Debate. And after the debate

Trzaskowski, in an elegant suit, was headed for the Presidential Palace. At 1 point, he decided to turn around and wipe off Nawrock in a tracksuit that had not even seen his rival's back. A group of candidates who had just been in the area and who could not believe their own happiness joined the confusion.

Instead of dynamic exchange between 2 candidates, we got – as in the classical Polish movie – debts and weak dialogues. But what is to be expected of the spectacle, whose expression was changed at the last minute, and the staff line-up shrouded itself into a push at the door?

The questionable expression of the event, with the exclusion of right-wing tv Republic, would most likely defend itself if one-on-one clash between Nawrock and Trzaskowski actually happened. The debate organised by the staff of Trzaskovsky, with the participation of 3 major televisions, ruled out the remaining politicians, which faced their understandable protest.

I'd like a lifeline.

There are phenomena in the run that elevate the support of leaders: the polls perpetuate the conviction of the dominance of the main candidates, large parties have money for effective events, formations with established structure and brandy have a greater influence, as have recognized candidates for years.

There are besides defrosting phenomena, occasional viral (most frequently controlled) in the network, or debates just where Real Madrid can meet on 1 field with Start Łódź. And where the Start is not doomed to neglect in advance, to remember even the debate of 2023, in which Donald Tusk and Mateusz Morawiecki least fell.

It is not rather clear why Trzaskowski was having a debate with Nawrock. While avoiding a clash could have been misreceived, after he was summoned to the debate, it did not substance much almost 2 weeks later. possibly there was a request to service a subject that would be discussed at Easter tables, with the hope that in a confrontation with the unprepared and weak Nawrock Trzáskowski would present himself as a clear winner and at the same time photos of the "Koński Curse", by which in the opinion of many, Trzaskowski lost in 2020 to Andrzej Duda, not putting himself on the debate organized by the utmost side of TVP Jack Kurski.

Even in this formula, Trzaskowski, who has no habit of lapidarity, was not doomed to success. The bar to Nawrocki was highly low. It would be adequate for him not to compromise himself and, by the way, to show as a patriotic and unambiguously anti-platform option. For the run of an highly weak candidate supported by the Law and Justice Office, the proposal of the president of Warsaw was like an unexpectedly thrown rescue wheel.

A competitive debate in Koński with the participation of Nawrocki, organized on the marketplace by tv Republika, threatened that Trzaskowski would yet be alone in front of the cameras of the main tv in the band of the top audience. Hence, the desperate decision to invitation the remaining candidates, most of whom were eager to benefit. Subsequent rescue wheels flew from “MS Trzaskowski” to the sinking campaigns of Holownia and Biejat, or even Senyszyn, who was not listed in most polls.

One fight, different rates

Each candidate fought in this debate for something else. Trzaskowski could not be nailed, whether it was a subject of migration, LGBT or other, whose vulnerability in the run he feared. Nawrocki had to prove himself as a man who could handle Trzaskowski. The Holovnia got a chance for a second life, without this debate his run could slow roll, as could the even little visible Magda Biejat.

Krzysztof Stanowski got a platform to express spite towards another candidates on another people's tv (unfortunately for free). Marek Jakubiak could have become credible as a conventional candidate in any way. Joanna Senyszyn has shown that she is moving at all in this election. And Maciej Maciak, well, he just was.

In specified debates, gaining 1 is the failure of another. Mentzen lost his chance to show himself to voters 60+. possibly it's for the best. In the 2015 debate, Poland discovered Zandberg, this time he gave up the match with a fight.

Trzaskowski was the victim of the most memic attacks, including Stanowski, who asked – in the context of the debate on migration, "which version of Rafał was drawn". Nawrocki utilized to make educated formulas. He did not want to answer the question of Holowna about the names of the presidents of the Baltic countries (a horse with a row of those who knew all). Traditionally, the Marshal of the Sejm, who held on to the rehearsed script, was the most efficient, well located at the appointed time. The biggest winner was clearly upset Magda Biejat, who showed reflection by taking the rainbow flag from Trzaskowski, which he received from Nawrocki.

To be continued

Do not exaggerate the weight of specified events. It is simply a show that most voters will not get through anyway, they will get to know it from discussions and memes in social media and portals, clippings in news programs. But we besides request to look at the debate in the context of the full run and the minute it came to be. So far, candidates have mostly spoken alongside each another alternatively of confronting each other. specified a direct clash is simply a treat and for those curious in politics and for those who know that a run is taking place just now.

For anti-system voters, the debate organised by Trzaskowski's staff and 3 major televisions, without any candidates, proves that mainstream is holding tight. What will they learn from this? Isn't that the water on Mentzen's mill? Will this affect the integration of right-wing voters in the second circular against the media-political "agency"? It is not yet known how the debate will be played out, whether it will be anything more than a sense of embarrassment in the way of its organisation, which discourages alternatively than encourages the participation in the election of a side voter.

The debate on 12 May, with all the candidates, 100 hours before the voter silence, will take place late adequate to make it hard for her to change the destiny of these elections. A different debate over a period earlier. If the polls decision even by 2 or 3 percent points, then there will be a possible fresh dynamics, which can change very static from the very beginning, the race for presidency.

Trzaskowski is inactive in the lead, but beaten and crushed. He may have lost little, but he allowed the others to gain, so he comparatively lost, and he surely did not hold his dominance. He may have the largest army, but he allowed others to appoint a battlefield for him, although his staff organized the debate.

One thing must be given to them: they successfully convinced Poles that these elections were far from being decided

Leszek Jażdżewski