The borders of the American military power have now been completely revealed.
2.5 months after the start of the U.S.-Israel war against a nation that posed no threat to the key interests of the United States, justified by the pyramid of lies, any things are absolutely obvious. President Trump has not defined clear and realistic political goals that can be achieved in our function as a proxy for Israel in another war of choice. "Executable" here means the targets that are actually achieved by military means, which you have at your disposal.
In His Classical Work Strategy British theorist B. H. Liddell Hart stressed that the most crucial work of a political leader is to guarantee that war objectives are based on military reality. As he has been famously warned, political goals cannot "require what is militaryly impossible."
And yet that's the mistake president Trump made.
Without clearly defined political objectives, it is impossible to build the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), which is liable for military operations in Western Asia and seems to go from 1 ineffective maneuver to another without a single operational project. The repeated bombing of military targets in a country the size of Western Europe, with over 90 million inhabitants, is not a strategy; it is simply a maneuver unrelated to any visible operating or strategical final state.
By limiting itself almost exclusively to the usage of air force — full aware that the American public would not accept another long - word land war in the mediate East, especially in Israel’s interests — the Trump administration limited itself to an approach without a historical precedent for success. No government on Iranian scales has always been overthrown solely by air force and there is no reason to believe that this conflict will be the first.
Despite repeated assurances that the war is being won, president Trump has not presented a unchangeable or consistent definition of what "win" truly means. Is it about government change and interior overthrow of the Iranian Government? Is this the unconditional surrender of Iran's armed forces? Is this taking over atomic material that was about to be destroyed? Take your pick. The deficiency of a clear, coherent political final state makes military commanders hard to find what they should achieve.
History shows that wars conducted without clearly defined political goals, coupled with a real military strategy, tend to turn into wars to demolition — conflicts that favour a more resilient and resilient side. We see how this historical fact unfolds before our eyes. We do not appreciate Iran's fundamentally another kind of war, based on national survival, and this determination has shaped the nature and trajectory of the conflict.
It is besides clear that this war was based on many incorrect assumptions. Trump's administration assumed that killing large Ayatollah Chamenei would origin the IGRC and the nation's safety apparatus to fall and the Iranian people to take to the streets to brutally overthrow the government. If they were unarmed, he'd deny logic. This overthrow evidently didn't happen. The effect was the opposite. Government and people have never been more united.
Trump's administration assumed that the vast armada of the air force it would usage would rapidly destruct Iran's ability to retaliate. It didn't work.. It was assumed that Iran's armed forces would not attack American bases and embassies in the region. They did it.. It was assumed that Iran did not have the ability to hide and precisely usage thousands of ballistic missiles and drones for days and weeks. And so it was; another blatant defeat of both American and Israeli intelligence agencies as Iranians bomb Israeli cities, bases and Gulf countries overnight.
Trump's administration assumed Iran was incapable to close the Strait of Ormuz if the American armed forces destroyed the Iranian submarine fleet. They ignored the fact that Iran had respective another means of blocking the traffic of any ship through the Strait — a multitude of different mines, tiny submarines designed to operate in shallow waters, swarms of armed high-speed boats, various types of assault drones, and an arsenal of ballistic and hypersonic missiles. It was equally worrying that the administration overlooked the fact that Lloyds of London and another insurance companies did not cover the losses of tankers and cargo ships attempting to cross the Strait. Iran will guarantee that the Strait remains closed, utilizing its arsenal of asymmetric weapons, which it has designed for this purpose, which will give it a strong advantage in future negotiations.
Cascade and catastrophic effects. War USA-Israel v Iran launched global economical crisis, by suffocating the production and transport of oil, liquefied natural gas, urea, helium and aluminium from the countries surrounding the Persian Gulf. The war further increased the U.S. national debt, which almost little than $39 trillion and rising. The Trump administration increased our national debt by $1 trillion in the first 5 months This year, and only last period she borrowed another 343 billion dollars. Now the War Department asks legislature to further measures of $200 billion to cover the unexpected costs of this chosen war. For the first time in the past of our country our debt-to-GDP ratio is 122 percent, with no sign of decline. The consequences can be disastrous for our economy in the coming months and years if they are not stopped.
This selected war has practically exhausted American supplies of offensive and defensive military missiles, which cannot be replenished for years. This increased the strategical vulnerability of our country and limited the Pentagon's ability to deter another threats worldwide. The borders of the American military power have now been completely revealed. Russia and China are smiling with joy.
Nine U.S. military bases in the Gulf States have been destroyed or abandoned. The Gulf States will most likely never welcome American forces back in their countries due to the fact that the Trump administration has shown that the Concise States cannot and will not defend the allies of the Gulf arabian states. The administration fundamentally destroyed the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) coalition and managed to alienate most NATO allies in this process.
Russia enjoys unexpected profits from oil and gas sales, becoming the main supplier of oil to China, India, Europe, Japan, South Korea and another Gulf countries. Airlines worldwide ration aviation fuel and limit the number of flights. Gas and diesel prices are rising rapidly on distributors here, which will further origin inflation among Americans who have difficulty paying the cost of food, housing, transport and wellness insurance.
Moreover, given that the US has attacked Iran twice without informing during intense negotiations over the past year, Iran has no reason to trust us anymore and to negociate the end of this conflict. We witness the unintended consequences of war by choice, which was ill-thought out and ill-planned, driven solely by pride. In just 2 months, Iran has gained an operational and strategical initiative and will decide the result of this war. Looks like the Trump administration opened Pandora's Box.
Finally, the administration failed to establish a way to triumph that would have resulted in the restoration of lasting peace in the mediate East.
Professor Donald Stoker reflects this request in his informative book Why America Losing Wars, noting that "...if political leadership has done its job, their definition of triumph [political goal] includes a clear imagination of what they want to look like in a post-war situation. Ultimately, as Cicero says, the war is to reconstruct peace; If he doesn't, war is not fair. Union General William Tecumseh Sherman insisted that "The legitimate nonsubjective of war is more perfect peace. War is simply a conflict for the peace we want."
Everything was right.
https://eisenhowermedianetwork.substack.com/p/has-trump-opened-pandoras-box
