An expert on Trump's announcements. “He shook the table, but did not turn it over”

Israeli Prime MinisterBinjamin Netanjahu was the first abroad leader to meet his starting second word in White Donald Trump. During the joint conference, however, the case took on an unexpected turn due to the fact that a Republican, out of nowhere, dropped a real diplomatic bomb into the world, which seemed amazed to be the head of the Israeli government itself.

– The United States will take over the Gaza Strip. We'll be liable for disassembling all the threats, bombs and another weapons in this area, leveling the area and disposing of the destroyed buildings. We will make economical improvement that will supply an unlimited number of jobs and housing for the inhabitants of this area," Trump announced, stating that it would transform the destroyed 15 period war Israeland Hamas enclave in “riviera Middle East‘. He previously argued that Palestinians should be permanently resettled to Jordan beEgyptauWhat happened to the harsh opposition.

– The fundamental question is: was this the announcement of the implementation of a specific American politics to Gaza and Israeli-Palestinian conflict And how it would run. If it had actually happened displacement of the Palestinian populationThen where and what means? Would that be done by an American army who would agree to accept specified a population? There is besides a clear presumption that Palestinians will not voluntarily leave their homes in the Gaza Strip. From this perspective, the announcement is contrary to what the American president has said so far about besides much not engaging militarily in “hard” regions and trying to end endless wars," he notes in his conversation with Interia Dr. Michał Wojnarowicz (PISM).

As the analyst emphasizes, a Republican's message, both of which are to be permanent displacement, as well as that the population that lives under disastrous conditions is to benefit from it, is inconsistent. There is besides a financial issue. In short, whose money would Trump want to build this "near east riviera" for?

However, there is simply a second interpretation, which – as Dr. Wojnarowicz explains – would be primarily an effort to make specified an effect which will lead to a more favourable negotiating position. “In short: we are bidding advanced now, but the point is to accomplish the originally set goal, not as utmost as the fresh proposals of the American side”, he explains.

There's no way to hide that Trump's announcement gave wind to the sails Israel’s far right. Although the politician did not address the issue of building judaic settlements in the Palestinian enclave, enthusiasm is noticeable.

– The Israeli far right will anticipate to implement this plan, but knowing that it will not happen overnight. For Netanjah It's a small stabilizing due to the fact that it gives him a tool to convince coalitions Acceptable another phase of ceasefire and hostage exchange Palestinian prisoners. As a "reward", they see a imagination of Americans taking work for the Gaza Strip," our interlocutor points out.

But on the another side they stand alone Palestinians, including Hamas, and besides Egypt and Jordanwhich explicitly opposed the admission of Palestinian refugees. – The question of what the second visit of the mediate east leader to Donald Trump will be like, King Abdullah of Jordan, scheduled for next week in The White House – emphasizes the analyst.

Another issue is mentioned Hamas, or Palestinian terrorist organization, behind the 7 October 2023 attack on Israel, from which the war in the enclave began. After 15 months of dense fighting that ravaged Palestinian territory, the parties managed to scope a truce. “Why would Hamas suspend his weapon in this situation if he is threatened with an “American invasion”?” says Dr. Wojnarowicz.

– We see a lot here. information sound and conflicting messages. It seems that Trump shook this negotiating table very strongly, but inactive did not tip it over – he evaluates.

According to the influential Israeli paper ‘Haaretz’, there is no correlation between Trump’s fantasy of World Peace and the solution he proposed. "Trump's message is simply a celebration of getting out of control of patting on the back alternatively than launching a large-scale historical project. It is rather possible that Trump will proceed to insist on this thought due to his rebellious nature, but the outlines of the plan – if always implemented – will change beyond recognition," he pointed out.

The attention of Israeli journalists did not escape either Netanjah's own behaviorwhich – unlike the American leader – seemed little relaxed. "Netanjahu seemed to not know how to respond to this bizarre plan", "The Prime Minister sat tight on the edge of the chair and smiled alternatively with embarrassment" – these are just any observations.

– Netanyahu repeated during the gathering the main goals that the Israelis had set themselves, or Hamas demilitarisation, deprivation of government in the Gaza Strip, release hostages and making Gaza Strip it will not pose a threat to Israel. This 3rd mark was the least specific, it was not known precisely what it meant. And that's where Trump directs his message. This improves the situation of Netanjah in any way within its coalition, as described by Dr. Wojnarowicz.

As any commentators point out, the words concerning displacement of Palestinians These are mainly Trump's messages, not Netanjahu, who have officially refused specified statements.

– The fact that there are specified serious declarations about American engagement in the region surely creates any kind of concern. However, commentators point out that Trump likes to play with uncertainty and understatements, and his most far-reaching declarations first fail, and secondly have a different purpose. This can be seen at the example of a debate about Panama Canal and Greenland. So I think that the plan to make the "near east riviera" from the Gaza Strip is, for the moment, a alternatively political-diplomatic show, but it cannot be conclusively determined," concludes the expert.

Nina Nowakowska