W Donald Trumpie, the real property mogul is awake. And his fantasy will bring eternal war

This would not be a war caused by any ambition to introduce democracy in the mediate East. It would be a conflict. fuelled by fantasy tycoon on the real property market. This would make the United States an even clearer mark for any aspiring jihadist group and would bring the full region into greater turbulence, destabilizing allies from Cairo to Riyadh.

This could draw American land troops — which Trump did not regulation out — into long - word city battles. Removing Palestinians as part of forced displacement of the population would provoke words of condemnation from all over the world, or possibly even prosecution.

However, all developer should know that before they throw out residents and start building, must face the protesters — in this case with Egypt, Jordan and the Gulf Arabs. No wonder they're not impressed by the idea.

In a message made last night Saudi Arabia completely rejected the displacement of Palestinians from the land of their ancestors and warned that it would not normalize relations with Israel without establishing a Palestinian state. This is simply a decision that would destruct Finalization of Abrahamic Agreements — the Arab-Israeli standardisation process that Trump started during his first word of office and has been moving rapidly since 2020.

During Trump's extraordinary press conference on the Gaza Strip, which provoked outrage, Israeli Prime Minister Binjamin Netanyahu was happy to hear the president of the United States argue that 1.8 million Palestinians surviving in Gaza Strip should simply decision to neighbouring countries with "humanistic hearts" and "great wealth".

According to him and Netanjah, they will yet be able to change the mediate East paradigm. They have given up on what all president of the United States has been trying to accomplish since Jimmy Carter — negotiating a two-state solution — and have been replacing them with what Israeli politicians of the far right have wanted for years: to get free of the "Palestinian problem" by getting free of Palestinians.

Arab States powerfully reject Trump's terms

However, can any Persian Gulf leader hazard facilitating something that, according to all intentions and objectives, would be ethnically pure and violate global law — not to mention the rage it would origin on their own streets, possibly threatening their regimes?

Salafic-jihadist enemies of the royal families of the Persian Gulf would rise immense political capital to root out the people of the Gaza Strip and all the echoes of historical resettlement, including nakby (catastrophy) — escapes and exiles of around 700,000 Palestinians in 1948.

In his speech Trump besides listed Egypt and Jordan as possible destinations for displaced Palestinians. However, both Abd al-Fattah as-Sisi, president of Egypt, and Jordanian King Abdullah repeatedly opposed Trump's plan to resettle Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to their countries. They besides warned him from the first week of his office, erstwhile the recently inaugurated president carelessly told journalists about his counterpart from Cairo: “I helped him very much, and I hope he will aid us. I think he will welcome Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and I believe the king of Jordan will do the same.”

Trump's administration is counting on him to be able to force Cairo and Amman, threatening to cut off American aid due to the fact that both countries are straight dependent on it. Without aid, they would be forced to introduce austerity measures, risking political and economical turmoil. Last week Trump suggested that he felt that he had influence: “They will. They'll do it... We do a lot for them and they will do it," he assured.

Ashraf Amra / Anadol/ABACAPRESS.COM / PAP

Palestinian refugees. Nusajrat, 5 February 2025.

However, so far, financial blackmail has not produced the expected results. The Egyptian leader repeated last week his refusal to resettle any Palestinians to his country, saying: “The displacement and removal of the Palestinian people from his land is an injustice we will never participate in‘.

King Abdullah told European officials in Brussels that Jordan remains unwavering "as regards the necessity to settle Palestinians on their land and get their legitimate rights, according to a two-state solution".

Moreover, as the news did not seem to scope the main addressee, leading diplomats from Egypt, Jordan, the United arabian Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Qatar They powerfully rejected any forced displacement of Palestinians during a Saturday gathering in Cairo.

"We confirm our rejection of violating the inalienable rights of Palestinians, whether through settlement activities or evictions or annexation of land, or by emptying land from their owners ... in any form or under any circumstances or justification," they stated in a joint communication.

Provocation or serious plan?

So it seems that American financial coercion may have its limits. Both leaders found themselves between the hammer and the hardwood, but while stopping American aid would origin serious political problems, The hazard to their own endurance would most likely be even greater, if they agreed to relocate 1.8 million angry and angry Gazans — along with Hamas.

Egyptian Presidency / Handout / Anadolu / AFP

Abdullah II, King of Jordan, and Abd al-Fattah as-Sisi, president of Egypt. Cairo, 16 December 2024.

Abdullah was only 8 years old erstwhile Jordan sank into the 1970 civilian war. His father, King Hussein, fought the Palestine Liberation Organization for control of the country. Jordanian monarch attacked the OWP to preserve Hashemid regulation After respective failed assassination attempts and 3 hijacked flights. His boy most likely would not want to exposure himself or his heirs to the hazard of the monarchy being again threatened by an intruder.

Meanwhile, Sisi's safety forces in Egypt are already active in a long-term counteroffensive against muslim militant groups in SinaiWhere displaced Gazans would most likely should be accommodated. Leaders in the region can so only hope that Trump is not serious; that it is only a preliminary gambit.

They can besides play on time, hoping to distract him with another deals and transactions, specified as improving the Abrahamic Agreements. For example, Saudis can agree to normalize relations, unless the Trump plan for Gaza continues.

ANDY RAIN / POOL / PAP

Donald Trump, president of the United States, and Muhammad ibn Salman, heir to the throne of Saudi Arabia, at the G20 summit. Osaka, 28 June 2019.

Some regional analysts besides uncertainty that Trump is serious. – president Trump may effort to accomplish respective objectives in his provocative comments on resettlement in Gaza. First, he may effort to disrupt conventional reasoning about a long-term conflict that has not yet been resolved or has not brought real solutions, says Sanam Vakil, an expert at Chatham House.

Moreover, it may aim to "restor high-level supporters and donors in the United States and to strengthen Netanyahu's fragile political balance". However, as Vakil adds, "probably this will lead to greater multilateral unity" between arabian leaders of the region. And the rich Gulf countries can decision forward to fill the gap created by U.S. abroad aid to Egypt and Jordan.

However, the hope that Trump and Netanjahu will retreat from the thought of displacement may be flammable. It wasn't improvisation. They They hope that the arabian countries will yet adapt. However, it is simply a region that can destruct even the best planned plans. And that's surely not the plan.