
- — In a while, president Trump can calmly say to his expected friend Andrzej: “Andrew, listen, however, Wowa cannot sleep due to the fact that our troops are at the Vistula River, I must retreat them. So, sorry, Andrew, I like you, but I like Wowa more.” And this is not an unreal scenario, says Prof. Kuźniar
- — Regardless of the fact that his personality is comical and simple, his instinct is greedy imperialism of the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries. He knows that he has the strength, and he knows that he may want to request — he argues
- — You should separate what Trump says from what Trump can. These are 2 different things. After all, he wanted to join Canada or Greenland – it will be alternatively difficult, though he most likely won't give up," emphasizes the professor
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Robert Walenciak: Conversations on Ukraine begin. Is this about closing the regional conflict or is this an introduction to the discussion of a fresh division of the world?
Prof. Roman Kuźniar: One doesn't gotta regulation out the other. I'm certain Donald Trump wants to open the way, clear the forefield for a deal with Russia. It's obvious. The war, on the another hand, is very hard for him in this agreement. Would this consequence in the division of the world? Perhaps, due to the fact that there are different elements here.
What?
And geopolitical, and systemic, and that, I would say, emotional. It's clear that Donald Trump, speaking jargonously, feels like Putin. He enjoys this way of ruling. Sam is simply a highly authoritarian personality and is impressed by the authoritarian leaders. He tries to supply himself in the United States with this kind of power – not yet as in Russia, it is impossible – but it is simply a power that is undemocratic, without the limitations of democracy, for the division of power, for what is called checks and balances in America. So there are different floors or paths erstwhile it comes to his approach to Russia, which is the victim of Ukraine at the moment. But where it ends, we don't know yet.
Because this is the beginning of this phase of history. Joint vote by the US and Russia on 24 February in the United Nations General Assembly against the European Resolution on Russian aggression against Ukraine is simply a powerful signal of this historic, anti-Western turn in American politics. This is not only a betrayal of common values, but besides a betrayal of allies.
Mints to Putin are 1 side of the medal, and the another side is aversion to Europe. Is it from ideology or conflict of interest, from a business approach?
There are attempts to explain that Trump is as sly as Kissinger, or actually Nixon, due to the fact that it was Nixon who invented this maneuver and pushed Kissinger to China to negociate with Mao. So Trump is credited with wanting to reverse the situation...
...uses so-called inverted Nixon...
...that we will now pluck Russia out of the embrace of the Chinese dragon, at the expense of Ukraine, of course, due to the fact that for specified a maneuver you must give something to Moscow. If that were the case... I believe that the effort to agree with Russia is not so much a Chinese origin as the anti-Europeanity of Trump. He knows Putin is heavy anti-Western, anti-European. But the United States led by Trump has ceased to be a western state. Consequently, Putin does not request to be anti-Western in his earlier understanding, it is adequate that it will be anti-European.
And we have an knowing platform?
For double sake. little geopolitical, more ideological and business. Ideological, due to the fact that Europe is democratic and Trump is anti-democratic – let's see how he behaves, with authoritarian rulers he does well, the incorrect word he did not say to China or another authoritarian states. There's a strong ideological anti-Europeanism in the American crew, clearly. All Trump, Vance, this clown Muska's treatments have ideological background. That is what they agree with Putin – they want to take Europe into 2 fires.

J.D. Vance and Donald Trump
There's besides a business thread. You know, Trump likes to talk to weak opponents. The American weight is greater in each one-on-one, then he can dictate his terms. Europe cannot dictate business conditions due to the fact that the united Europe is besides big. It must so be shared. Trump thought it would be easier for him to do so through ideological procedures. Especially as Europe is alive – not dominant, but alive – those political forces that correspond to the current American administration.
And why is Europe incapable to respond decisively to this? Why does he want to calm down?
Oh, no, J.D. Vance's anti-European firecracker reactions were clear. Europeans responded rather well, including the British. They replied unequivocally to the nonsense Trump tells about Ukraine and Russia. Here's 1 line.
In words...
And what is different is political action due to the fact that Europe is inactive aware of its far-reaching dependence on the United States in the field of security. It is more mental, without coverage in the real layer. I am reasoning about the possible and what Europe can accomplish over the next 2 or 3 years in terms of military capabilities, in specified a way as not to be afraid of Russia. The fresh German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announces the construction of defence capabilities of a Europe independent of the US – this is crucial news.

Friedrich Merz
Polish politicians say that the best investment in our defence is American soldiers.
If it's possible to keep any kind of American quota, then in the situation we have, it's better if he's not going to leave. In any average term, Europeans together with Poland are able to build military capabilities that will be adequate to deter Russia. any moves in this direction in Europe have already begun. I do not know how consistently they will be implemented, so until these plans are implemented, Europeans will be in half-seat in a political sense, in a sense of security, towards Washington.
It can go on forever.
I think that the brutality of American attacks and their vulgarity should act on Europe as a strong spur. due to the fact that earlier, during Trump's first term, yes, there were akin voices, even Angela Merkel said that Europe must take work for its security. And what did the Germans do? Nothing. Why was Europe unfree? due to the fact that Russia has yet to invade Ukraine in specified an improbable way. And Trump shortly disappeared. After all, he was not so terrible in his first term, due to the fact that he was surrounded by average people. And present there is no average around anyone – there are all potakiewiczs and minions.
On the 1 hand, I hear that you gotta trust on America due to the fact that she's the only 1 who can defend us. On the another hand, I see how America treats Ukraine today. The belief that America will always be here and always be behind us is naive. due to the fact that Trump or his successor can say at any time: we are letting Europe go in the name of another more crucial game.
This must be taken into account. I think there is simply quite a few magic reasoning in Poland. And the fact that the Ukrainians faced a Russian collapse shows that we are not in advance in positions of losers. The Russians are not as strong as they are spoken of. Their diplomacy is far more dangerous than their military. Of course, there is simply a thought in Poland that America will stay here forever – I see it in the Polish debate.

I have said this many times – that in time president Trump can calmly say to his expected friend Andrzej: “Andrew, listen, but Wowa cannot sleep, due to the fact that our troops are on the Vistula River, I must retreat them. So, sorry, Andrew, I like you, but I like Wowa more.” And that's not a real scenario. After all, we see Trump acting towards Zelenski, towards Ukraine.
“ But, Mr President, do not take troops from our country! All right, I'll think about it. Do you have uncommon earth metals? No, we don't have uncommon earth metals. What do you got? - Coal! “We don’t want coal.” This may be the conversation, and this is not theoretical at all, given the personality of the White home host.
What happened to a man of this format in the White House?
America has worked a long time to get individual like that to power. I realize there may have been an accident at work, Trump could have won the first election. Hillary Clinton, although she won the number of votes, was then besides burdened with various things to be effective. But the current election? After all, if America, the political system, did not draw conclusions from the first experience, especially from this violent assault on the Capitol on 6 January 2021, then it fell.
How?
This is simply a fall erstwhile it comes to the moral side, the collapse of its political system, due to the fact that it is inactive military and economic. And the collapse of the political strategy is something that America has worked for decades. Zbigniew Brzeziński wrote, and I quoted it many times, that due to the very low level of public education, vulgar mass culture and respective another properties of the American social strategy he would not be amazed if in a while the Americans elected a charlatan. Charlatan will be elected president! So you can say like in this highland joke, “The Prophet What, or What?” American democracy, of course, destroyed mainly money. If 1 Musk could spend $250 million on Trump's campaign, what are we talking about?

Elon Musk
Notabene had already written about it by the end of planet War I – that money would destruct democracy. And that's what happened. After all, at the minute not any prominent specialists, not any lefty, like those fools from America would like, but e.g. Francis Fukuyama, who is simply a conservative thinker, say that there is no democracy in America. There was inactive an oligarchical democracy, but that ends. Larry Diamond writes similarly.
Because Trump is crushing it.
This is simply a very circumstantial personality, a textbook sociopath – it was written a lot about it during his first term. Remember, sociopaths can win in their fields, as musicians, as financiers... And here he is on susceptible ground! He feels large in the media, ran his own program, so he developed any communication features.
It was an amusement program, a reality show: “The Apprentice” and “The Celebrity Apprentice”. He ran it for 10 years.
The Americans believed individual like that! Why would that happen? due to the fact that earlier this society had been mostly demoralized, in the sense that it was deprived of its civic instinct. They have become consumers of very vile food. And the food Trump serves them, they accept. I don't know if it's invertible. Also, our notions of the American free instinct... is not the time. They're converted to a molasses Trump can period and use.
Europe is not in a much better position, and we have besides been spoiled by money and mass culture.
However, it has a certain advantage: the level of education and the social model, which is much more balanced. This is the specificity of Europe, the countries that make it, that the European Union is forcing sustainable social development. specified disparities as be in the United States are unthinkable in the countries of the Union, simply not there. This is the European social model – social balance plus education. As far as public education is concerned, Europeans and Americans are at a very different level.
But it's the best universities in America.
Yes, but for a few. For a narrow group. And public education is disastrous. This is snowball production plus immense exclusion areas. I call these large clusters of excluded who vote for Trump, the “white Indians”. due to the fact that they can't critically look at where their mediocre condition came from. And it's for people like Trump who haven't paid a dollar in their lives! With the aid of well-paid lawyers, they did everything possible not to pay a dollar tax. And where does education, wellness care, infrastructure come from? Taxes. Trump, on the 1 hand, corrupted America, and on the other, convinced this stupid part of Americans that it was individual else's fault. He promises to make America large again. These are the paradoxes of politics. I don't know how it's gonna end. This collapse evidently has a dimension that touches us. It's a U.S. abroad policy and we see the consequences.
It is loudly said that the Americans threatened to shut down the Starlins, or communications networks, if Ukrainians disobeyed. The fact that they demanded minerals of the value many times higher than military aid, we have already said.
Because they want to force Ukraine to submit. And they're yelling at Zelenski to perceive to president Trump. He's expected to agree to what he wants. due to the fact that the capricious president is pounding his shoe, terrorizing the environment, due to the fact that he wants to get a toy in the form of Ukrainian natural resources, knowing that Ukraine is in a hard situation. The instinct of an imperialist hyena! And his surroundings make him stronger.

The planet sees it. How will he treat America now? Will he believe her?
Everyone's gonna be in position somehow. And there are very different positioning types. Poland adopted clientelistic policy during the time of the Law and Justice. So now the planet will be very different – there will be clientelism, bandwagoning, there will besides be any opposition, depending on the location of the country, interests, traditions, political culture... Countries will draw conclusions. America is not all-powerful. You should separate what Trump says from what Trump can. These are 2 different things. After all, he wanted to join Canada or Greenland – it will be alternatively difficult, though he most likely won't give up. Regardless of the fact that his personality is comical and simple, his instinct is greedy imperialism of the turn of the 19th and 20th centuries. He knows he has the strength, and he knows he might want to demand. We'll see how it goes. But he will surely be playing against Ukraine and against Europe.
The right in Poland feels differently.
I'm not surprised. I realize the right due to the fact that it's bone, it's the same political family. The United Right – they do not think in terms of Polish interest, but in terms of power and access to the trough which their power gave them. So they cannot accept that they do not exercise authority in Poland. What does a PiS presidential candidate do? He constantly attacks the European Union, criticizes Ukraine, not Russia. It fits perfectly in Trump's approach. I have no uncertainty – they would easy vassalize Poland towards Russia, if it were to be Trump's anticipation and it would affect the PiS back to power. I think their mentality is to the end of the market. Look at the tip on Tusk coming to Trump's camp. These are profoundly immoral and profoundly undemocratic people.
And 1 last thing. Often, a harsher message about Trump or his people comes to our home with violent criticism. It is so essential to callback the words of the Gospel of Luke (it is expected that Trump is simply a Christian, although he does not indicate anything): "They will measurement you with the measurement you measure." If Trump constantly uses the language of the invector to address all those who think differently (he shouts at Biden in front of the world: stupid), he cannot number on a relief tariff from analysts and commentators.