putin in his own words, urges readers to pay peculiar attention to 2 main issues, which include an update:
1. The right to atomic consequence to non-nuclear state aggression against Russia if the aggressor is assisted by an ally with atomic arsenal.
2. The right to usage its own atomic arsenal in the event of obtaining reliable information about Russian conventional rocket waves approaching the territory.
These are completely fresh scenarios in which Moscow reserves the right to usage atomic weapons. So far, Russia has reserved itself with specified a right only when,the existence of the Russian State is at riskIt’s okay. ” This is surely the announcement of a lowering of the threshold of entry into the atomic arsenal conflict.
The fresh issues raised by Putin, on the 1 hand, item the red lines already drawn – the non-war in Russia. On the another hand, it makes it essential to ask whether the occupied areas of east Ukraine are besides covered by atomic protection? It is the Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporoski, Khersonski and Crimea Circuits. The Oblast of Kursk is besides problematic. erstwhile the full paper has been published, it will be compiled on the INE website.
30.09.2024
Russia will allocate 40% of all military spending
On Monday 30 September, to Duma was submitted Draft budget for 2025. The proposed scale of arms spending is the largest since russian intervention in Afghanistan, during which Soviets besides developed their atomic capabilities. The task assumes a 25% increase in military spending compared to 2024. Its full amount is expected to be $447 billion and includes 32% of the full expenditure of the Russian state.
This is not the full Russian expenditure on the defence sector. If account is besides taken of the budget allocated to the alleged national safety area (co-financing the Russian intelligence min.) then full state expenditure will emergence to the level 41%. This amount equals 8% of the country's GDP.
In addition to the fact that there is simply a immense amount of spending, the information provided is crucial for 1 more reason. The vast increase in funds allocated to the military is simply a reversal of the current trend. Last year's financial plan for 2025 assumed a slow simplification in the amount of money spent in arms. This abrupt phrase announces the Kremlin's willingness to wage a further intense war with Ukraine and the West. The decisions were likely influenced by events in the Kursk Oblast
