If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the Law and Justice would win them, due to a fresh IBRiS poll for Onetu. 30.5 percent of Poles would vote for Jarosław Kaczyński's party. 25.8% of respondents would vote for the Civic Coalition. A period ago, Tuska's organization had a score of 7.6 points higher.
All major parties lost
It may surprise that all leaders of Polish politics lose their support. The PiS scored 1.7 points weaker than a period earlier. She besides lost the Confederate, whose 16.8 percent support is symbolically worse (-0.3 points) than May.
6.1% of those surveyed (+1.1%). The Confederation of the Polish Crown, Grzegorz Braun, would besides enter the Sejm with a consequence of 5.1 percent.
The end of the 3rd Way would mean a separate counting of results for PSL and Poland 2050. Both parties fell below the 5% threshold, guaranteeing access to the Sejm (they have 4 and 4.6 percent of support respectively). Interestingly, as the 3rd Road, they had little support (6%), but they would have joined parliament.
Below is the organization Together with a score of 3.9 percent, she was the only 1 who gained any support over last period (by 1.4 percent points).
The Law and the Confederacy would have peaceful governments
According to Onetu's calculations, Law and Justice would have 190 seats in the Sejm, Civic Coalition – 153, Confederation – 92, Left – 19, Confederation of the Polish Crown – 6.
A unchangeable government could so establish the Law and the Confederation. specified a coalition would have 282 tickets, which means it could overthrow the presidential veto. The constitutional majority would deficiency 25 tickets.
The survey was conducted by the Institute for marketplace and Social investigation of IBRiS on 23-24 June 2025 on a nationwide example of 1.1 1000 people. The survey was conducted by telephone utilizing standardized questionnaire interviews supported by computer-aided (CATI).
