According to many observers, the line between war and peace is blurred and the difference between a defender and an aggressor is besides hard to determine.
The question arises: does this border blur even more between the Russian peculiar military operation and the war in Ukraine. any military specialists consider that after experience with the alleged colorful revolutions (Rose Revolution in Georgia in 2003, Orange Revolution in Ukraine in 2004, Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan in 2005) Russia uses the alleged doctrine of Gierasimov, which assumes a combination of all available means to wage war. However, according to another group of observers, there are serious doubts as to whether specified doctrine even exists. In the West, they want to believe he's...
An independent outside observer will easy see many examples of Russia treating a peculiar military operation against the government Volodymyr Zelensky in Ukraine, as a kind of modern hybrid war, although it does not belong to it to make this word for the definition of modern war. Consequently, a number of contradictions are apparent in the conduct of a peculiar military operation in Ukraine. First, we will note any of them, and then we will consider whether they are the consequence of consciously applying a fresh way of conducting war and blurring the difference between war and peace, or whether the "hybrid" nature of these fighting activities is due only to conflicts of interest in the bosom of Russia's widely understood management team.
First,
"Russia has described the war as a "special military operation", which in itself contains a contradiction between military and political action. The political objectives were announced to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine. However, not only have these objectives not been achieved but they have been completely opposed. No wonder that after military failures, conflicting signals began to flow from Russia and the liberation of Donbas began as a target, after which the formal and only partial actual integration into Russia was made: Donetsk, Lugansk, Chersonia and Zaporozhye. It was contrary to what Putin said, announcing the launch of a peculiar operation that it was not about the business of Ukrainian lands and that Russian soldiers would stay on them.
Russia began military action, but the main military targets were actually to accomplish Ukrainian society and defectors from the Ukrainian armyj. In the first days of the operation, the Russians moved 200, 300 kilometres forward, but without securing the backs and supplies. Russia's leadership hoped for spontaneous support from the entering armed forces and mass desertions from the Ukrainian army. Russian soldiers occupied these miscalculations in the first days with the top losses during the full military operation. erstwhile the Russians fired on Ukraine with the first volley of rockets, they left out in general barracks and places of dislocation of troops – allegedly to reduce unnecessary losses among soldiers and civilians. Interestingly, Ukraine has not formally declared war on Russia so far.
Second
– the Russians later declared their willingness to defeat the Ukrainian army and did not have adequate military resources. They were incapable to adapt their strategical objectives and methods of combat to fresh conditions. They scattered their forces for thousands of miles, and then had to retreat from any areas, although they fought for not fierce armed battles, allegedly in order to express goodwill for further talks and compromises. The Russians gained most of the land very slowly, but they withdrew very rapidly in the case of attacks even tiny Ukrainian forces. The nonsubjective of demilitarization, so far, the Russians have failed. Moreover, Ukraine has created 1 of the strongest armies in the planet thanks to the aid of NATO states. And the cult of Stepan Bandera has the largest and state-based force coverage.
Third
– akin to the Russian antisocial strategy was adopted by the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian Army did, however, undertake an armed struggle, but from the beginning it hid in cities behind the backs of the civilian population and long refused to open humanitarian corridors for civilians, thus sharing work for part of the crucial losses among the urban population. It was only at the end of the year that the civilian population began to evacuate from the areas of anticipated fighting, but not from all. The Russians had a large desire to destruct Ukraine's armed forces, but were initially forced to save civilians, after being announced earlier by Vladimir Putin Ukrainians and Russians “one nation”. However, due to large first losses, they were forced to give precedence to protecting the lives of their own soldiers.
In autumn, the Russians took action to destruct energy infrastructure, in the hope of stimulating Ukrainian society to talk against state authorities. The ineffectiveness of specified actions could be seen by the Western Allies during the bombings of German cities during planet War II, erstwhile German society was indoctrinated and intimidated by the Nazis. But after this demonstration, the Russians were forced to declare an order to retreat from Kherson and proceed to fire infrastructure. These actions could only be understood as wanting to show that Russia inactive full controls the course of events...
Contrary to what was officially said in Russia, the impact on Ukrainian infrastructure was not a retaliation for attacking the Crimean Bridge. These rocket attacks must have been prepared much earlier. In these attacks 1 can see the concept of the air-missile triumph of war, since it was impossible to accomplish decisive successes on land. A akin thought was to fix Winston Churchill during planet War II as early as 1940, erstwhile he recommended bombing German cities, since on land Britain could not reverse the adverse course of war. The Americans returned to this concept many years later in Yugoslavia and Iraq. If there were attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, it was due to the fact that crucial political and military errors had been committed by the political and military authorities of Russia before, due to the fact that the war was going not as they imagined, and Russian society demanded decisive action and the end of the war. However, as the demolition of infrastructure began increasingly to meet with criticism in the face of winter, the main direction of the rocket strike was to fight anti-aircraft defense.
Fourth
– The tasks of denazification and demilitarisation were initially announced and were entrusted only to the professional army, in the absence of any civilian service programme. The main objectives were political and could be achieved diplomatically for any time. They began to carry out arms, but continued to carry out unofficial and authoritative diplomatic activities with the participation of fighting parties or various intermediaries. In the absence of any political plan of action in the first period, in the declaration of denazification and demilitarisation, Russian troops entering Ukraine left the old Ukrainian administration, which can be perceived as foolish, but besides cynical actions, condemning from the beginning the full military operation to failure.
Fifth
– Even Western experts until the last minute felt that Russia's invasion of Ukraine would not happen due to the fact that it did not gather the essential forces and resources. In addition, these modest forces and resources were scattered in many places. The Russians who utilized insufficient forces and resources did not concentrate on 1 or 2 major directions of impact, but conducted attacks on most of Ukraine's territory. Russia shelled rocket targets distant from direct combat theatre, which did not aid straight fighting soldiers, i.e. the basic rule of the economics of forces and resources on the battlefield was not applied. As a result, Russia suffered considerable losses and had to scope for reserves, which it turned out it did not have, due to the fact that warehouses were mostly robbed in 30 years by many more commanders. "Special military operation", in late March, after the Russians withdrew from the Kiev and Chernihov neighbourhoods, it actually grew into a large-scale war, but until the war Russia proved unprepared. However, for any additional economical and political reasons neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war formally.
Sixth
– Russia began military action, but led it with forces from the peace period, for respective months without announcing mobilization. She did so despite the fact that Ukraine officially announced about carrying out respective of its mobilization waves. And erstwhile Russia yet announced a "partial mobilization", it turned out that 1.2 million sets of combat equipment had disappeared from the warehouses earlier. And, as if individual wanted to compromise “partial mobilization”, After it was announced, borders were not closed and Russia left, as estimated from 500 000 to 1 million men of draft age. erstwhile putin was asked why the borders were not closed, he declared that there were laws (man) about freedom of travel and what a scream would be if specified a ban were issued. This shows that a large part of society does not realize the aims of the war, or does not want to fight in the name of Russian oligarchy plans, and the management squad operates chaotically and under public pressure. Therefore, probably, without announcing universal mobilization in Russia, the mobilization was actually carried out in occupied areas of Donetsk and Lugansk, so they tried to preserve the appearance of civilian war in Ukraine.
Seventh
– Russia has misunderstood the fast and chaotic withdrawal of the US from Afghanistan. They are treated as an expression of the weakness of the United States, the pressures of interior social contradictions and the request to rebuild infrastructure, the financial difficulties experienced. However, it was not seen in this withdrawal of the US's closing of 1 front of combat, and in creating a better chance to act freely on the more crucial geopolitics of the Ukrainian front. It was not expected that specified broad action and strong opposition from the US and their allies would be expected.
Eight.
– erstwhile Russia announced “partial mobilisation”, it turned out that it was incapable to mobilise the economy. Although the words “economic mobilization” did a career in Russian mass media, according to Valentina Katasonova, no economical indicators indicated specified mobilisation. There is no data on the increase in the production of the Defence Industrial Complex. The accumulation rate is 20%, and the IMF believes the planet average accumulation rate is 25%. In Russia it is so lower than the planet average (in China in 2018 the accumulation was 45%). It is estimated that in the years of industrialization of the USSR was besides 40-45%. The low accumulation rate proves that Russian oligarchy exports capital abroad and is not itself related to the interests of the majority of its nation.
A peculiar military operation requires state intervention policy, and neoliberal policy continued, neither state capitalism nor the state monopoly of abroad trade were introduced. Putin stated that there was no request to mobilise economics. The Russian Central Bank maintained advanced interest rates on interior markets, for its own companies, and created preferences, for example for Chinese goods with which Russian companies are incapable to compete. There were even specified paradoxes that the Ministry of Defence began ‘partial mobilisation’ and had previously stopped lending arms production, sending the companies afraid for loans to commercial banks. Companies in Russia producing for export are reluctant to cooperate with the arms complex due to the threat of Western sanctions.
After being frozen in banks of western Russian assets at over $370 billion, Russia has taken no retaliatory action. As a consequence of this inaction in the European Parliament, it was decided to recognise Russia as "a state sponsoring terrorism". This has far-reaching legal consequences, as Russia's leaders can be brought before an global tribunal in the future and citizens of another countries will be able to appeal to the courts for compensation for the harm suffered and the courts will pay these damages from Russia's frozen assets. Russia will not be able to hire lawyers from the countries in which the judicial wire will run. Russia will most likely then nationalise the capital of hostile states, which could well exceed the amount of assets confiscated. The war will shift to another legal actions and will extend importantly over time.
After 9
– Russia has always boasted about having any of the best weapons. Meanwhile, soldiers fight her not with the weapon that was shown as the best in the planet on parades and tv films. The best means of electronic combat were praised, and even the Internet, radio and tv in Ukraine were not suppressed (but this may besides be due to another economical and political interests of the widely understood Putin crew, which will continue). Russia had unlimited weapons and ammunition warehouses, and now it sends to the front the oldest tank models (T-62), without the latest targeting instruments and anti-tank protection.
Tanks in warehouses frequently do not have sightings, electronic equipment, or even engines, which most likely were removed by uniformed thieves. These tanks require major repairs before being directed to the front. In the current economical solutions, there is no anticipation of a broad revitalization of the Russian Defence Armory Complex. Therefore, commentators may state why Russia is trying to deny that it has been buying weapons in Iran under US sanctions for nearly 40 years. It is simply a complete disgrace to Putin's crew and neoliberal regulation of Russian oligarchs.
Ten.
– erstwhile the figures of thousands of casualties among Russian soldiers reached public awareness, Putin said that we were inactive fighting “we were not starting.” And as they truly began to destruct infrastructure, especially the electrical Ukraine, it was announced to retreat from the incarnate Chersonia to Russia. There was talk of air regulation all the time, not demolition of communications routes and supplies of weapons from the West. The actions missed the verbal assurances of strength and fast victory. Chersonia was withdrawn, according to authoritative assurances, as crossings were broken down and there were difficulties in supplying troops fighting on the right bank of Dnieper and wanted to reduce losses among Russian soldiers. But the crossings proved to be efficient adequate to let the withdrawal of more than 30 1000 groups of soldiers and all military technology. Many commentators speculated that this was the consequence of any unofficial agreement, as the retreating Russian troops did not attack. In the authoritative propaganda of Ukraine, the announcement of the withdrawal of Russians from Chersonia was first presented as the prepared "trap" and "substantiated" by them, in which they were not allowed to get involved, and later the Ukrainian mass media informed about the ongoing struggles that were not actually there.
After eleven
– The media has given much attention to the threat of atomic weapons in connection with the conflict in Ukraine. Publicists claimed that a universal atomic war would become the last war. But here there were any conflicting options: Russia reported that it had atomic weapons carriers that could not be detected and destroyed before reaching their target, it accused Ukraine and Western states of preparing provocation utilizing a alleged dirty bomb or tiny atomic charges so that in consequence the United States could strike Russia.
Western politicians warned Russia that utilizing atomic weapons would lead to a massive consequence from NATO states. 1 of the Polish generals publically stated that the atomic war does not gotta end with the defeat of all due to the fact that they are equipped with comparatively tiny atomic tactical charges from Russia and Western states. The question may arise as to whether specified a man is simply a useful idiot or a well-paid agent. specified a view is in the reasoning of military and instigators from the United States. It is indeed an effort to legitimize tactical atomic weapons – the United States has been conducting exercises with the possible usage of tactical atomic weapons for years.
Twelve.
– In 2016, the Oxford Dictionary states that the modern era is an era of post-truth; it is irrelevant truth, arguments and facts, but emotions that have a decisive influence on public opinion formation. In the age of truth, ideology and politics are rejected. As a result, the mass media dominates by drastic images of destroyed civilian buildings lying on the streets of dead bodies, destroyed by documentary military equipment, with no chance of surviving soldiers. The mass media are not afraid with mitigating the conflict, but they fuel it – they are part of a strategy of full violence. Journalists in the post-truth era do not analyse for fact and explanation, but adapt to the rapidly developing trends and processes, search sensationalism, say what the military and politicians expect.
After thirteen
– as before the outbreak of the war with Japan (February 1904 to September 1905) and planet War I, Russia proved to be unprepared not only for the "special military operation", but besides for the ensuing large-scale military action. She did not execute any actual peculiar military operation in the rear of the Ukrainian troops, did no act of diversion, did not make any diversional troops in the Ukrainian rear, although she always relied on influences and defences of interests of Russian-speaking Ukrainians. Russia did not cut off Ukraine's NATO supplies of military equipment to the front, despite its superiority in the air, did not attack transports with weapons and communication nodes, bridges, and destroyed the power grid, which was most ailing to innocent residents. However, it was incapable to destruct the power grid, as Ukraine has atomic power plants (and these are not subject to attacks), but besides many tiny coal and hydroelectric plants, which form a coherent system, can besides import electricity.
After fourteen
– fresh contradictions between the declarations and the practice in Russia's politics were revealed after the Ługan and Donetsk republics and the Kherson and Zaporo region were incorporated into Russia. From the point of view of the Russian Constitution, armed action is now being carried out in Russia, but it continues to preach a "special military operation" alternatively than a war. Similarly, erstwhile Ukrainians with the aid of the English and Americans attacked Russian ships and a port in Sevastopol, Russia announced its withdrawal from the agreement on the shipment of Ukrainian grain, after which, on the second day, mass media reported that 12 more ships with Ukrainian grain were being sent through. In retaliation for the drone attack on Sevastopol, Russia only fired at the base in Ochakow, where the English were stationed, who most likely directed the drone attack but did not destruct it.
The attack on Sevastopol reportedly spotted a soldier standing on watch, not a safety and electronic control system. On this occasion, it was reported that during the Ukrainian attack on the “Moscow” cruiser, which yet sank, the rocket anti-racite strategy was not activated, likewise with the subsequent attack on the Russian corvette. any publicists see this overt sabotage by any commanders and the peaceable oligarchs behind them. Ukrainians, dared by Russia's deficiency of consequence to these attacks, made a rocket attack at the airport with strategical aircraft capable of carrying atomic weapons. This attack was 1 of the “red lines” outlined by the Russian authorities. liable people in the Russian management team, leaving these overruns without a definite answer show that these lines themselves do not take seriously, and this has a demoralizing effect on broad social masses. In this way a script is gradually being implemented, according to which Russia is destined to lose this war and lose sovereignty over its own natural wealth.
The Russian authorities are increasingly hard to explain the contradictions and inconsistency during a peculiar operation in Ukraine. The Kunctatorian strategy and contradictions in the bosom of the oligarchate may undermine the stableness of the existing political system. An example is known in past erstwhile as a consequence of mediocre designation of the opponent in command and deficiency of cognition of the state of his own army, Russia lost the war to a theoretically smaller country and weaker army – with Japan from 1904 to 1905.
Dr Edward Karolczuk
Edward Karolczuk – Doctor of Humanities Sciences. It has technological publications in national and abroad publications. He has besides published in “Educational Dialogue”, “New Criticism”, “Review”, “Transformation”, “Resents”, “New Citizen”. 3 of his books were published: About the Enemy – philosophical-historic sketches (2010), “The bare Life” of the Victims of Labour Exploitation and War (2016), Edward Gierek – the Causes of Success and Failure (2022).
Photo: kremlin.ru
Think Poland, No. 3-4 (15-22.01.2023)
