Will the war end in Budapest?

myslpolska.info 1 week ago

U.S. president Donald Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin had a long telephone call yesterday and agreed to meet in individual in Budapest to end the war in Ukraine. The president of the United States mentioned a "very fruitful" telephone conversation. Therefore, they most likely have already found a fewer points in the background that can be agreed on.

The consistent diplomatic effort of the Hungarian abroad policy for many years has been effective. The fact that U.S. president Donald Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin will negociate in Budapest on ending the war in Ukraine has made our country an crucial origin in global political life.

There are truly no accidents in political life. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán already at the time of the outbreak of fighting in Ukraine said that this war must and can be concluded not on the battlefield but at the diplomatic table. Zelenski and his Western European allies tried and tried in vain to proceed the fight, but hopefully the negotiations that will take place in the capital of Hungary will end the war.

Speaking of the Ukrainian position, it should be noted that the Budapest summit will take place after the president of the United States has adopted his Ukrainian counterpart in the White House. Given Zelenski's persistent and stubborn pro-war attitude, the result of these negotiations would be hard to predict. What seems certain is that the clear American will to end the war cannot be broken right now.

Earlier in Magyar Hírlap, in connection with the summit in Sharm el-Sheik, where Viktor Orbán was the only typical of Central and east Europe, asked the question: What will be the consequences of this crucial diplomatic event from the Hungarian point of view? It was known that the American president was more a businessman than a politician. He does nothing without a circumstantial idea.

It is no coincidence that Trump spoke in superlatives about the Hungarian premiere in Sharm el-Sheik in front of the world. The full Hungarian diplomatic "attack" was peculiarly highlighted erstwhile Viktor Orbán met Russian president Vladimir Putin and Chinese president Xi Jinping during his presidency in the EU, as well as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who was inactive preparing for the US presidential election at the time.

What will the presidents discuss in Budapest? It is known that Moscow consistently rejects the unconditional ceasefire, claiming that it would give Kiev time to strengthen the military. The Kremlin will not step down from this post, wanting to warrant that it will not be put back again, as it did at the end of April 2022 after the already signed ceasefire agreement in Istanbul. At this time, the parties had already agreed on a ceasefire, but already in early May Boris Johnson, then Prime Minister of large Britain, who ordered Zelensk to proceed the war.

The second subject that will surely appear is the future destiny of the territories occupied by the Russians. The Russians occupied the Crimean Peninsula as early as 2014, and then this strategically crucial area as a consequence of the referendum became part of Russia. The majority of Donbas in the east, 70-90% – is already in the hands of Russian troops. Due to the crucial participation of the Russian population in Dombasa, knowing the circumstances preceding it – Ukraine has been waged a war against the civilian population for years, in which 14,000 people died. “Moscow will not be able to make crucial concessions on this issue either.

In fact, he would like to gain any kind of global designation for these areas. If this happens, it will have very serious consequences for Ukraine's interior policy and the political future of Zelenski will surely be weighed down.

At the time, we had not discussed it yet that, despite the fact that in Malta in December 1989, U.S. president George Bush and USSR leader Mikhail Gorbachev agreed that Moscow would not interfere in social change in east Europe in exchange for not expanding NATO to the east.

As we can see, almost all countries of the full region, even 3 erstwhile russian Baltic republics – Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania – are now members of NATO. Washington responded to this Russian suggestion, saying that they did not make a concrete binding promise. possibly so, but Moscow inactive survived what happened as a disappointment.

Stephen Bryen, a world-renowned and respected military technology expert and Deputy Secretary of defence in the Reagan Administration, besides sees this problem as a major obstacle to an agreement. It puts it this way: NATO's presence is an obstacle to Moscow. Although the war itself is mostly territorial, NATO's in-depth commitment – providing weapons, intelligence, consultants, operators and the improvement of military strategy – is the subject of Russia's concern.Moscow inactive sees NATO as a strong enemy force.

However, the very fact that the gathering will take place is optimistic. There's no telling what's going on backstage. 1 thing we can be sure, however, is that neither organization would have joined specified negotiations if there were not a fewer points to agree on.

Péter G. Fehér

Behind: Magyar Hirlap

Read Entire Article