Daily economical review 24.11.2023

ekonomiarosji.pl 1 year ago

We invitation you to a subjective overview of the regular economical review of information from Russia.

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  • European armies are preparing for a high-intensity conflict, as Russia remains a major threat to Europe. The president of the Czech Republic Petr Pavel made the applicable statement,
  • The Freedom Party, which was not an enthusiast of arms supply to Kiev, yet won the election in the Netherlands. They will have 37 of 150 seats in the home of Representatives.
  • The peculiar Operations Working Group in its next study to Russian president Vladimir Putin proposes to extend to volunteers a number of benefits which presently belong only to contract soldiers
  • The Russian Ministry of Defence reported that on the night of November 24 air defence systems destroyed 16 Ukrainian unmanned aircraft. 3 drones were destroyed on the Volgograd circuit and 13 on the Crimean Peninsula. The effectiveness of 100%, of course without casualties and damage.
  • . The Black Sea Fleet Commander died in a naval drone attack in Crimea. The date of his death is unknown, but his farewell took place on November 20 in Noworosyjsk.
  • Germany will proceed to invest EUR 50 billion in the EU's four-year budget package for Ukraine, despite the frost of almost all budget resources, reports WSJ.
  • The fresh president of Argentina, Javier Miley, invited Zelenski to hold a conference on Ukraine, according to Miley's abroad Policy Advisor Diana Mondino.
  • W November by 20%. the percent of respondents who gotta spend money on the acquisition of goods, alternatively than postpone it later, states the Bank of Russia,
  • The inflation expectations of Russian society are increasing according to the Russian bank. In November it was 15.1% at the median 13.9% in October.
  • A fresh tactical sign appeared on Russian military equipment in a Ukraine – a reversed triangle entered into another triangle.
  • Banks in the United arabian Emirates tightened the terms of beginning accounts for Russian companies due to force from the United States.
  • Dmitry Medvedev demanded a fast increase in the production of inexpensive unmanned aircraft. So, what are the bakeries not only going to produce drones but another bets?
  • Moscow court fined Google 4 million rubles for refusing to remove false information about a peculiar operation from YouTube means war
  • The Finnish authorities will consider complete closure of the border with the Russian Federation," said the Prime Minister of the Republic of Petteri Orpo.
  • The Ukrainian National Agency for Corruption Prevention has announced that it has placed Knauf, a major German maker of building materials, on the list of "international war sponsors". According to the agency, the company contributed $117 million to the Russian budget in 2022 and continues to operate on the Russian market
  • Military correspondent Rossija 24 Boris Maksudow died as a consequence of wounds sustained during Ukrainian shelling, reported tv presenter Vladimir Solovyov.
  • Lithuanian Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė launches a four-day visit to Ukraine
  • The EU announced its readiness to adopt Georgia and Moldova without occupied territories
  • India did not accept the NS Century tanker under the flag of Liberia with Russian oil, which was subject to sanctions

On today's show:

  1. Russia thinks the full planet is lying. And if that's the case, then we gotta censor everything.

Russia is the leader in the number of requests to remove content addressed to Google in the last decade, accounting for almost 61% of all applications submitted by 150 countries.

On average, 11 applications are sent from Moscow all hr during the working day. From 2013 to 2020, governments asked Google to remove material from its services 355,000 times, and Russia accounted for 215 349, or almost 61%. In 2022, Russia submitted 58,000 applications, which accounted for nearly 64% of all demands this year.

The reason for requests to remove content in Russia is frequently a question of national security, and in 2022 Russia raised this issue more than 35,000 times.

Surfshark, a cybersecurity company, gives examples of requests for removal of content concerning civilian victims in Ukraine or videos and comments on YouTube regarding, military mobilization in Russia.

The number of requests to remove content worldwide increased by 50% in 2022 compared to the erstwhile year.

Ms Agnieszka Sabłowska, Surfshark's chief analyst, notes that "national safety remains the main reason why countries around the planet justify demanding the removal of inappropriate content", which represents over 27% of applications over the last decade. Another common origin (nearly 20%) is copyright infringement.

I mean, everybody expected it, but we didn't know the numbers before. I think it's worth the publicity. Since 64% of the full online request movement belongs to the government of this country, it's easy to answer the question, is the planet crazy, or are they?

2. EU stops transporting Russian oil

The Greek shipping companies Minerva Marine, Thenamaris and TMS Tankers have stopped transporting Russian oil in fresh weeks, as Reuters says, and is reported by Kpler. The Agency notes that the refusal of Greek shippers followed the tightening of US sanctions on Russian oil supplies.

These 3 companies were very active oil and fuel forwarders from Russia until October. Then they began to limit their share of transport to put it out in the last week.

The Agency notes that Minerva Marine, Thenamaris and TMS tankers have been transporting Russian oil for decades. They continued to transport oil from Russia even after the refusal of most another Western companies due to the expanding hazard of sanctions.

Three Greek companies operate 100 large tankers capable of transporting almost all oil exported from Russian ports in Primorsk, Ust-Luga and Noworosysk, or about 2.4 million barrels a day.

Restrictions on Russian oil prices were introduced by the G7, the European Union and Australia in December 2022. They besides banned their Russian oil transport companies if it sold above their 60-dollar cap per barrel.

On November 16, the United States imposed sanctions on 3 tankers flying the Liberian flag – Kazan, Ligovsky possible and NS Century. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that all 3 tankers were carrying Russian oil at a price above the set ceiling. The sanction list besides included 20 companies from Russia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the United arabian Emirates and North Macedonia.

3. Norway's going to Finland?

Norway is ready to close the border with Russia “if necessary”, said Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre. Norway has only 1 checkpoint at the border with Russia, and no different traffic has been reported. However, the Norwegian authorities monitor the situation in Finland and Estonia, which impose restrictions on entry across the border.

I remind you due to the fact that it was yesterday, but we had rather a tense night and morning. The Finnish Government has announced the closure of all border checkpoints with Russia, with the exception of one, in connection with the influx of illegal migrants. The decision will enter into force on 25 November and will apply until at least 23 December. I have prepared for you a image that may show you something.

I know the CEP is expected to be serious, but you can't go indifferent to the fresh way from Petersburg to Helsinki. Look at this.

4. Deripaska very harshly about the Russian budget for next year.

The situation with the incomes of the Russian national budget in 2024 may look like a "butt-butt-butt hit the ice," said billionaire Oleg Deripaska. all quote that starts like this makes me grin involuntary. So I'm sorry if I can't control it.

"What the planet calls "soft landing" in quotes continues. The prices of all goods are falling. And this year we have a evidence taxation collection of 46 trillion rubles. Mr. Deripaska evidently uses sarcasm no worse than we do.

Already next year, the income situation will look like an ass punch to the ice," said an entrepreneur on his Telegram channel, whose property “Forbes” estimated $2.5 billion.

Billionaire warned that with a crucial decrease in the prices of all Russian main export goods, the budget could lose 10–12 trillion rubles. That's about $12 billion. And all we're talking about is changes in the price of natural materials. We have yet to remember the planned reinforcement of the ruble and over $100 billion for the military and defense. It's getting big.

The reason for this will be not only the overall decrease in global commodity prices, but besides the "repressing of economical growth" in the country, as well as "tyranning of state capitalism, raising prices for all its products and services, collecting subsidies and subsidies from the budget."

Deripaska called the current situation a “trap” from which 1 can only get out through “serious economical changes to which there is seemingly no will yet”. Earlier, the State Duma and the Federation Council adopted the budget for 2024 with evidence expenditure of 36.6 trillion rubles. and income of 35.1 trillion rubles. So, wait a minute, if he estimates that they could miss 10-12 trillion rubles next year, it's like 1/3? Interesting.

In comparison to the current year, budget gross should increase by 29%, i.e. by 6.4 trillion rubles, with economical growth, according to the optimistic forecast of the Ministry of Development, by 2.3% of GDP. In particular, the government expects to collect 11.5 trillion rubles from oil and gas companies. 3 trillion more than this year. Here's where the plan is ambitious.

Taxes on outside natural economical sectors should increase by 3.8 trillion rubles, to 23.6 trillion rubles.

At the same time, the largest budget item in 2024 will be "national defence" – the government plans to spend 10.8 trillion rubles on it, or 70% more than in the current year (6.8 trillion). This looks like a horror movie. Right?

But as compared to 2022, this is pathology, due to the fact that it comes out almost 3 times more than in 2022 (4.7 trillion). Vabanque's coming.

And here I'm going to tell you a thought, although it could be planted under conspiracy theories, but it's Friday and I'd like to hear your opinion on that.

The Russian government knows they don't have adequate money. Their only chance of surviving this conflict is to play tired and keep the West in support. And all of a sudden, from mid-west, it's like he's starting to hesitate, like he wants to back out. What does Russia do? He's suffocating his muscles and dumping cash next year. due to the fact that there's a chance to tip the scales on your side! Who wouldn't?

That's right... what if this narrative, mostly the United States, that we're cutting off funding. The communicative of Ukraine that they were fighting, etc., is this an ambush on Russia? Everybody did. Russia, too. The Kremlin can think. Yes! Let's put everything on 1 card! It'll work.

Born optimism in planning and tendency to advanced risk. After all, by doing this program and writing about it for months now, we all see this feature as dominant in the preservation of Russian power. If we can see it, we can see it, for example, with American losses. Why not usage it as a trick? I know that thick threads sewn this theory, but imagine the situation when, from next year, Russia starts pumping billions of rubles in an army, it overpays for everything due to the fact that there are no people in the industry, and sanctions are getting tighter, but they will, due to the fact that it is simply a light in the tunnel... Meanwhile, since the fresh year there have been fresh large deliveries to Ukraine, F-16 appear, and Ukrainian power is becoming more peaceful. The Russians would velocity up the conflict resolution by about 2-3 years. due to the fact that like an inexperienced boxer, they would put all their energy on the defender of Ukraine, which, along with the west, caused temporary problems?

So you can realize me. I'm not saying it is. But it would be wonderful to find that the Russians were just fooled in this way, and with them virtually all the media in the world. I'm putting the subject into discussion in comments.

5. The government seeks money to fight cancer.

Authorities refuse to pay for cancer drugs for Russians to save money for war, says Moscow Times and Kommersant.

The Russian authorities intend to refuse to finance the acquisition of a number of anticancer medicines due to the simplification of spending on the National wellness Care Project.

According to Kommiersant, purchases of Abraxan drugs from American BMS and Picray from Swiss Novartis will be suspended from 2024.

The authorities intend to shift the financing of the acquisition of Abraxan and Picreya to the budgets of the regions that will be able to allocate the essential amounts under their territorial programmes – the Ministry of wellness informed in an interview with the ‘Comprehensant’. In practice, this may mean that patients will not see the drugs at all.

According to the Budget Act, which was approved by the State Duma on 17 November, and by the Federation Council on 22 November, government spending on the fight against cancer will be reduced by 8%, or 12.5 billion rubles. Over the year, the authorities will allocate 147.4 billion rubles to the national Cancer conflict Project. In general, the national wellness care task "slowly" by 10%,

The saved money the government will usage to finance the state defence order.

Golden Thoughts of Russian Politicians:

NATO will proceed to supply Ukraine with weapons and improve its tactical and method parameters.

Press Secretary of the president of Russia Dmitri Pieskov
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