The concept of the substitute war has been widely known for a long time, but for Poles it was a purely theoretical phenomenon, due to the fact that it did not be in us. Of course, until the conflict in Ukraine.
It must be stressed that in 2016 he warned against specified a war, which in the interests of the US will take place in Central and east Europe, Aleksander Jabłonowskibetter known present as Wojciech Olszański. Olszański was the first to scope a wider audience in social media.
To the last Pole?
Seven years ago, most listeners most likely treated it as quasi conspiracy theory. Although there was already a conflict in Donbasa at the time, no 1 here expected that in early 2022 Poland would participate in a full-scale war, so far not militarily. Olszański predicted it! At the time, he warned that erstwhile it came to it, the US would fight Russia to the last Pole. For now, they're fighting to the last Ukrainian. He besides explicitly said that atomic weapons could be utilized during the escalation of the conflict and as a consequence a large part of Poland, Belarus and Ukraine will cease to exist. Olszański, of course, emphasized that the Russians would not have an atom in Washington, fresh York, etc., and the US in Moscow, Petersburg and the rest. Both will be limited to attacking the enemy with this weapon in Poland, Belarus, Ukraine. Then, after destroying a large part of Europe, they'll get along due to the fact that they have no choice.
A informing shot in Poznań?
The usage of atomic weapons will already penetrate, for now on the propaganda level. The Russians have late mentioned that in Poznań they may hit as a “warning gun” for Germany. The transfer of banned cluster weapons to Ukraine is another step into the atomic scenario. Of course, most people do not take these announcements seriously. But in February 2022, the majority of people besides completely ruled out that Russia would enter Ukraine “on a harsh basis”.
Perhaps it is worth reading with attention what the counter-system media gotta transmit, due to the fact that unlike these mainstream They're seldom wrong. This is because, in mainstream media, journalists act as “propagand advocates” of politicians, not reliable, professional journalists, and for adequate remuneration they are prepared to replicate any nonsense. Even there, however, we see more and more of a kind of remorse and an effort to redeem our guilt. Recently, in any media related to the authoritative message, they begin to compose the truth. That we are dealing with a conflict in which the US and NATO fight Russia utilizing Ukrainian soldiers, and speaking brutally "Ukrainian cannon meat". The fact that the alleged West treats Ukraine and Ukrainians is that there is simply a increasing number of Poles, but besides Ukrainians.
“Onuce” were right
This nonsubjective fact undermines the propaganda communicative that Ukraine is fighting for us, for Poland. The fresh NATO summit in Lithuania showed this in the most striking way. Even the propaganda grasant gene. Waldemar Skrzypczak He told the fact about it. “Ukrainians have the right to feel cheated. They were promised much, and nothing was done that could rise hope. ...this Ukraine will run out someday” – he said. We convict her, NATO sentences her to proceed in the war, to fight and, in fact, nothing else we can promise her. What does that mean? That means we're going to send her to slow agony due to the fact that she's going to bleed, she's going to bleed. "In autumn, the Russians will regain much of their possible and the roles will change in autumn. It will be the Russians who will attack Ukraine. I inform against this” (Krzypczak – for PAP).
All self-thinking publicists and media, who did not duplicate government folly, have long observed that the escalation of the conflict is equivalent to the demolition of Ukraine and the expanding danger of Poland's military participation in the war. The demands to halt this slaughter immediately, by diplomatic alternatively than military methods, of course in the actual truncated borders of the Ukrainian state – but so far formally sovereign – were always met with furious attacks. I wonder what common people gotta say now erstwhile they have mainstream The media are more and more saying the same thing we've been saying and writing for a long time? Are these “ruskie onuces” for them too? Or will they admit we were right? From the point of view of the existence of the Polish state being, changing social views on this substance is very important, due to the fact that it will force the government to change abroad policy. Then in their actions there will be "less sabers and more reason." I would like to believe that the alleged Prigozhyn coup was the last event erstwhile authoritative commentators ridiculed the moles. erstwhile in June, on heat, I read all kinds of comments and analyses while on the march, I had quite a few fun. Watching the joy of fools due to the “fall” Vladimir Putin and the imminent disintegration of Russia one more time made me realize that many of them in public space function as an intellectual elite that shapes social attitudes and views. possibly due to the fact that we have specified mediocre elites, we, as a whole, besides represent small of ourselves. Poland has had a "decent" 4th place in the European Union since the end of earnings. The level of Lithuania or the Czech Republic is not available to us.
A Prigovine Useful to Kaczyński
Unfortunately, these fewer journalists, sobered from pro-American amok of spring do not make. The issue of "vagners" is inactive being exploited by media machers since the creation of alternate reality, of course for a strictly defined purpose. And the goal is to keep power by the Law and Justice. For Jarosław Kaczyński It is highly valuable to knock on haunted lions that the "vagners" are about to win a slide or akin suggestions in the PeOwski media. Then the PiS media device develops it creatively. late I listened to a service writer ask questions about this subject to a Belarusian oppositionist. However, Belorussian did not get active in the PiS game and stated that "vagners" in the Suwałki gulf were just propaganda bubbles. However, this subject is increasingly publicised due to the fact that it may be the lifeline of the PiS election campaign. If the polls were unsatisfactory for Kaczyński, the Polish interview could “get” information that, for example, on 8 October, Prigożyn's mercenaries are to enter Poland to make a land connection between the Kaliningrad Oblast and Grodny in Belarus.
Opposition Without Strength for a Double Campaign
Of course, according to the law the state of emergency will then be introduced, at least in the Podlaskie Voivodeship, and so the elections will be cancelled. Under the law, the state of emergency can last for up to 90 days, and then the Sejm can extend it for 60 days. We'll see about that. After the introduction of this script from the opposition, “all air will go.” run ideas were calculated for a fewer months. It is impossible to organize marches indefinitely and declare that all PiS-men will be accounted for. You can't drink beer forever, either. Sławomir Mentzenwhether – like Simon Holovnia and left - to drive around Poland. Following the introduction of a state of exceptional opposition to the break run and the earliest 1 next year will begin again. The problem is, the opposition had to pay a lot for the run so far. The re-election run is another large expense. I'm certain these "bis" campaigns won't be so large any more. Of course, it's not about the PiS, due to the fact that they have unlimited access to money. In addition, Kaczyński, radiated by the fame of the retired Polish savior, the 1 who did not let into the borders of the Republic of Poland the impression of Prigożyn, will win for the Law and Justice another independent government. After his death, of course, he will become a saint equal to the apostles.
It's just a forecast, of course, and I hope it doesn't come true. Nor is it, under any circumstances, an "instruction for the Law and Justice". It is more of an effort to “disarm a bomb”. It is simply a pity that many media, writing nonsense about the Primogyn at the gates, creates Kaczyński an alibi for instrumental usage of the law.
Cezary Michał Biernacki
