From different sides comes informing voices towards western pride, which causes the failure of both a reasonable approach to ending the war in Ukraine and a look without patronizing Russia. Markus Reisner, who gave an interview to Neue Zurcher Zeitung, commented on these issues. He stated that looking at the current situation as a whole, the Russians now feel like in April 1945. They believe triumph is in their hands. The West so either needs to importantly increase its support for Ukraine, or to end the war as shortly as possible. However, fresh analyses clearly show that Russia's defence manufacture is far ahead of the possible of Europe and NATO. He besides warned against the predictions that Russia's slow advancement meant that it would not succeed. For it is simply a war of destruction. As shortly as 1 side lacks resources, events can make very rapidly in his opinion. And time, according to an Austrian military expert, works for Russia.
Revision of the Russian strategy
And since this is the way Russia is presently fighting, it asks not how long Russia will last but how long will Ukraine be able to sustain itself? After the collapse of the strategy of fast war, the Russian Federation went to war for destruction. The mistake of perception It is formed by the Anglo-Saxon doctrine of war, emerging from planet War II, which was based on the desire to break the enemy with fast strokes. The same example was cited about the war with Iraq. Here, however, Russia leads it in a different way and it is precisely through the limitations of the West that they are incapable to understand. Trump, in his opinion, has no influence on Putin and is not worth waiting for a breakthrough in the negotiations. America wants to focus on China, which is why it wants peace in Europe, but Putin is waiting for what concessions Americans will make. So Putin looks confident. Despite Western media assurances that Trump was expected to be able to force him to do something. And since Russia has announced the number of 160 000 conscripts, they so feel as in April 1945 at the Seelow Hills looking at Berlin that the triumph is at hand. And as a result, Russia is fighting for 2 or 3 more years, as China provides crucial components, Iran adds drones, North Korea millions of artillery missiles, while India buys natural materials to supplement the Russian vault. That is why he points to a Western dilemma regarding the magnitude of the increase in aid or the end of the war.
Who can go all the way?
When the opportunities of both parties are increasingly exposed, and both limitations and advantages are besides exposed, that's why Reisner concludes that Russia can go all the way and the West cannot. Therefore, if Europe and America cannot give everything they can Ukraine should end this war as shortly as possible. Another practice is immoral. So there is an unresolved dilemma whether to surrender to Russia and to tell Ukraine that the West is simply a hostage of Russia, or to say that we are going to go all the way and face the question whether Russia will quit or go all the way, which shows that we have entered uncharted territories. He besides does not believe in Russia's large-scale attack in Europe. All she needs is simply a hybrid war and public opinion sharing in Europe. This is unprofitable due to the fact that it could origin unity in Central Europe.
Bartłomiej Doborzyński (Polish thought Club – Gdansk)
Text for the Polish Barometer.
