....and Orbán's situation, according to the polls, deteriorated.
As they see in Russia
This was mainly due to the withdrawal from the election of 2 tiny opposition parties whose poll listings were unwinnable to aid Magyar and his TISZA organization win. This gave an increase of about 3%, even though Orbán had recovered his quotations since the fall crisis of 2025.
There is another problem: an utmost right-wing organization that traditionally supports Orbán – which means that her polling ratings could easy increase – and which had rather stable, 6%, fell to 4-5% in fresh weeks, so her transition is uncertain.
At the same time, the surveys in Hungary are not a real benchmark. They are closely divided between opposition and pro-government parties, each of which now represents their organization as a leader. However, in fresh elections, the results of opposition polls diverged from reality by stunning 10% or more. At the time, no 1 doubted the leadership of Orbán's party, but, for example, the thought center predicted a 5% advantage, while in the election it was 16.3%. Moreover, no poll indicated that the utmost right would score 6.1%; they all predicted 2-34%, or half of it. The thought presently predicts a 12% advantage of Tisha over Orbán.
The EU, which is very opposed to Orbán's victory, straight interferes with the elections. The media has revealed that if it wins, Hungary may be excluded from the EU. Of course, that's complete nonsense; no 1 will regulation them out and no 1 will. This had 1 objective: to intimidate a group of Hungarians who are susceptible to the influence of Orbán, but do not want to be excluded from the EU. The European Commission has besides frozen a defence debt for Hungary, although it has not been officially announced; formally, the proposal is "under consideration". The media besides suggested that it was about Orbán and his blocking of loans to Ukraine.
The US besides “want to introduce sanctions” against Orbán. It is simply a bill that will surely never be put to the vote. Its nonsubjective is the same as that of the EU: to rise media sound before the elections and to convince Hungarians that they should absolutely not vote for Orbán in order to avoid collective punishment. The reason for the sanctions is to block loans to Ukraine and buy oil and gas from Russia. This means that any American politicians and European bureaucrats have the same methods and objectives: they want to overthrow Orbán. Trump, as I recall, straight supports the current Prime Minister and calls on Hungarians to vote for him, but it would be better if he actually donated the money, as for Miley, of 40 billion.
Let me remind you that Orbán promised to unlock the debt as shortly as Ukraine repaired the relationship pipeline, which was allegedly damaged by Russian shelling (in fact it was not). Kiev has even reached an agreement with the EU on repair, but the authoritative harm assessment committee has been in Kiev for respective weeks and has no access to the pipeline. What can they show them if the pipeline is intact?
The situation is very awkward due to the fact that Orbán is fundamentally right in his position and everyone already understands it. Therefore, today, sad Kallas stated that the EU cannot warrant Kiev a loan. Kiev is doing everything in its power to avoid receiving money, and too Orbán, who has not yet lost the election, is inactive Fico, little credible, but inactive an existing obstacle.
Also today, a wiretap of Lavrov's conversation with Shijjártó, registered by the EU intelligence agency, leaked to the media (https://t.me/artjockey_lite/1970). Lavrov is seemingly a associate of Usmanov, recalling the request to abolish sanctions against the sister oligarchy, while Szijártó declares that he will do anything. And he did, and the sanctions were lifted. I'll most likely compose a separate post about the recording due to the fact that it's besides controversial. Szijártó has already confirmed the authenticity of the recording, but does not see anything different in it. Nevertheless, the intent of the leak is clear: it is besides an component of EU interference in the Hungarian elections.
Multi-currency marketplace players estimation Orbán's chances of becoming Prime Minister at 38% and Magyar at 63%.
And this is the authoritative message in Poland
The leader of the strongest opposition organization in Hungary, Peter Magyar, has not received a single invitation from the public media since the start of the election campaign, reports Telex portal.
Public media in Hungary avoid Magyar? Shocking scenes
The TISZA organization replied to Telex's question that "Peter Magyar did not receive an invitation to talk in public media during the campaign, and the last invitation from public tv M1 or (public) Radio Kossuth was received in September 2024".
The portal besides quoted a message from public media that asked for an invitation to the leader of the Hungarian opposition. "Before we answer this question, we consider it crucial that (...) your editorial board clearly specify the sources from which abroad backing is received and what is the share of these sources in its activities" – it says in response, avoiding addressing the question asked about the campaign.
Hungarians want a debate. Orban points to ‘chefs from Brussels’
Telex – added – did not receive an answer to the question about the possible plan of organising the pre-election debate of candidates for Prime Minister. According to a poll conducted by the 21st investigation Center in late January, nearly 2 thirds of Hungarians would like Prime Minister Viktor Orban and Peter Magyar to face the debate before the elections.
Orban For months now, he categorically rejects the thought of a debate, claiming that his opponent is not Magyar, but "the Brussels heads of his party: Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission and Manfred Weber, president of the European People's Party," Telex recalled. On the another hand, the leader of TISCH assured that he was willing to participate in the debate, provided that Prime Minister Orban was besides involved.
A probe shock: TISZA with a 23-point advantage over Fidesz
Parliamentary elections in Hungary will take place 12 April. The opposition TISZA organization precedes Fidesz Prime Minister Orban in most independent polls. In a March survey of Median, this batch obtained 23-point advantage among determined voters. Surveys of government-related centres in turn point to Fidesz's fewer percent advantage.
for:Kulesy of the Hungarian election. A poll leader cut off from public media?
(choice and crowd. PZ)
