Perhaps we will shortly come to face the "return of alliances" of our protectors, in another words the "fourth betrayal of the West".
This is highly probable and the initiator of this reversal will be the fresh president of the United States, who did not hide specified intentions during the election run win. What are the most crucial elements of the world's fresh puzzle from 2025 to 2029? possibly this is what's going to happen:
* The swift ending of the Russian-Ukrainian war is not a goal, but a means (preliminary) of achieving a major goal,
* This nonsubjective is to relax and, at best, to break the Russian-Chinese alliance and BRICS decomposition: as long as the "collective West" waged war with Russia for our money (the blood of the Ukrainians), the alliance and integration of Russia with the Global South, which is and will be anti-Western and, above all, anti-American (for a long time),
* Oh, my God * China is and will be the most crucial enemy of the U.S., so Washington acting rationally, that is, in its interests, must return to a good, nineteenth-century cooperation with Russia, due to the fact that the fewer allies of this country in Asia (South Korea and Japan) are weakening, and above all they are dying out at an unprecedented rate, and possible US opponents are experiencing a demographic explosion,
* peace in Ukraine under Russian conditions (status quo casus bellum) under American protectorate is the price to be paid for at least Russia's neutrality in the Cold War of the USA and China,
* the anti-Russian policy pursued by European countries is to end with a multi-faceted disaster (political, economical and prestigious) which is intended to weaken and, in fact, destruct Berlin's leadership-federal urges (Trump never concealed his reluctance to “European leadership” Germany),
* The EU countries are to proceed to bleed out economically through an absurd energy transformation, which is unprofitable to them and to defend themselves in connection with the “Russian threat” and to keep the part of Ukraine which will not be occupied by Russia; the sub-option of this part of the puzzle is to bring into war with Russia a NATO state (preferably Poland), from which “world leadership” wars will be able to distance (this will be your “war”).
* The failure of the east EU states' policies can besides lead to permanent changes in the political power arrangement in the major European capitals, in peculiar the collapse of governments that supported Kamala Harris in fresh elections; this will be a proverbial bill issued by the fresh "world leadership".
Of course, I am not certain that this script will work (only our politicians know better what the future will be and really know precisely how many years Russia will attack Poland), but this is 1 of the rather probable options. I have no illusions that the political class in our country is able to prepare any kind of consequence plan to specified a (or similar) turn of the case. However, they most likely already know (and are simply afraid) that the door to the White home is closed and nothing can aid the alleged spell of (invariably) pro-American attitude of all without exception members of this class. No 1 in Washington will believe that due to the fact that the patch of irreparable rusophobes attached to them is forever inescapable. The implementation of this script or its sub-options is expected to lead to economical and political degradation of the majority of the states of old Europe, and, above all, to the reconstruction of a much little costly version of the American protectorate in this part of the world.
What should we do to escape the consequences of the failure of the east policy over fresh years? The answer is rather simple: you just have to:
Stop being afraid of Russia
* be guided by the interests of Polish citizens, be able to change your head in accordance with the political rule known (not in our country) that you should leave the losing coalition as shortly as possible and control to the winners' side,
* Get free of the ballast in the form of people for whom all the crucial doors in this planet will be long closed.
But will COPIS be able to do that? We'll see.
Witold Modzelewski
Think Poland, No. 51-52 (15-29.12.2024)
